Football · Norway Toppserien Women · 24/10, 14:00

Prediction: Roa (W) vs Stabaek (W)

Team pages: Roa (W) · Stabaek (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.99Total
Roa (W)1.03
Stabaek (W)1.97
1X2
18% 24% 58%
Roa (W) Draw Stabaek (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Roa (W) 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
DWDLLLDLWL
Stabaek (W) 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
WWLDWWLLWL
Head-to-head
Roa (W) 1–2–3 Stabaek (W) (6 last)
  • Stabaek (W)0-1Roa (W)
  • Roa (W)1-2Stabaek (W)
  • Roa (W)0-2Stabaek (W)
  • Roa (W)1-1Stabaek (W)
  • Roa (W)0-0Stabaek (W)
  • Stabaek (W)2-1Roa (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Roa (W) 1419 · Stabaek (W) 1544
Roa (W)DrawStabaek (W)
Our model18%24%58%
Market18%24%58%
Estimated total (ours) 2.99 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stabaek (W) (rating 1419 vs 1544).
  • H2H favours Stabaek (W): 3-2-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Roa (W)Stabaek (W)
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 22.2 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.61.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%50/10/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.2 / 2.52.4 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.6 / 02.1 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Roa (W) 1–2–3 Stabaek (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
20/06/26
Norway Toppserien Women
Stabaek (W)0-1
HT 0-1
Roa (W)
20/05/26
Norway Cup Women
Roa (W)1-2
HT 1-1
Stabaek (W)
27/02/26
Women’s Friendly
Roa (W)0-2
HT 0-2
Stabaek (W)
12/10/25
Norway Toppserien Women
Roa (W)1-1
HT 0-1
Stabaek (W)
05/08/25
Norway Toppserien Women
Roa (W)0-0
HT 0-0
Stabaek (W)
29/04/25
Norway Toppserien Women
Stabaek (W)2-1
HT 2-1
Roa (W)

Standings · Norway Toppserien Women

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 SK Brann (W) 191531 55748
2 Fortuna Aalesund (W) 191522 451747
3 Rosenborg (W) 191162 342139
4 Valerenga (W) 191225 492538
5 Lyn (W) 19856 382729
6 Stabaek (W) 19838 362127
7 Haugesund (W) 196310 274421
8 Honefoss (W) 195410 173019
9 Molde FK (W) 195311 233818
10 LSK Kvinner (W) 194312 243815
11 Roa (W) 193511 183814
12 Bodo/Glimt (W) 191315 12726

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentRoa (W)Stabaek (W)
LSK Kvinner (W) 2-1 W 5-1 W
Bodo/Glimt (W) 1-2 L 7-1 W
Honefoss (W) 0-0 D 0-1 L
SK Brann (W) 1-5 L 0-1 L
Molde FK (W) 1-1 D 3-0 W
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 2 L 3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Stabaek (W) (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Roa (W)

DWDLLLDLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/10 Fortuna Aalesund (W)
Norway Toppserien Women
0-1 0-1 51 L
04/10 LSK Kvinner (W)
Norway Toppserien Women
0-0 2-1 10 W
25/09 Bodo/Glimt (W)
Norway Toppserien Women
1-0 1-2 83 L
19/09 Honefoss (W)
Norway Toppserien Women
0-0 0-0 03 D
11/09 Valerenga (W)
Norway Toppserien Women
2-3 3-6 11 L
31/08 Lyn (W)
Norway Toppserien Women
0-1 1-3 53 L
21/08 SK Brann (W)
Norway Toppserien Women
1-1 1-5 01 L
15/08 Molde FK (W)
Norway Toppserien Women
0-0 1-1 40 D
20/06 Stabaek (W)
Norway Toppserien Women
1-0 1-0 11 W
13/06 Honefoss (W)
Norway Toppserien Women
0-0 1-1 03 D

Stabaek (W)

WWLDWWLLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/10 Honefoss (W)
Norway Toppserien Women
0-1 0-1 103 L
04/10 Molde FK (W)
Norway Toppserien Women
2-0 3-0 32 W
26/09 SK Brann (W)
Norway Toppserien Women
0-1 0-1 00 L
17/09 Rosenborg (W)
Norway Toppserien Women
0-1 2-4 63 L
13/09 LSK Kvinner (W)
Norway Toppserien Women
2-1 5-1 62 W
22/08 Bodo/Glimt (W)
Norway Toppserien Women
6-0 7-1 53 W
15/08 Haugesund (W)
Norway Toppserien Women
0-0 1-1 61 D
20/06 Roa (W)
Norway Toppserien Women
0-1 0-1 121 L
13/06 Molde FK (W)
Norway Toppserien Women
2-0 2-1 63 W
29/05 Honefoss (W)
Norway Toppserien Women
1-0 2-1 53 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Roa (W) vs Stabaek (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Stabaek (W) win (58%). Probabilities: Roa (W) 18%, draw 24%, Stabaek (W) 58%.

How many goals are expected in Roa (W) vs Stabaek (W)?

The model expects 2.99 goals (Roa (W) 1.03 · Stabaek (W) 1.97), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Roa (W) vs Stabaek (W)?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.