Football · Norway Division 1 · 02/08, 17:00

Prediction: Raufoss vs Stabaek

Team pages: Raufoss · Stabaek

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.36Total
Raufoss1.22
Stabaek2.15
1X2
20% 22% 58%
Raufoss Draw Stabaek
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Raufoss 5-0-5 (W-D-L)
LWWLLLWLWW
Stabaek 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
WLDWDWLWWW
Head-to-head
Raufoss 3–1–2 Stabaek (6 last)
  • Stabaek1-2Raufoss
  • Stabaek3-0Raufoss
  • Raufoss1-0Stabaek
  • Stabaek1-2Raufoss
  • Raufoss0-0Stabaek
  • Raufoss2-3Stabaek
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Raufoss 1492 · Stabaek 1565
RaufossDrawStabaek
Our model20%22%58%
Market20%22%58%
Estimated total (ours) 3.36 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stabaek (rating 1492 vs 1565).
  • H2H favours Raufoss: 3-1-2.
  • High corners: 12.3 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

RaufossStabaek
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 22.4 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.81.1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)3 / 4.62.8 / 7.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.3 / 03 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Raufoss 312 Stabaek

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DateHomeScoreAway
16/05/26
Norway Division 1
Stabaek1-2
HT 0-2
Raufoss
21/09/25
Norway Division 1
Stabaek3-0
HT 1-0
Raufoss
24/05/25
Norway Division 1
Raufoss1-0
HT 1-0
Stabaek
16/09/24
Norway Division 1
Stabaek1-2
HT 0-1
Raufoss
20/07/24
Norway Division 1
Raufoss0-0
HT 0-0
Stabaek
26/01/24
Europe Friendlies
Raufoss2-3
HT 1-3
Stabaek

Standings · Norway Division 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Kongsvinger 151032 422233
2 Haugesund 151014 442831
3 Stabaek 15933 381630
4 Stromsgodset 15852 422329
5 Odd BK 15744 271925
6 Hodd 15636 222521
7 Ranheim 15627 363720
8 Egersund 15627 272820
9 Sandnes Ulf 15627 232620
10 Bryne 15627 212420
11 Sogndal 15537 283818
12 Moss 15528 243417
13 Raufoss 15519 193216
14 Lyn 1896 15429 183114
15 Asane 15429 233313
16 Strommen 15339 183612

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentRaufossStabaek
Moss 2-1 W 2-2 D
Strommen 1-0 W 0-1 L
Sandnes Ulf 0-3 L 1-0 W
Sogndal 3-1 W 2-2 D
Bryne 3-0 W 2-0 W
Record vs common 4 W 0 D 1 L 2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Raufoss (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Raufoss

LWWLLLWLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/07 Moss
Norway Division 1
1-1 2-1 53 W
03/07 Strommen
Norway Division 1
0-0 1-0 64 W
27/06 Sandnes Ulf
Norway Division 1
0-0 0-3 33 L
21/06 Sogndal
Norway Division 1
2-1 3-1 62 W
14/06 Stromsgodset
Norway Division 1
1-2 1-6 21 L
31/05 Haugesund
Norway Division 1
0-4 3-4 43 L
25/05 Asane
Norway Division 1
0-0 0-3 51 L
20/05 Bryne
Norway Division 1
1-0 3-0 73 W
16/05 Stabaek
Norway Division 1
2-0 2-1 32 W
10/05 Lyn 1896
Norway Division 1
0-0 0-1 51 L

Stabaek

WLDWDWLWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/07 Hodd
Norway Division 1
3-0 6-0 54 W
03/07 Ranheim
Norway Division 1
2-0 5-2 70 W
27/06 Bryne
Norway Division 1
2-0 2-0 71 W
21/06 Strommen
Norway Division 1
0-0 0-1 82 L
14/06 Egersund
Norway Division 1
0-0 3-1 72 W
30/05 Moss
Norway Division 1
1-2 2-2 45 D
25/05 Kongsvinger
Norway Division 1
1-0 2-0 73 W
20/05 Sogndal
Norway Division 1
1-2 2-2 165 D
16/05 Raufoss
Norway Division 1
0-2 1-2 122 L
10/05 Sandnes Ulf
Norway Division 1
1-0 1-0 46 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Raufoss vs Stabaek?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Stabaek win (58%). Probabilities: Raufoss 20%, draw 22%, Stabaek 58%.

How many goals are expected in Raufoss vs Stabaek?

The model expects 3.36 goals (Raufoss 1.22 · Stabaek 2.15), with a 53% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Raufoss vs Stabaek?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.