Football · Norway Division 1 · 08/11, 13:00

Prediction: Sogndal vs Hodd

Team pages: Sogndal · Hodd

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.53Total

Sogndal1.99

Hodd1.54

1X2

47% 23% 29%

Sogndal Draw Hodd

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Sogndal 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLDLLLDWWL

Hodd 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

WDLLLLDWLL

Head-to-head

Sogndal 1–2–3 Hodd (6 last)

Hodd2-2Sogndal
Sogndal2-1Hodd
Hodd2-1Sogndal
Sogndal1-2Hodd
Hodd2-0Sogndal
Hodd2-2Sogndal

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Hodd: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sogndal	Hodd
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.8	1.6 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.9	0.7 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/50/50%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 5.1	1.9 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0.2	3.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.83

Under 3.51.97

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:21

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.34 → 1.34	Pinn 1.34
X	5.57 → 5.57	Pinn 5.57
2	6.89 → 6.89	Pinn 6.89

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.9%

Time*	1	X	2
00:13 +8’	1.34	5.57	6.89

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sogndal 1–2–3 Hodd

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Norway Division 1	Hodd	2-2 HT 2-0	Sogndal
06/08/25 Norway Division 1	Sogndal	2-1 HT 2-0	Hodd
11/05/25 Norway Division 1	Hodd	2-1 HT 1-0	Sogndal
26/02/25 Europe Friendlies	Sogndal	1-2 HT 0-1	Hodd
09/03/24 Europe Friendlies	Hodd	2-0 HT 1-0	Sogndal
21/10/23 Norway Division 1	Hodd	2-2 HT 1-1	Sogndal

Standings · Norway Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Haugesund	29	21	2	6	84	48	65
2	Stromsgodset	29	19	6	4	79	34	63
3	Kongsvinger	28	18	5	5	82	45	59
4	Stabaek	28	17	4	7	66	34	55
5	Odd BK	29	13	7	9	57	46	46
6	Bryne	29	13	4	12	43	41	43
7	Ranheim	29	12	5	12	73	69	41
8	Egersund	29	10	8	11	48	57	38
9	Hodd	29	11	5	13	49	59	38
10	Strommen	29	10	6	13	50	62	36
11	Lyn 1896	29	10	4	15	46	59	34
12	Sogndal	29	8	6	15	48	63	30
13	Sandnes Ulf	29	8	6	15	42	58	30
14	Moss	29	8	5	16	41	62	29
15	Asane	29	7	5	17	41	65	25
16	Raufoss	29	6	2	21	31	78	20

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sogndal	Hodd
Ranheim	1-2 L	1-1 D
Kongsvinger	3-1 W	1-5 L
Raufoss	2-1 W	5-1 W
Egersund	3-3 D	1-3 L
Odd BK	0-1 L	2-3 L
Asane	1-2 L	2-2 D
Stabaek	1-2 L	2-1 W
Haugesund	0-2 L	2-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 5 L	2 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Hodd (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sogndal

LLDLLLDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Ranheim Norway Division 1	1-1	1-2	4	3	L
25/10	Kongsvinger Norway Division 1	1-1	3-1	8	0	W
21/10	Raufoss Norway Division 1	0-0	2-1	7	0	W
18/10	Egersund Norway Division 1	1-2	3-3	2	4	D
14/10	Odd BK Norway Division 1	0-1	0-1	6	5	L
11/10	Asane Norway Division 1	0-0	1-2	6	4	L
20/09	Stabaek Norway Division 1	0-1	1-2	2	2	L
13/09	Strommen Norway Division 1	0-0	1-1	4	4	D
05/09	Haugesund Norway Division 1	0-1	0-2	4	1	L
30/08	Stromsgodset Norway Division 1	1-2	2-3	8	5	L

Hodd

WDLLLLDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Bryne Norway Division 1	0-3	0-3	3	6	L
25/10	Haugesund Norway Division 1	1-1	2-3	1	2	L
18/10	Raufoss Norway Division 1	3-0	5-1	6	1	W
14/10	Ranheim Norway Division 1	1-0	1-1	3	3	D
11/10	Egersund Norway Division 1	0-2	1-3	3	6	L
03/10	Odd BK Norway Division 1	1-2	2-3	3	6	L
20/09	Kongsvinger Norway Division 1	1-2	1-5	3	4	L
13/09	Lyn 1896 Norway Division 1	0-0	0-2	9	3	L
05/09	Asane Norway Division 1	0-1	2-2	4	5	D
30/08	Stabaek Norway Division 1	0-0	2-1	4	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sogndal vs Hodd?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sogndal win (47%). Probabilities: Sogndal 47%, draw 23%, Hodd 29%.

How many goals are expected in Sogndal vs Hodd?

The model expects 3.53 goals (Sogndal 1.99 · Hodd 1.54), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Sogndal vs Hodd?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.