Football · Norway Division 1 · 09/08, 17:00

Prediction: Strommen vs Ranheim

Team pages: Strommen · Ranheim

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.91Total

Strommen1.9

Ranheim2.01

1X2

36% 24% 40%

Strommen Draw Ranheim

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Strommen 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LLLDLWWLDW

Ranheim 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LWLWDLWLLL

Head-to-head

Strommen 1–3–2 Ranheim (6 last)

Ranheim2-2Strommen
Ranheim5-2Strommen
Strommen0-0Ranheim
Strommen1-1Ranheim
Ranheim5-1Strommen
Strommen1-0Ranheim

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Strommen 1473 · Ranheim 1456

	Strommen	Draw	Ranheim
Our model	36%	22%	41%
Market	35%	25%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 3.91 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Ranheim: 2-3-1.
High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Strommen	Ranheim
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.9	2.3 / 3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.7	0.8 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 4.6	2.2 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.1	2.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.60

X3.60

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.98

2 (0)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.90

Under 3.51.90

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 4.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.7%

Time*	1	X	2
11:21 +5’	2.60	3.60	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Strommen 1–3–2 Ranheim

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/06/26 Norway Division 1	Ranheim	2-2 HT 1-1	Strommen
02/10/21 Norway Division 1	Ranheim	5-2 HT 1-0	Strommen
30/05/21 Norway Division 1	Strommen	0-0 HT 0-0	Ranheim
28/09/20 Norway Division 1	Strommen	1-1 HT 1-0	Ranheim
24/08/20 Norway Division 1	Ranheim	5-1 HT 2-0	Strommen
16/08/17 Norway Division 1	Strommen	1-0 HT 1-0	Ranheim

Standings · Norway Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Stabaek	16	10	3	3	40	16	33
2	Kongsvinger	16	10	3	3	43	25	33
3	Stromsgodset	16	9	5	2	44	23	32
4	Haugesund	15	10	1	4	44	28	31
5	Odd BK	16	8	4	4	31	20	28
6	Hodd	16	7	3	6	24	26	24
7	Egersund	16	7	2	7	29	28	23
8	Ranheim	15	6	2	7	36	37	20
9	Sandnes Ulf	16	6	2	8	23	28	20
10	Bryne	16	6	2	8	21	26	20
11	Sogndal	16	5	3	8	30	41	18
12	Moss	16	5	2	9	25	36	17
13	Lyn 1896	16	5	2	9	21	33	17
14	Raufoss	16	5	1	10	19	34	16
15	Strommen	16	4	3	9	21	37	15
16	Asane	16	4	2	10	24	37	13

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Strommen	Ranheim
Odd BK	0-0 D	1-3 L
Stabaek	1-0 W	2-5 L
Sandnes Ulf	0-2 L	5-1 W
Sogndal	2-3 L	2-3 L
Lyn 1896	0-1 L	3-2 W
Haugesund	0-7 L	1-4 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 4 L	2 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Ranheim (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Strommen

LLLDLWWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	Kongsvinger Norway Division 1	0-0	3-1	2	3	W
26/07	Odd BK Norway Division 1	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
03/07	Raufoss Norway Division 1	0-0	0-1	10	4	L
27/06	Moss Norway Division 1	2-1	3-2	4	5	W
21/06	Stabaek Norway Division 1	0-0	1-0	5	2	W
14/06	Sandnes Ulf Norway Division 1	0-0	0-2	2	0	L
07/06	Ranheim Norway Division 1	1-1	2-2	4	4	D
31/05	Sogndal Norway Division 1	0-1	2-3	6	6	L
25/05	Lyn 1896 Norway Division 1	0-1	0-1	4	1	L
20/05	Haugesund Norway Division 1	0-3	0-7	4	1	L

Ranheim

LWLWDLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Sogndal Norway Division 1	0-1	2-3	10	3	L
03/07	Stabaek Norway Division 1	0-2	2-5	3	0	L
27/06	Asane Norway Division 1	0-0	0-3	12	1	L
19/06	Lyn 1896 Norway Division 1	1-1	3-2	5	1	W
14/06	Haugesund Norway Division 1	1-2	1-4	4	3	L
07/06	Strommen Norway Division 1	1-1	2-2	7	4	D
31/05	Sandnes Ulf Norway Division 1	3-0	5-1	8	2	W
25/05	Odd BK Norway Division 1	1-2	1-3	6	2	L
20/05	Hodd Norway Division 1	0-1	3-2	8	5	W
16/05	Stromsgodset Norway Division 1	1-0	4-5	3	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Strommen vs Ranheim?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Ranheim win (40%). Probabilities: Strommen 36%, draw 24%, Ranheim 40%.

How many goals are expected in Strommen vs Ranheim?

The model expects 3.91 goals (Strommen 1.9 · Ranheim 2.01), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Strommen vs Ranheim?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.