Football · Norway Division 1 · 27/07, 19:00

Prediction: Stabaek vs Hodd

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.43Total
Stabaek2.34
Hodd1.09
1X2
64% 20% 16%
Stabaek Draw Hodd
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Stabaek 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
WWLDWDWLWW
Hodd 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
WWDLWLLDWW
Head-to-head
Stabaek 1–1–0 Hodd (2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Stabaek 1567 · Hodd 1518
StabaekDrawHodd
Our model64%20%16%
Market65%19%16%
Estimated total (ours) 3.43 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stabaek (rating 1567 vs 1518).
  • High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

StabaekHodd
Goals for / against (FT)2.2 / 11.9 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)1.1 / 0.61.1 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/20/30%60/40/0%
Corners (HT / FT)2.9 / 8.12 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3 / 04.4 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Stabaek 110 Hodd

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DateHomeScoreAway
25/10/25
Norway Division 1
Hodd1-3
HT 1-2
Stabaek
31/03/25
Norway Division 1
Stabaek1-1
HT 0-0
Hodd

Standings · Norway Division 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Haugesund 141013 432631
2 Kongsvinger 14932 362130
3 Stromsgodset 14842 412228
4 Stabaek 14833 321627
5 Odd BK 14734 271924
6 Hodd 14635 221921
7 Sandnes Ulf 14626 222020
8 Ranheim 14626 343420
9 Egersund 14617 242519
10 Bryne 14527 192317
11 Moss 14527 233217
12 Sogndal 14437 253615
13 Lyn 1896 14419 173013
14 Raufoss 14419 173113
15 Asane 14419 203012
16 Strommen 14329 183611

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentStabaekHodd
Ranheim 5-2 W 2-3 L
Bryne 2-0 W 0-1 L
Strommen 0-1 L 2-1 W
Egersund 3-1 W 3-1 W
Kongsvinger 2-0 W 1-2 L
Sogndal 2-2 D 2-2 D
Lyn 1896 4-0 W 4-1 W
Record vs common 5 W 1 D 1 L 3 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Stabaek (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Stabaek

WWLDWDWLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/07 Ranheim
Norway Division 1
2-0 5-2 70 W
27/06 Bryne
Norway Division 1
2-0 2-0 71 W
21/06 Strommen
Norway Division 1
0-0 0-1 82 L
14/06 Egersund
Norway Division 1
0-0 3-1 72 W
30/05 Moss
Norway Division 1
1-2 2-2 45 D
25/05 Kongsvinger
Norway Division 1
1-0 2-0 73 W
20/05 Sogndal
Norway Division 1
1-2 2-2 165 D
16/05 Raufoss
Norway Division 1
0-2 1-2 122 L
10/05 Sandnes Ulf
Norway Division 1
1-0 1-0 46 W
01/05 Lyn 1896
Norway Division 1
3-0 4-0 94 W

Hodd

WWDLWLLDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 Stromsgodset
Norway Division 1
3-2 4-3 17 W
27/06 Lyn 1896
Norway Division 1
2-1 4-1 25 W
21/06 Odd BK
Norway Division 1
0-0 0-0 24 D
14/06 Kongsvinger
Norway Division 1
1-0 1-2 74 L
31/05 Bryne
Norway Division 1
0-0 0-1 45 L
25/05 Egersund
Norway Division 1
2-0 3-1 43 W
20/05 Ranheim
Norway Division 1
1-0 2-3 25 L
16/05 Sogndal
Norway Division 1
2-0 2-2 34 D
10/05 Strommen
Norway Division 1
0-0 2-1 64 W
01/05 Asane
Norway Division 1
0-0 1-0 44 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Stabaek vs Hodd?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Stabaek win (64%). Probabilities: Stabaek 64%, draw 20%, Hodd 16%.

How many goals are expected in Stabaek vs Hodd?

The model expects 3.43 goals (Stabaek 2.34 · Hodd 1.09), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Stabaek vs Hodd?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.