Football · Norway Division 1 · 26/07, 17:00

Prediction: Sandnes Ulf vs Kongsvinger

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.46Total
Sandnes Ulf1.46
Kongsvinger2
1X2
27% 24% 49%
Sandnes Ulf Draw Kongsvinger
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Sandnes Ulf 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
LLWLWLWWWD
Kongsvinger 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
WDWWLWWDLW
Head-to-head
Sandnes Ulf 0–6 Kongsvinger (6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sandnes Ulf 1518 · Kongsvinger 1552
Sandnes UlfDrawKongsvinger
Our model27%23%49%
Market27%24%49%
Estimated total (ours) 3.46 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Kongsvinger: 6-0-0.
  • High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Sandnes UlfKongsvinger
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 1.42.6 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.61.1 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/30/40%30/10/60%
Corners (HT / FT)2.9 / 5.52.8 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.8 / 0.12.7 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sandnes Ulf 006 Kongsvinger

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DateHomeScoreAway
27/08/24
Norway Division 1
Kongsvinger1-0
HT 1-0
Sandnes Ulf
27/05/24
Norway Division 1
Sandnes Ulf0-2
HT 0-2
Kongsvinger
29/10/23
Norway Division 1
Kongsvinger4-0
HT 2-0
Sandnes Ulf
03/05/23
Norway Division 1
Sandnes Ulf1-2
HT 0-1
Kongsvinger
03/11/22
Norway Division 1 Play-Offs
Sandnes Ulf0-1
HT 0-0
Kongsvinger
17/10/22
Norway Division 1
Kongsvinger3-1
HT 3-1
Sandnes Ulf

Standings · Norway Division 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Haugesund 141013 432631
2 Kongsvinger 14932 362130
3 Stromsgodset 14842 412228
4 Stabaek 14833 321627
5 Odd BK 14734 271924
6 Hodd 14635 221921
7 Sandnes Ulf 14626 222020
8 Ranheim 14626 343420
9 Egersund 14617 242519
10 Bryne 14527 192317
11 Moss 14527 233217
12 Sogndal 14437 253615
13 Lyn 1896 14419 173013
14 Raufoss 14419 173113
15 Asane 14419 203012
16 Strommen 14329 183611

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSandnes UlfKongsvinger
Ranheim 1-5 L 1-1 D
Sogndal 2-0 W 5-1 W
Asane 0-2 L 3-1 W
Egersund 4-2 W 2-1 W
Stabaek 0-1 L 0-2 L
Haugesund 0-2 L 2-4 L
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 4 L 3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Kongsvinger (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sandnes Ulf

LLWLWLWWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 Bryne
Norway Division 1
0-0 1-1 33 D
27/06 Raufoss
Norway Division 1
0-0 3-0 53 W
21/06 Moss
Norway Division 1
1-0 4-1 45 W
14/06 Strommen
Norway Division 1
0-0 2-0 70 W
31/05 Ranheim
Norway Division 1
0-3 1-5 62 L
25/05 Sogndal
Norway Division 1
1-0 2-0 64 W
20/05 Asane
Norway Division 1
0-1 0-2 88 L
15/05 Egersund
Norway Division 1
2-0 4-2 25 W
10/05 Stabaek
Norway Division 1
0-1 0-1 96 L
01/05 Haugesund
Norway Division 1
0-1 0-2 53 L

Kongsvinger

WDWWLWWDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/07 Sogndal
Norway Division 1
4-1 5-1 41 W
27/06 Haugesund
Norway Division 1
2-3 2-4 64 L
21/06 Stromsgodset
Norway Division 1
1-2 4-4 92 D
14/06 Hodd
Norway Division 1
0-1 2-1 84 W
31/05 Asane
Norway Division 1
0-1 3-1 102 W
25/05 Stabaek
Norway Division 1
0-1 0-2 63 L
20/05 Odd BK
Norway Division 1
0-1 4-2 42 W
16/05 Lyn 1896
Norway Division 1
2-0 3-0 52 W
08/05 Ranheim
Norway Division 1
1-1 1-1 83 D
01/05 Egersund
Norway Division 1
1-0 2-1 45 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sandnes Ulf vs Kongsvinger?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Kongsvinger win (49%). Probabilities: Sandnes Ulf 27%, draw 24%, Kongsvinger 49%.

How many goals are expected in Sandnes Ulf vs Kongsvinger?

The model expects 3.46 goals (Sandnes Ulf 1.46 · Kongsvinger 2), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Sandnes Ulf vs Kongsvinger?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.