Football · Norway Division 1 · 01/11, 12:30

Prediction: Ranheim vs Sogndal

Team pages: Ranheim · Sogndal

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.18Total

Ranheim2.39

Sogndal1.78

1X2

51% 22% 28%

Ranheim Draw Sogndal

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

2-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Ranheim 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LLDDWWLDWW

Sogndal 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DLLDLLLDWW

Head-to-head

Ranheim 4–2 Sogndal (6 last)

Sogndal3-2Ranheim
Sogndal0-3Ranheim
Ranheim1-2Sogndal
Sogndal0-2Ranheim
Ranheim3-0Sogndal
Sogndal1-2Ranheim

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ranheim 1526 · Sogndal 1462

	Ranheim	Draw	Sogndal
Our model	51%	21%	28%
Market	50%	23%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 4.18 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ranheim (rating 1526 vs 1462).
H2H favours Ranheim: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ranheim	Sogndal
Goals for / against (FT)	2.7 / 2.3	1.5 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 1.4	0.4 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.6	2.5 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.1	2.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.80

X4.00

23.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)2.00

2 (+0.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 42.00

Under 41.80

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 4.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:18

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.78 → 1.78	Pinn 1.78
X	4.38 → 4.38	Pinn 4.38
2	3.59 → 3.59	Pinn 3.59

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.8%

Time*	1	X	2
18:13 +425’	1.78	4.38	3.59

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ranheim 4–0–2 Sogndal

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/07/26 Norway Division 1	Sogndal	3-2 HT 1-0	Ranheim
08/11/25 Norway Division 1	Sogndal	0-3 HT 0-0	Ranheim
21/04/25 Norway Division 1	Ranheim	1-2 HT 0-2	Sogndal
25/08/24 Norway Division 1	Sogndal	0-2 HT 0-1	Ranheim
20/07/24 Norway Division 1	Ranheim	3-0 HT 1-0	Sogndal
02/09/23 Norway Division 1	Sogndal	1-2 HT 0-2	Ranheim

Standings · Norway Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Haugesund	28	20	2	6	81	47	62
2	Stromsgodset	28	18	6	4	76	34	60
3	Kongsvinger	28	18	5	5	82	45	59
4	Stabaek	28	17	4	7	66	34	55
5	Odd BK	28	13	6	9	54	43	45
6	Bryne	28	12	4	12	40	41	40
7	Ranheim	28	11	5	12	71	68	38
8	Hodd	28	11	5	12	49	56	38
9	Strommen	28	10	6	12	49	59	36
10	Egersund	28	9	8	11	45	56	35
11	Lyn 1896	28	9	4	15	42	59	31
12	Sogndal	28	8	6	14	47	61	30
13	Sandnes Ulf	28	8	5	15	39	55	29
14	Moss	28	8	5	15	41	59	29
15	Asane	28	7	5	16	40	62	25
16	Raufoss	28	6	2	20	31	74	20

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ranheim	Sogndal
Raufoss	3-1 W	2-1 W
Kongsvinger	2-6 L	3-1 W
Egersund	5-0 W	3-3 D
Asane	2-2 D	1-2 L
Odd BK	3-5 L	0-1 L
Stabaek	2-4 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ranheim

LLDDWWLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Raufoss Norway Division 1	1-1	3-1	3	2	W
18/10	Bryne Norway Division 1	3-1	4-2	3	1	W
14/10	Hodd Norway Division 1	0-1	1-1	5	3	D
11/10	Kongsvinger Norway Division 1	2-2	2-6	5	6	L
02/10	Egersund Norway Division 1	3-0	5-0	3	3	W
20/09	Lyn 1896 Norway Division 1	1-0	4-1	4	2	W
13/09	Asane Norway Division 1	0-2	2-2	8	3	D
05/09	Sandnes Ulf Norway Division 1	0-1	1-1	3	4	D
30/08	Odd BK Norway Division 1	2-4	3-5	8	4	L
26/08	Stabaek Norway Division 1	2-2	2-4	4	2	L

Sogndal

DLLDLLLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Kongsvinger Norway Division 1	1-1	3-1	8	0	W
21/10	Raufoss Norway Division 1	0-0	2-1	7	0	W
18/10	Egersund Norway Division 1	1-2	3-3	2	4	D
14/10	Odd BK Norway Division 1	0-1	0-1	6	5	L
11/10	Asane Norway Division 1	0-0	1-2	6	4	L
20/09	Stabaek Norway Division 1	0-1	1-2	2	2	L
13/09	Strommen Norway Division 1	0-0	1-1	4	4	D
05/09	Haugesund Norway Division 1	0-1	0-2	4	1	L
30/08	Stromsgodset Norway Division 1	1-2	2-3	8	5	L
26/08	Moss Norway Division 1	1-1	2-2	9	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ranheim vs Sogndal?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ranheim win (51%). Probabilities: Ranheim 51%, draw 22%, Sogndal 28%.

How many goals are expected in Ranheim vs Sogndal?

The model expects 4.18 goals (Ranheim 2.39 · Sogndal 1.78), with a 51% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Ranheim vs Sogndal?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.