Football · Norway Division 1 · 26/07, 17:00

Prediction: Asane vs Egersund

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.23Total
Asane1.47
Egersund1.75
1X2
31% 25% 43%
Asane Draw Egersund
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Asane 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
LLDWWLWLWL
Egersund 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
WLLDLLLWLW
Head-to-head
Asane 1–2–3 Egersund (6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Asane 1489 · Egersund 1456
AsaneDrawEgersund
Our model31%25%43%
Market31%25%43%
Estimated total (ours) 3.23 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Egersund: 3-2-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

AsaneEgersund
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 1.61.6 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.80.8 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/60/20%30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)0.9 / 3.22.9 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.6 / 0.22.8 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Asane 123 Egersund

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DateHomeScoreAway
23/08/25
Norway Division 1
Egersund1-1
HT 0-0
Asane
05/04/25
Norway Division 1
Asane0-2
HT 0-2
Egersund
28/09/24
Norway Division 1
Asane1-2
HT 1-1
Egersund
05/06/24
Norway Division 1
Egersund1-0
HT 0-0
Asane
04/10/14
Norway Division 2 Group 3
Asane6-2
HT 4-1
Egersund
21/06/14
Norway Division 2 Group 3
Egersund2-2
HT 1-1
Asane

Standings · Norway Division 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Haugesund 141013 432631
2 Kongsvinger 14932 362130
3 Stromsgodset 14842 412228
4 Stabaek 14833 321627
5 Odd BK 14734 271924
6 Hodd 14635 221921
7 Sandnes Ulf 14626 222020
8 Ranheim 14626 343420
9 Egersund 14617 242519
10 Bryne 14527 192317
11 Moss 14527 233217
12 Sogndal 14437 253615
13 Lyn 1896 14419 173013
14 Raufoss 14419 173113
15 Asane 14419 203012
16 Strommen 14329 183611

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAsaneEgersund
Lyn 1896 2-6 L 0-0 D
Odd BK 2-1 W 0-1 L
Raufoss 3-0 W 2-1 W
Sandnes Ulf 2-0 W 2-4 L
Haugesund 1-1 D 5-2 W
Stromsgodset 0-3 L 0-5 L
Hodd 0-1 L 1-3 L
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 3 L 2 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Asane (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Asane

LLDWWLWLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/07 Lyn 1896
Norway Division 1
0-5 2-6 42 L
27/06 Ranheim
Norway Division 1
0-0 3-0 31 W
21/06 Bryne
Norway Division 1
0-1 0-1 47 L
14/06 Odd BK
Norway Division 1
1-1 2-1 15 W
31/05 Kongsvinger
Norway Division 1
1-0 1-3 12 L
25/05 Raufoss
Norway Division 1
0-0 3-0 51 W
20/05 Sandnes Ulf
Norway Division 1
1-0 2-0 18 W
16/05 Haugesund
Norway Division 1
1-1 1-1 45 D
10/05 Stromsgodset
Norway Division 1
0-0 0-3 73 L
01/05 Hodd
Norway Division 1
0-0 0-1 24 L

Egersund

WLLDLLLWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 Moss
Norway Division 1
2-0 3-0 92 W
27/06 Sogndal
Norway Division 1
1-3 2-4 55 L
21/06 Haugesund
Norway Division 1
3-1 5-2 15 W
14/06 Stabaek
Norway Division 1
0-0 1-3 12 L
31/05 Stromsgodset
Norway Division 1
0-2 0-5 81 L
25/05 Hodd
Norway Division 1
0-2 1-3 63 L
20/05 Lyn 1896
Norway Division 1
0-0 0-0 93 D
15/05 Sandnes Ulf
Norway Division 1
0-2 2-4 35 L
11/05 Odd BK
Norway Division 1
0-0 0-1 62 L
06/05 Raufoss
Norway Division 1
2-0 2-1 70 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Asane vs Egersund?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Egersund win (43%). Probabilities: Asane 31%, draw 25%, Egersund 43%.

How many goals are expected in Asane vs Egersund?

The model expects 3.23 goals (Asane 1.47 · Egersund 1.75), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Asane vs Egersund?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.