Football · Argentina Nacional B · 08/08, 22:00
Prediction: Atletico Rafaela vs Chacarita Juniors
Team pages: Atletico Rafaela · Chacarita Juniors
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.65Total
Atletico Rafaela0.99
Chacarita Juniors0.66
1X2
Atletico Rafaela
Draw
Chacarita Juniors
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 50%
Not both to score 56%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Atletico Rafaela
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Chacarita Juniors
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Atletico Rafaela
2–1–3
Chacarita Juniors
(6 last)
- Chacarita Juniors0-1Atletico Rafaela
- Atletico Rafaela1-1Chacarita Juniors
- Chacarita Juniors3-0Atletico Rafaela
- Chacarita Juniors3-1Atletico Rafaela
- Atletico Rafaela2-0Chacarita Juniors
- Chacarita Juniors1-0Atletico Rafaela
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Atletico Rafaela 1485 · Chacarita Juniors 1473
| Atletico Rafaela | Draw | Chacarita Juniors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 36% | 22% |
| Market | 43% | 33% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.65 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 83%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Chacarita Juniors: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Atletico Rafaela | Chacarita Juniors | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 0.9 | 0.7 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.2 | 0.2 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.6 | 2.1 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.3 | 5.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico Rafaela 2–1–3 Chacarita Juniors
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/26 Argentina Nacional B | Chacarita Juniors | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Atletico Rafaela |
| 15/10/23 Argentina Nacional B | Atletico Rafaela | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Chacarita Juniors |
| 03/06/23 Argentina Nacional B | Chacarita Juniors | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Atletico Rafaela |
| 23/07/22 Argentina Nacional B | Chacarita Juniors | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Atletico Rafaela |
| 03/12/19 Argentina Nacional B | Atletico Rafaela | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Chacarita Juniors |
| 06/04/19 Argentina Nacional B | Chacarita Juniors | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Atletico Rafaela |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 35 | 25 | 41 |
| 2 | Club Atletico Temperley | 23 | 9 | 10 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 37 |
| 3 | Tristan Suarez | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 36 |
| 4 | CA Atlanta | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 28 | 22 | 36 |
| 5 | Ferrocarril Midland | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 23 | 16 | 34 |
| 6 | Deportivo Maipu | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 31 | 24 | 32 |
| 7 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 31 |
| 8 | Atletico Rafaela | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 19 | 31 |
| 9 | San Martin de Tucuman | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 30 |
| 10 | CA Colegiales | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 21 | 29 |
| 11 | Nueva Chicago | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 20 | 20 | 29 |
| 12 | Almagro | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 24 | 29 |
| 13 | San Martin SJ | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 22 | 27 |
| 14 | Chacarita Juniors | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 23 | 26 |
| 15 | Quilmes | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 21 | 20 | 25 |
| 16 | Patronato Parana | 22 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 21 | 23 |
| 17 | Agropecuario | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 28 | 23 |
| 18 | CA Guemes | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 19 | 36 | 19 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Atletico Rafaela | Chacarita Juniors |
|---|---|---|
| San Martin SJ | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Nueva Chicago | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Club Atletico Temperley | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Deportivo Maipu | 1-3 L | 2-3 L |
| Almagro | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Patronato Parana | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 3 L | 2 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Chacarita Juniors (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Atletico Rafaela
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 25/07 | Nueva Chicago Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 18/07 | Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 9 | L |
| 11/07 | Deportivo Maipu Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-3 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 04/07 | Almagro Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 23/06 | Nueva Chicago Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 14/06 | Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 06/06 | CA Colegiales Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 31/05 | Quilmes Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 23/05 | Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
Chacarita Juniors
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 25/07 | Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 12/07 | Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 05/07 | San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 21/06 | Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 13/06 | Nueva Chicago Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 07/06 | Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 31/05 | Deportivo Maipu Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 24/05 | Almagro Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 17/05 | Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Atletico Rafaela vs Chacarita Juniors?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Atletico Rafaela win (42%). Probabilities: Atletico Rafaela 42%, draw 35%, Chacarita Juniors 23%.
How many goals are expected in Atletico Rafaela vs Chacarita Juniors?
The model expects 1.65 goals (Atletico Rafaela 0.99 · Chacarita Juniors 0.66), with a 53% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Atletico Rafaela vs Chacarita Juniors?
The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.