Football · Norway Toppserien Women · 01/09, 18:00

Prediction: LSK Kvinner (W) vs Bodo/Glimt (W)

Team pages: LSK Kvinner (W) · Bodo/Glimt (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.05Total

LSK Kvinner (W)3.02

Bodo/Glimt (W)1.02

1X2

79% 13% 8%

LSK Kvinner (W) Draw Bodo/Glimt (W)

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

3-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

LSK Kvinner (W) 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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Bodo/Glimt (W) 0-0-10 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

LSK Kvinner (W) 4–1 Bodo/Glimt (W) (5 last)

Bodo/Glimt (W)0-6LSK Kvinner (W)
LSK Kvinner (W)1-0Bodo/Glimt (W)
LSK Kvinner (W)4-0Bodo/Glimt (W)
Bodo/Glimt (W)0-4LSK Kvinner (W)
LSK Kvinner (W)1-2Bodo/Glimt (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · LSK Kvinner (W) 1495 · Bodo/Glimt (W) 1357

	LSK Kvinner (W)	Draw	Bodo/Glimt (W)
Our model	77%	14%	9%
Market	80%	12%	8%

Estimated total (ours) 4.05 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours LSK Kvinner (W) (rating 1495 vs 1357).
H2H favours LSK Kvinner (W): 4-0-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	LSK Kvinner (W)	Bodo/Glimt (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.5	0.6 / 5.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.8	0.3 / 3.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	10/10/80%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 3.3	1.2 / 2.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2 / 0	1.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.14

X7.50

212.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.25)1.85

2 (+2.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.90

Under 3.751.90

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 4.45

Market movement

Match winner · 5 moves · last 06:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.11 → 1.14▲	Bet365 1.14
X	8.50 → 7.50▼	Bet365 7.50
2	15.00 → 12.00▼	Bet365 12.00

See the full journey (5)

Bet365 margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
13:17 +5’	1.11	8.50	15.00
15:22 +4’	1.18▲	7.00▼	11.00▼
21:26 +13’	1.22▲	6.50▼	9.50▼
17:58 +3’	1.11▼	8.50▲	15.00▲
05:57 +6’	1.14▲	7.50▼	12.00▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · LSK Kvinner (W) 4–0–1 Bodo/Glimt (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/05/26 Norway Toppserien Women	Bodo/Glimt (W)	0-6 HT 0-2	LSK Kvinner (W)
12/10/25 Norway Toppserien Women	LSK Kvinner (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	Bodo/Glimt (W)
19/06/25 Norway Toppserien Women	LSK Kvinner (W)	4-0 HT 2-0	Bodo/Glimt (W)
16/04/25 Norway Toppserien Women	Bodo/Glimt (W)	0-4 HT 0-2	LSK Kvinner (W)
22/02/25 Women’s Friendly	LSK Kvinner (W)	1-2 HT 1-1	Bodo/Glimt (W)

Standings · Norway Toppserien Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Brann (W)	14	12	2	0	45	4	38
2	Fortuna Aalesund (W)	13	10	1	2	34	14	31
3	Rosenborg (W)	14	9	3	2	26	16	30
4	Valerenga (W)	14	8	1	5	33	20	25
5	Stabaek (W)	14	6	3	5	26	14	21
6	Molde FK (W)	14	5	3	6	22	24	18
7	Lyn (W)	13	4	4	5	23	16	16
8	Haugesund (W)	14	4	3	7	19	36	15
9	LSK Kvinner (W)	13	4	2	7	18	22	14
10	Roa (W)	13	2	4	7	11	25	10
11	Honefoss (W)	13	2	2	9	11	28	8
12	Bodo/Glimt (W)	13	0	2	11	8	57	2

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	LSK Kvinner (W)	Bodo/Glimt (W)
Molde FK (W)	0-1 L	1-2 L
Rosenborg (W)	1-2 L	0-3 L
Fortuna Aalesund (W)	0-3 L	1-8 L
Haugesund (W)	2-1 W	1-2 L
Valerenga (W)	2-3 L	1-4 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 4 L	0 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: LSK Kvinner (W) (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

LSK Kvinner (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Molde FK (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-0	0-1	3	5	L
15/08	Rosenborg (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-1	1-2	2	4	L
21/06	SK Brann (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-0	0-0	1	2	D
13/06	Fortuna Aalesund (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-1	0-3	6	0	L
30/05	Rosenborg (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-0	1-0	1	0	W
26/05	Honefoss (W) Norway Toppserien Women	1-1	3-2	5	3	W
15/05	Bodo/Glimt (W) Norway Toppserien Women	2-0	6-0	7	1	W
08/05	Haugesund (W) Norway Toppserien Women	2-1	2-1	4	1	W
02/05	Valerenga (W) Norway Toppserien Women	1-2	2-3	2	0	L
25/04	Molde FK (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-2	1-3	2	4	L

Bodo/Glimt (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Stabaek (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-6	1-7	2	3	L
14/08	Valerenga (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-2	1-4	0	0	L
08/08	Molde FK (W) Norway Toppserien Women	1-0	1-2	3	2	L
20/06	Fortuna Aalesund (W) Norway Toppserien Women	1-5	1-8	2	1	L
13/06	Haugesund (W) Norway Toppserien Women	1-1	1-2	0	2	L
26/05	Valerenga (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-5	1-7	2	3	L
15/05	LSK Kvinner (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-2	0-6	7	1	L
08/05	Rosenborg (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-1	0-3	3	1	L
03/05	Stabaek (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-3	0-4	3	2	L
25/04	Lyn (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-6	0-9	5	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in LSK Kvinner (W) vs Bodo/Glimt (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a LSK Kvinner (W) win (79%). Probabilities: LSK Kvinner (W) 79%, draw 13%, Bodo/Glimt (W) 8%.

How many goals are expected in LSK Kvinner (W) vs Bodo/Glimt (W)?

The model expects 4.05 goals (LSK Kvinner (W) 3.02 · Bodo/Glimt (W) 1.02), with a 51% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in LSK Kvinner (W) vs Bodo/Glimt (W)?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.