Football · Norway Division 1 · 03/08, 19:00

Prediction: Ranheim vs Haugesund

Team pages: Ranheim · Haugesund

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.33Total

Ranheim1.97

Haugesund2.35

1X2

32% 22% 46%

Ranheim Draw Haugesund

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 63%

Most likely score

1-2

Recent form · 10 last

Ranheim 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LWLWDLWLLL

Haugesund 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LDWWWWLWWL

Head-to-head

Ranheim 3–3 Haugesund (6 last)

Haugesund4-1Ranheim
Haugesund0-1Ranheim
Ranheim0-2Haugesund
Haugesund2-0Ranheim
Ranheim4-2Haugesund
Haugesund2-3Ranheim

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ranheim 1455 · Haugesund 1538

	Ranheim	Draw	Haugesund
Our model	33%	21%	47%
Market	31%	23%	46%

Estimated total (ours) 4.33 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Haugesund (rating 1455 vs 1538).
High corners: 13 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ranheim	Haugesund
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 3	3 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1	1.6 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 6.6	3.5 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0.1	3.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.90

X4.00

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.93

2 (-0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 41.95

Under 41.85

Diff.: 1.2 · xG: 5.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.00 → 2.00	Pinn 2.20 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.5% Pinnacle margin 6.3%

Time*	1	X	2
00:22 +1’	2.90	4.00	2.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:23	2.88	3.83	2.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Ranheim 3–0–3 Haugesund

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/06/26 Norway Division 1	Haugesund	4-1 HT 2-1	Ranheim
11/08/19 Norway Eliteserien	Haugesund	0-1 HT 0-0	Ranheim
14/04/19 Norway Eliteserien	Ranheim	0-2 HT 0-0	Haugesund
04/11/18 Norway Eliteserien	Haugesund	2-0 HT 1-0	Ranheim
15/04/18 Norway Eliteserien	Ranheim	4-2 HT 2-1	Haugesund
10/03/17 Europe Friendlies	Haugesund	2-3 HT 0-1	Ranheim

Standings · Norway Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kongsvinger	15	10	3	2	42	22	33
2	Haugesund	15	10	1	4	44	28	31
3	Stabaek	15	9	3	3	38	16	30
4	Stromsgodset	15	8	5	2	42	23	29
5	Odd BK	15	7	4	4	27	19	25
6	Hodd	15	6	3	6	22	25	21
7	Ranheim	15	6	2	7	36	37	20
8	Egersund	15	6	2	7	27	28	20
9	Sandnes Ulf	15	6	2	7	23	26	20
10	Bryne	15	6	2	7	21	24	20
11	Sogndal	15	5	3	7	28	38	18
12	Moss	15	5	2	8	24	34	17
13	Raufoss	15	5	1	9	19	32	16
14	Lyn 1896	15	4	2	9	18	31	14
15	Asane	15	4	2	9	23	33	13
16	Strommen	15	3	3	9	18	36	12

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ranheim	Haugesund
Sogndal	2-3 L	1-5 L
Asane	0-3 L	1-1 D
Strommen	2-2 D	7-0 W
Odd BK	1-3 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Haugesund (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ranheim

LWLWDLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Sogndal Norway Division 1	0-1	2-3	10	3	L
03/07	Stabaek Norway Division 1	0-2	2-5	3	0	L
27/06	Asane Norway Division 1	0-0	0-3	12	1	L
19/06	Lyn 1896 Norway Division 1	1-1	3-2	5	1	W
14/06	Haugesund Norway Division 1	1-2	1-4	4	3	L
07/06	Strommen Norway Division 1	1-1	2-2	7	4	D
31/05	Sandnes Ulf Norway Division 1	3-0	5-1	8	2	W
25/05	Odd BK Norway Division 1	1-2	1-3	6	2	L
20/05	Hodd Norway Division 1	0-1	3-2	8	5	W
16/05	Stromsgodset Norway Division 1	1-0	4-5	3	4	L

Haugesund

LDWWWWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Bryne Norway Division 1	1-0	1-2	7	3	L
05/07	Odd BK Norway Division 1	1-0	3-1	5	5	W
27/06	Kongsvinger Norway Division 1	3-2	4-2	10	4	W
21/06	Egersund Norway Division 1	1-3	2-5	3	5	L
14/06	Ranheim Norway Division 1	2-1	4-1	5	3	W
31/05	Raufoss Norway Division 1	4-0	4-3	7	3	W
25/05	Moss Norway Division 1	0-0	3-1	9	2	W
20/05	Strommen Norway Division 1	3-0	7-0	3	1	W
16/05	Asane Norway Division 1	1-1	1-1	8	5	D
10/05	Sogndal Norway Division 1	0-2	1-5	7	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ranheim vs Haugesund?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Haugesund win (46%). Probabilities: Ranheim 32%, draw 22%, Haugesund 46%.

How many goals are expected in Ranheim vs Haugesund?

The model expects 4.33 goals (Ranheim 1.97 · Haugesund 2.35), with a 51% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Ranheim vs Haugesund?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.