Football · Norway Division 1 · 10/08, 19:00

Prediction: Moss vs Odd BK

Team pages: Moss · Odd BK

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.56Total
Moss1.6
Odd BK1.96
1X2
31% 24% 45%
Moss Draw Odd BK
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Moss 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
WDLDWLLLLL
Odd BK 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
LLWWLDDLDW
Head-to-head
Moss 2–1–2 Odd BK (5 last)
  • Odd BK2-3Moss
  • Odd BK2-0Moss
  • Moss2-2Odd BK
  • Odd BK2-0Moss
  • Odd BK1-2Moss
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Moss 1436 · Odd BK 1502
MossDrawOdd BK
Our model31%24%45%
Market31%24%45%
Estimated total (ours) 3.56 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Odd BK (rating 1436 vs 1502).
  • High corners: 13.1 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

MossOdd BK
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 2.41.8 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 1.31.2 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/20/50%50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.8 / 6.62.3 / 6.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.5 / 0.23.4 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Moss 212 Odd BK

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DateHomeScoreAway
16/05/26
Norway Division 1
Odd BK2-3
HT 2-1
Moss
13/03/26
Europe Friendlies
Odd BK2-0
HT 1-0
Moss
17/08/25
Norway Division 1
Moss2-2
HT 0-1
Odd BK
16/05/25
Norway Division 1
Odd BK2-0
HT 0-0
Moss
01/03/25
Europe Friendlies
Odd BK1-2
HT 0-2
Moss

Standings · Norway Division 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Stabaek 171133 441936
2 Haugesund 161114 483134
3 Kongsvinger 161033 432533
4 Stromsgodset 16952 442332
5 Odd BK 16844 312028
6 Hodd 16736 242624
7 Egersund 16727 292823
8 Ranheim 16628 394120
9 Sandnes Ulf 16628 232820
10 Bryne 16628 212620
11 Sogndal 16538 304118
12 Moss 16529 253617
13 Lyn 1896 175210 243717
14 Raufoss 165110 193416
15 Strommen 16439 213715
16 Asane 164210 243713

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMossOdd BK
Hodd 1-2 L 0-0 D
Strommen 2-3 L 0-0 D
Haugesund 1-3 L 1-3 L
Stromsgodset 1-1 D 2-2 D
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 3 L 0 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Odd BK (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Moss

WDLDWLLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/08 Hodd
Norway Division 1
1-2 1-2 86 L
26/07 Raufoss
Norway Division 1
1-1 1-2 123 L
04/07 Egersund
Norway Division 1
0-2 0-3 02 L
27/06 Strommen
Norway Division 1
1-2 2-3 45 L
21/06 Sandnes Ulf
Norway Division 1
0-1 1-4 75 L
14/06 Sogndal
Norway Division 1
3-2 4-2 73 W
30/05 Stabaek
Norway Division 1
2-1 2-2 75 D
25/05 Haugesund
Norway Division 1
0-0 1-3 112 L
20/05 Stromsgodset
Norway Division 1
1-0 1-1 32 D
16/05 Odd BK
Norway Division 1
1-2 3-2 74 W

Odd BK

LLWWLDDLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/08 Asane
Norway Division 1
4-1 4-1 92 W
26/07 Strommen
Norway Division 1
0-0 0-0 64 D
05/07 Haugesund
Norway Division 1
0-1 1-3 55 L
27/06 Stromsgodset
Norway Division 1
1-1 2-2 45 D
21/06 Hodd
Norway Division 1
0-0 0-0 74 D
14/06 Asane
Norway Division 1
1-1 1-2 115 L
30/05 Lyn 1896
Norway Division 1
1-0 3-0 52 W
25/05 Ranheim
Norway Division 1
2-1 3-1 92 W
20/05 Kongsvinger
Norway Division 1
1-0 2-4 62 L
16/05 Moss
Norway Division 1
2-1 2-3 34 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Moss vs Odd BK?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Odd BK win (45%). Probabilities: Moss 31%, draw 24%, Odd BK 45%.

How many goals are expected in Moss vs Odd BK?

The model expects 3.56 goals (Moss 1.6 · Odd BK 1.96), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Moss vs Odd BK?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.