Football · Norway Division 1 · 01/11, 17:00

Prediction: Egersund vs Strommen

Team pages: Egersund · Strommen

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.74Total

Egersund2.24

Strommen1.5

1X2

53% 22% 25%

Egersund Draw Strommen

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Egersund 1-6-3 (W-D-L)

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Strommen 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Egersund 2–1 Strommen (3 last)

Strommen0-3Egersund
Strommen1-3Egersund
Egersund1-2Strommen

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Egersund 1515 · Strommen 1542

	Egersund	Draw	Strommen
Our model	53%	22%	25%
Market	53%	23%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 3.74 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Egersund: 2-0-1.
High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Egersund	Strommen
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 2.4	2.4 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1.3	1.1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 6.2	3.1 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.2	3.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.70

X3.90

23.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.95

2 (+0.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.82

Under 3.251.98

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.8

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 01:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.75 → 1.70▼	Bet365 1.70
X	3.80 → 3.90▲	Pinn 4.23
2	3.50 → 3.70▲	Pinn 4.25 ★

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 6.7%

Time*	1	X	2
11:25 +1’	1.75	3.80	3.50
00:16 +3’	1.65▼	3.90▲	3.90▲
01:22 +5’	1.70▲	3.90	3.70▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
20:39 +224’	1.88	3.94	3.55
20:17 +18’	1.77▼	4.07▲	3.94▲
02:02 +26’	1.72▼	4.13▲	4.09▲
04:03 +13’	1.65▼	4.26▲	4.45▲
05:04 +12’	1.65▲	4.23▼	4.39▼
08:13 +4’	1.68▲	4.19▼	4.25▼
15:32 +3’	1.68▼	4.23▲	4.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3.25

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Egersund 2–0–1 Strommen

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Norway Division 1	Strommen	0-3 HT 0-2	Egersund
14/08/22 Norway Division 2 Group 1	Strommen	1-3 HT 0-2	Egersund
03/07/22 Norway Division 2 Group 1	Egersund	1-2 HT 0-1	Strommen

Standings · Norway Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Haugesund	28	20	2	6	81	47	62
2	Stromsgodset	28	18	6	4	76	34	60
3	Kongsvinger	28	18	5	5	82	45	59
4	Stabaek	28	17	4	7	66	34	55
5	Odd BK	28	13	6	9	54	43	45
6	Bryne	28	12	4	12	40	41	40
7	Ranheim	28	11	5	12	71	68	38
8	Hodd	28	11	5	12	49	56	38
9	Strommen	28	10	6	12	49	59	36
10	Egersund	28	9	8	11	45	56	35
11	Lyn 1896	28	9	4	15	42	59	31
12	Sogndal	28	8	6	14	47	61	30
13	Sandnes Ulf	28	8	5	15	39	55	29
14	Moss	28	8	5	15	41	59	29
15	Asane	28	7	5	16	40	62	25
16	Raufoss	28	6	2	20	31	74	20

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Egersund	Strommen
Bryne	3-3 D	2-0 W
Sogndal	3-3 D	1-1 D
Moss	0-0 D	2-1 W
Odd BK	1-5 L	2-1 W
Asane	2-2 D	6-1 W
Haugesund	0-3 L	2-4 L
Record vs common	0 W 4 D 2 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Strommen (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Egersund

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Bryne Norway Division 1	1-3	3-3	9	5	D
18/10	Sogndal Norway Division 1	2-1	3-3	8	4	D
14/10	Moss Norway Division 1	0-0	0-0	9	0	D
11/10	Hodd Norway Division 1	2-0	3-1	5	6	W
02/10	Ranheim Norway Division 1	0-3	0-5	4	3	L
20/09	Odd BK Norway Division 1	1-2	1-5	6	6	L
13/09	Kongsvinger Norway Division 1	1-0	1-1	12	3	D
06/09	Lyn 1896 Norway Division 1	1-0	1-1	0	4	D
30/08	Asane Norway Division 1	1-1	2-2	6	4	D
26/08	Haugesund Norway Division 1	0-3	0-3	3	6	L

Strommen

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Stromsgodset Norway Division 1	0-0	1-0	6	5	W
18/10	Odd BK Norway Division 1	0-1	2-1	1	5	W
14/10	Asane Norway Division 1	2-0	6-1	7	1	W
11/10	Stabaek Norway Division 1	1-1	2-2	1	2	D
03/10	Sandnes Ulf Norway Division 1	2-2	3-3	8	7	D
20/09	Haugesund Norway Division 1	2-2	2-4	4	3	L
13/09	Sogndal Norway Division 1	0-0	1-1	9	4	D
05/09	Bryne Norway Division 1	0-0	2-0	4	4	W
30/08	Moss Norway Division 1	2-0	2-1	2	4	W
26/08	Raufoss Norway Division 1	2-0	3-1	11	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Egersund vs Strommen?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Egersund win (53%). Probabilities: Egersund 53%, draw 22%, Strommen 25%.

How many goals are expected in Egersund vs Strommen?

The model expects 3.74 goals (Egersund 2.24 · Strommen 1.5), with a 55% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Egersund vs Strommen?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.