Prediction: Hodd vs Moss
- Moss1-0Hodd
- Hodd2-1Moss
- Moss3-1Hodd
- Moss3-0Hodd
- Hodd1-1Moss
- Moss1-3Hodd
| Hodd | Draw | Moss | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 24% | 30% |
| Market | 46% | 25% | 30% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hodd (rating 1528 vs 1443).
- H2H favours Moss: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hodd | Moss | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.4 | 1.7 / 2.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.3 | 0.9 / 1.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/40/0% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.5 | 3.4 / 6.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.1 | 3.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hodd 2–1–3 Moss
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/26 Norway Division 1 | Moss | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Hodd |
| 20/09/25 Norway Division 1 | Hodd | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Moss |
| 18/06/25 Norway Division 1 | Moss | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Hodd |
| 01/10/23 Norway Division 1 | Moss | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Hodd |
| 13/05/23 Norway Division 1 | Hodd | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Moss |
| 06/11/21 Norway Division 2 Group 1 | Moss | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Hodd |
Standings · Norway Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kongsvinger | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 42 | 22 | 33 |
| 2 | Haugesund | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 44 | 28 | 31 |
| 3 | Stromsgodset | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 42 | 23 | 29 |
| 4 | Stabaek | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 16 | 27 |
| 5 | Odd BK | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 19 | 25 |
| 6 | Hodd | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 19 | 21 |
| 7 | Ranheim | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 36 | 37 | 20 |
| 8 | Egersund | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 27 | 28 | 20 |
| 9 | Sandnes Ulf | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 26 | 20 |
| 10 | Bryne | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 24 | 20 |
| 11 | Sogndal | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 38 | 18 |
| 12 | Moss | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 34 | 17 |
| 13 | Raufoss | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 32 | 16 |
| 14 | Lyn 1896 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 18 | 31 | 14 |
| 15 | Asane | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 33 | 13 |
| 16 | Strommen | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 36 | 12 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hodd | Moss |
|---|---|---|
| Stromsgodset | 4-3 W | 1-1 D |
| Odd BK | 0-0 D | 3-2 W |
| Bryne | 0-1 L | 2-3 L |
| Egersund | 3-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Sogndal | 2-2 D | 4-2 W |
| Strommen | 2-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Hodd (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hodd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Stromsgodset Norway Division 1 |
3-2 | 4-3 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 27/06 | Lyn 1896 Norway Division 1 |
2-1 | 4-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 21/06 | Odd BK Norway Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 14/06 | Kongsvinger Norway Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 31/05 | Bryne Norway Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 25/05 | Egersund Norway Division 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 20/05 | Ranheim Norway Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | Sogndal Norway Division 1 |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 10/05 | Strommen Norway Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 01/05 | Asane Norway Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
Moss
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Raufoss Norway Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 12 | 3 | L |
| 04/07 | Egersund Norway Division 1 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 27/06 | Strommen Norway Division 1 |
1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 21/06 | Sandnes Ulf Norway Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-4 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 14/06 | Sogndal Norway Division 1 |
3-2 | 4-2 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 30/05 | Stabaek Norway Division 1 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 25/05 | Haugesund Norway Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-3 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 20/05 | Stromsgodset Norway Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 16/05 | Odd BK Norway Division 1 |
1-2 | 3-2 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Bryne Norway Division 1 |
0-3 | 2-3 | 11 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hodd vs Moss?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Hodd win (46%). Probabilities: Hodd 46%, draw 24%, Moss 30%.
How many goals are expected in Hodd vs Moss?
The model expects 3.48 goals (Hodd 1.94 · Moss 1.54), with a 53% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Hodd vs Moss?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.