Football · Norway Division 1 · 08/11, 13:00

Prediction: Stabaek vs Stromsgodset

Team pages: Stabaek · Stromsgodset

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.5Total

Stabaek1.63

Stromsgodset1.87

1X2

33% 24% 43%

Stabaek Draw Stromsgodset

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Stabaek 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLLLWLDWWW

Stromsgodset 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WDWWWWWWLW

Head-to-head

Stabaek 0–1–5 Stromsgodset (6 last)

Stromsgodset2-1Stabaek
Stabaek1-4Stromsgodset
Stromsgodset2-1Stabaek
Stabaek0-1Stromsgodset
Stabaek0-0Stromsgodset
Stromsgodset5-1Stabaek

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stromsgodset (rating 1512 vs 1603).
H2H favours Stromsgodset: 5-1-0.
High corners: 14.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Stabaek	Stromsgodset
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.5	2.9 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.7	1.9 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	80/20/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 7.6	4.3 / 7.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0	2.9 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.82

Under 3.751.97

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 23:16

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.93 → 2.24▼	Pinn 2.24
X	4.02 → 4.04▲	Pinn 4.04
2	2.06 → 2.73▲	Pinn 2.73

See the full journey (4)

Pinnacle margin 6%

Time*	1	X	2
19:12 +29’	2.93	4.02	2.06
20:36 +4’	2.68▼	4.02	2.28▲
21:24 +12’	2.23▼	4.04▲	2.75▲
23:13 +2’	2.24▲	4.04	2.73▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3.75

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Stabaek 0–1–5 Stromsgodset

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/04/26 Norway Division 1	Stromsgodset	2-1 HT 0-0	Stabaek
07/02/25 Europe Friendlies	Stabaek	1-4 HT 1-2	Stromsgodset
03/09/23 Norway Eliteserien	Stromsgodset	2-1 HT 1-1	Stabaek
03/07/23 Norway Eliteserien	Stabaek	0-1 HT 0-1	Stromsgodset
29/09/21 Norway Eliteserien	Stabaek	0-0 HT 0-0	Stromsgodset
22/09/21 Norway Cup	Stromsgodset	5-1 HT 2-1	Stabaek

Standings · Norway Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Haugesund	29	21	2	6	84	48	65
2	Stromsgodset	29	19	6	4	79	34	63
3	Kongsvinger	28	18	5	5	82	45	59
4	Stabaek	28	17	4	7	66	34	55
5	Odd BK	29	13	7	9	57	46	46
6	Bryne	29	13	4	12	43	41	43
7	Ranheim	29	12	5	12	73	69	41
8	Egersund	29	10	8	11	48	57	38
9	Hodd	29	11	5	13	49	59	38
10	Strommen	29	10	6	13	50	62	36
11	Lyn 1896	29	10	4	15	46	59	34
12	Sogndal	29	8	6	15	48	63	30
13	Sandnes Ulf	29	8	6	15	42	58	30
14	Moss	29	8	5	16	41	62	29
15	Asane	29	7	5	17	41	65	25
16	Raufoss	29	6	2	21	31	78	20

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Stabaek	Stromsgodset
Odd BK	2-0 W	1-1 D
Asane	1-0 W	1-0 W
Sandnes Ulf	4-1 W	4-1 W
Strommen	2-2 D	0-1 L
Haugesund	0-2 L	5-0 W
Sogndal	2-1 W	3-2 W
Moss	2-3 L	3-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 2 L	5 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Stabaek

WLLLWLDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Odd BK Norway Division 1	2-0	2-0	6	5	W
18/10	Asane Norway Division 1	0-0	1-0	2	5	W
14/10	Sandnes Ulf Norway Division 1	1-0	4-1	8	3	W
11/10	Strommen Norway Division 1	1-1	2-2	15	2	D
03/10	Haugesund Norway Division 1	0-0	0-2	4	5	L
20/09	Sogndal Norway Division 1	1-0	2-1	8	2	W
12/09	Bryne Norway Division 1	0-2	0-2	6	1	L
05/09	Moss Norway Division 1	2-2	2-3	8	1	L
30/08	Hodd Norway Division 1	0-0	1-2	11	2	L
26/08	Ranheim Norway Division 1	2-2	4-2	8	2	W

Stromsgodset

WDWWWWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Moss Norway Division 1	2-0	3-0	4	3	W
25/10	Strommen Norway Division 1	0-0	0-1	14	5	L
18/10	Haugesund Norway Division 1	3-0	5-0	5	4	W
14/10	Kongsvinger Norway Division 1	4-0	5-1	10	2	W
11/10	Lyn 1896 Norway Division 1	3-0	5-1	4	2	W
03/10	Asane Norway Division 1	0-0	1-0	7	0	W
20/09	Raufoss Norway Division 1	1-0	2-0	5	5	W
13/09	Sandnes Ulf Norway Division 1	3-1	4-1	9	2	W
05/09	Odd BK Norway Division 1	1-0	1-1	6	4	D
30/08	Sogndal Norway Division 1	2-1	3-2	8	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Stabaek vs Stromsgodset?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Stromsgodset win (43%). Probabilities: Stabaek 33%, draw 24%, Stromsgodset 43%.

How many goals are expected in Stabaek vs Stromsgodset?

The model expects 3.5 goals (Stabaek 1.63 · Stromsgodset 1.87), with a 53% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Stabaek vs Stromsgodset?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.