Football · Norway Division 1 · 26/07, 17:00
Prediction: Sogndal vs Ranheim
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.25Total
Sogndal2.21
Ranheim2.04
1X2
Sogndal
Draw
Ranheim
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 63%
Most likely score
2-2
Recent form · 10 last
Sogndal
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Ranheim
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sogndal
1–5
Ranheim
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sogndal 1466 · Ranheim 1487
| Sogndal | Draw | Ranheim | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 21% | 36% |
| Market | 41% | 23% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.25 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Ranheim: 5-0-1.
- High corners: 13 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sogndal | Ranheim | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 2.6 | 2.2 / 2.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 1.5 | 0.9 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/0/60% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 6.9 | 1.9 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0 | 2.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sogndal 1–0–5 Ranheim
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/25 Norway Division 1 | Sogndal | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Ranheim |
| 21/04/25 Norway Division 1 | Ranheim | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Sogndal |
| 25/08/24 Norway Division 1 | Sogndal | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Ranheim |
| 20/07/24 Norway Division 1 | Ranheim | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Sogndal |
| 02/09/23 Norway Division 1 | Sogndal | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Ranheim |
| 21/05/23 Norway Division 1 | Ranheim | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Sogndal |
Standings · Norway Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haugesund | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 43 | 26 | 31 |
| 2 | Kongsvinger | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 36 | 21 | 30 |
| 3 | Stromsgodset | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 22 | 28 |
| 4 | Stabaek | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 16 | 27 |
| 5 | Odd BK | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 19 | 24 |
| 6 | Hodd | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 19 | 21 |
| 7 | Sandnes Ulf | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 20 | 20 |
| 8 | Ranheim | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 34 | 34 | 20 |
| 9 | Egersund | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 25 | 19 |
| 10 | Bryne | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 23 | 17 |
| 11 | Moss | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 32 | 17 |
| 12 | Sogndal | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 15 |
| 13 | Lyn 1896 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 30 | 13 |
| 14 | Raufoss | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 31 | 13 |
| 15 | Asane | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 20 | 30 | 12 |
| 16 | Strommen | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 18 | 36 | 11 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sogndal | Ranheim |
|---|---|---|
| Kongsvinger | 1-5 L | 1-1 D |
| Strommen | 3-2 W | 2-2 D |
| Sandnes Ulf | 0-2 L | 5-1 W |
| Stabaek | 2-2 D | 2-5 L |
| Hodd | 2-2 D | 3-2 W |
| Haugesund | 5-1 W | 1-4 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sogndal
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Kongsvinger Norway Division 1 |
1-4 | 1-5 | 10 | 1 | L |
| 27/06 | Egersund Norway Division 1 |
3-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 21/06 | Raufoss Norway Division 1 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 14/06 | Moss Norway Division 1 |
2-3 | 2-4 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 31/05 | Strommen Norway Division 1 |
1-0 | 3-2 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 25/05 | Sandnes Ulf Norway Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 20/05 | Stabaek Norway Division 1 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 16/05 | Hodd Norway Division 1 |
0-2 | 2-2 | 13 | 4 | D |
| 10/05 | Haugesund Norway Division 1 |
2-0 | 5-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 01/05 | Bryne Norway Division 1 |
0-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | D |
Ranheim
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Stabaek Norway Division 1 |
0-2 | 2-5 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 27/06 | Asane Norway Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-3 | 12 | 1 | L |
| 19/06 | Lyn 1896 Norway Division 1 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 14/06 | Haugesund Norway Division 1 |
1-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 07/06 | Strommen Norway Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 31/05 | Sandnes Ulf Norway Division 1 |
3-0 | 5-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 25/05 | Odd BK Norway Division 1 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 20/05 | Hodd Norway Division 1 |
0-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | Stromsgodset Norway Division 1 |
1-0 | 4-5 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 08/05 | Kongsvinger Norway Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sogndal vs Ranheim?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sogndal win (42%). Probabilities: Sogndal 42%, draw 22%, Ranheim 36%.
How many goals are expected in Sogndal vs Ranheim?
The model expects 4.25 goals (Sogndal 2.21 · Ranheim 2.04), with a 53% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Sogndal vs Ranheim?
The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-2.