Football · Sweden Superettan · 19/07, 13:00

Prediction: IFK Norrkoping vs Sandvikens IF

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.63Total
IFK Norrkoping1.7
Sandvikens IF0.93
1X2
55% 25% 20%
IFK Norrkoping Draw Sandvikens IF
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
IFK Norrkoping 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
LWDDWWWWWL
Sandvikens IF 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
DWLLLWWWDW
Head-to-head
IFK Norrkoping 3–0 Sandvikens IF (3 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · IFK Norrkoping 1570 · Sandvikens IF 1518
IFK NorrkopingDrawSandvikens IF
Our model54%26%19%
Market56%24%21%
Estimated total (ours) 2.63 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours IFK Norrkoping (rating 1570 vs 1518).
  • H2H favours IFK Norrkoping: 3-0-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

IFK NorrkopingSandvikens IF
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 0.51.9 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.21.1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/40/10%40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.6 / 5.41.9 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.6 / 02.8 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · IFK Norrkoping 300 Sandvikens IF

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DateHomeScoreAway
21/02/26
Sweden Cup
IFK Norrkoping2-0
HT 1-0
Sandvikens IF
25/01/25
Club Friendly List
IFK Norrkoping3-1
HT 2-0
Sandvikens IF
28/02/21
Sweden Cup
Sandvikens IF1-4
HT 0-0
IFK Norrkoping

Standings · Sweden Superettan

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Falkenbergs FF 14842 282028
2 Varbergs BoIS FC 14833 281727
3 IFK Norrkoping 14824 231026
4 Landskrona BoIS 14743 221425
5 Ostersunds FK 14644 221922
6 Nordic United FC 14644 232222
7 IK Oddevold 14554 262220
8 Osters IF 14626 212320
9 Helsingborg 14626 262920
10 Sandvikens IF 14545 242019
11 IK Brage 14446 262616
12 Ljungskile 14446 181816
13 Norrby IF 14284 162014
14 Orebro SK 14356 132014
15 IFK Varnamo 143110 153110
16 GIF Sundsvall 143011 11319

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentIFK NorrkopingSandvikens IF
Norrby IF 0-1 L 2-2 D
Ostersunds FK 2-0 W 1-2 L
Helsingborg 2-0 W 4-2 W
Osters IF 2-0 W 0-1 L
IK Brage 0-0 D 3-2 W
GIF Sundsvall 3-1 W 3-0 W
Falkenbergs FF 0-1 L 4-2 W
Record vs common 4 W 1 D 2 L 4 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Sandvikens IF (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

IFK Norrkoping

LWDDWWWWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/06 Norrby IF
Sweden Superettan
0-1 0-1 103 L
21/06 Ostersunds FK
Sweden Superettan
1-0 2-0 25 W
15/06 Varbergs BoIS FC
Sweden Superettan
1-0 2-0 44 W
09/06 IK Oddevold
Sweden Superettan
2-1 2-1 12 W
31/05 Helsingborg
Sweden Superettan
0-0 2-0 47 W
25/05 Osters IF
Sweden Superettan
2-0 2-0 55 W
16/05 IK Brage
Sweden Superettan
0-0 0-0 44 D
13/05 Nordic United FC
Sweden Superettan
0-0 1-1 72 D
09/05 GIF Sundsvall
Sweden Superettan
1-0 3-1 103 W
05/05 Falkenbergs FF
Sweden Superettan
0-0 0-1 71 L

Sandvikens IF

DWLLLWWWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/06 Helsingborg
Sweden Superettan
2-1 4-2 35 W
22/06 Orebro SK
Sweden Superettan
1-1 1-1 55 D
14/06 IK Brage
Sweden Superettan
1-1 3-2 34 W
09/06 Falkenbergs FF
Sweden Superettan
4-1 4-2 22 W
30/05 GIF Sundsvall
Sweden Superettan
1-0 3-0 32 W
24/05 Landskrona BoIS
Sweden Superettan
0-1 0-1 84 L
17/05 Ostersunds FK
Sweden Superettan
0-0 1-2 22 L
13/05 Osters IF
Sweden Superettan
0-0 0-1 62 L
09/05 Ljungskile
Sweden Superettan
1-0 1-0 54 W
02/05 Norrby IF
Sweden Superettan
1-2 2-2 91 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in IFK Norrkoping vs Sandvikens IF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a IFK Norrkoping win (55%). Probabilities: IFK Norrkoping 55%, draw 25%, Sandvikens IF 20%.

How many goals are expected in IFK Norrkoping vs Sandvikens IF?

The model expects 2.63 goals (IFK Norrkoping 1.7 · Sandvikens IF 0.93), with a 57% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in IFK Norrkoping vs Sandvikens IF?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.