Football · Norway Division 1 · 08/11, 13:00
Prediction: Moss vs Ranheim
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.89Total
Moss1.85
Ranheim2.05
1X2
Moss
Draw
Ranheim
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Moss
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Ranheim
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Moss
2–1–3
Ranheim
(6 last)
- Ranheim4-0Moss
- Ranheim0-0Moss
- Moss2-0Ranheim
- Ranheim1-0Moss
- Moss2-1Ranheim
- Moss0-1Ranheim
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ranheim (rating 1451 vs 1536).
- H2H favours Ranheim: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Moss | Ranheim | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.9 | 2.7 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1.1 | 1.3 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 6.2 | 1.9 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0.1 | 3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Moss 2–1–3 Ranheim
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05/26 Norway Division 1 | Ranheim | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Moss |
| 06/08/25 Norway Division 1 | Ranheim | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Moss |
| 05/04/25 Norway Division 1 | Moss | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Ranheim |
| 21/09/24 Norway Division 1 | Ranheim | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Moss |
| 15/04/24 Norway Division 1 | Moss | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Ranheim |
| 22/10/23 Norway Division 1 | Moss | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Ranheim |
Standings · Norway Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haugesund | 29 | 21 | 2 | 6 | 84 | 48 | 65 |
| 2 | Stromsgodset | 29 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 79 | 34 | 63 |
| 3 | Kongsvinger | 28 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 45 | 59 |
| 4 | Stabaek | 28 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 66 | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Odd BK | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 57 | 46 | 46 |
| 6 | Bryne | 29 | 13 | 4 | 12 | 43 | 41 | 43 |
| 7 | Ranheim | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 73 | 69 | 41 |
| 8 | Egersund | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 48 | 57 | 38 |
| 9 | Hodd | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 59 | 38 |
| 10 | Strommen | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 50 | 62 | 36 |
| 11 | Lyn 1896 | 29 | 10 | 4 | 15 | 46 | 59 | 34 |
| 12 | Sogndal | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 48 | 63 | 30 |
| 13 | Sandnes Ulf | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 42 | 58 | 30 |
| 14 | Moss | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 41 | 62 | 29 |
| 15 | Asane | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 41 | 65 | 25 |
| 16 | Raufoss | 29 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 31 | 78 | 20 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Moss | Ranheim |
|---|---|---|
| Asane | 1-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Lyn 1896 | 0-1 L | 4-1 W |
| Egersund | 0-0 D | 5-0 W |
| Raufoss | 2-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Kongsvinger | 0-2 L | 2-6 L |
| Sandnes Ulf | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 3 L | 3 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Ranheim (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Moss
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Stromsgodset Norway Division 1 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 11 | 3 | L |
| 25/10 | Asane Norway Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 18/10 | Lyn 1896 Norway Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 14/10 | Egersund Norway Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | D |
| 11/10 | Raufoss Norway Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 05/10 | Kongsvinger Norway Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 12 | 3 | L |
| 20/09 | Sandnes Ulf Norway Division 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 13/09 | Haugesund Norway Division 1 |
1-2 | 1-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 05/09 | Stabaek Norway Division 1 |
2-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 30/08 | Strommen Norway Division 1 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
Ranheim
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Sogndal Norway Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 24/10 | Raufoss Norway Division 1 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 18/10 | Bryne Norway Division 1 |
3-1 | 4-2 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 14/10 | Hodd Norway Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 11/10 | Kongsvinger Norway Division 1 |
2-2 | 2-6 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 02/10 | Egersund Norway Division 1 |
3-0 | 5-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 20/09 | Lyn 1896 Norway Division 1 |
1-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 13/09 | Asane Norway Division 1 |
0-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 05/09 | Sandnes Ulf Norway Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 30/08 | Odd BK Norway Division 1 |
2-4 | 3-5 | 8 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Moss vs Ranheim?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Ranheim win (43%). Probabilities: Moss 35%, draw 22%, Ranheim 43%.
How many goals are expected in Moss vs Ranheim?
The model expects 3.89 goals (Moss 1.85 · Ranheim 2.05), with a 53% chance of under 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Moss vs Ranheim?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.