Football · Norway Toppserien Women · 24/10, 16:00

Prediction: Honefoss (W) vs Rosenborg (W)

Team pages: Honefoss (W) · Rosenborg (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.77Total

Honefoss (W)0.78

Rosenborg (W)1.99

1X2

14% 20% 66%

Honefoss (W) Draw Rosenborg (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

0-2 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Honefoss (W) 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DWLLLWDDWW

Rosenborg (W) 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

LDWWWWWDDD

Head-to-head

Honefoss (W) 0–1–4 Rosenborg (W) (5 last)

Rosenborg (W)2-0Honefoss (W)
Rosenborg (W)8-0Honefoss (W)
Rosenborg (W)3-0Honefoss (W)
Rosenborg (W)0-0Honefoss (W)
Honefoss (W)2-3Rosenborg (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Honefoss (W) 1485 · Rosenborg (W) 1581

	Honefoss (W)	Draw	Rosenborg (W)
Our model	13%	22%	65%
Market	15%	18%	67%

Estimated total (ours) 2.77 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rosenborg (W) (rating 1485 vs 1581).
H2H favours Rosenborg (W): 4-1-0.
High corners: 11.2 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Honefoss (W)	Rosenborg (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 0.8	2 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.4	1.1 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	70/30/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 3.7	3.6 / 7.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2 / 0.1	2.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

16.00

X5.00

21.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.80

2 (-1.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:44

	Bet365	Best now
1	6.00 → 6.00	Bet365 6.00
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	1.33 → 1.33	Pinn 1.40 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
17:28 +16’	6.00	5.00	1.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:12 +92’	5.81	4.82	1.40
06:00 +79’	5.83▲	4.84▲	1.40▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Honefoss (W) 0–1–4 Rosenborg (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/04/26 Norway Toppserien Women	Rosenborg (W)	2-0 HT 1-0	Honefoss (W)
12/10/25 Norway Toppserien Women	Rosenborg (W)	8-0 HT 3-0	Honefoss (W)
27/09/25 Norway Cup Women	Rosenborg (W)	3-0 HT 0-0	Honefoss (W)
16/08/25 Norway Toppserien Women	Rosenborg (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Honefoss (W)
12/04/25 Norway Toppserien Women	Honefoss (W)	2-3 HT 0-1	Rosenborg (W)

Standings · Norway Toppserien Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Brann (W)	19	15	3	1	55	7	48
2	Fortuna Aalesund (W)	19	15	2	2	45	17	47
3	Rosenborg (W)	19	11	6	2	34	21	39
4	Valerenga (W)	19	12	2	5	49	25	38
5	Lyn (W)	19	8	5	6	38	27	29
6	Stabaek (W)	19	8	3	8	36	21	27
7	Haugesund (W)	20	7	3	10	29	45	24
8	Honefoss (W)	19	5	4	10	17	30	19
9	Molde FK (W)	19	5	3	11	23	38	18
10	LSK Kvinner (W)	19	4	3	12	24	38	15
11	Roa (W)	19	3	5	11	18	38	14
12	Bodo/Glimt (W)	20	1	3	16	13	74	6

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Honefoss (W)	Rosenborg (W)
Stabaek (W)	1-0 W	4-2 W
Lyn (W)	1-1 D	3-2 W
Fortuna Aalesund (W)	0-1 L	1-1 D
Valerenga (W)	1-2 L	1-1 D
SK Brann (W)	0-3 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Rosenborg (W) (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Honefoss (W)

DWLLLWDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Stabaek (W) Norway Toppserien Women	1-0	1-0	0	3	W
04/10	Bodo/Glimt (W) Norway Toppserien Women	1-0	3-0	8	1	W
26/09	Lyn (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-1	1-1	6	1	D
19/09	Roa (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
13/09	Molde FK (W) Norway Toppserien Women	1-0	1-0	1	3	W
31/08	Fortuna Aalesund (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
19/08	Valerenga (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-1	1-2	4	1	L
15/08	SK Brann (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-2	0-3	0	0	L
20/06	Lyn (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
13/06	Roa (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-0	1-1	5	3	D

Rosenborg (W)

LDWWWWWDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	SK Brann (W) Norway Toppserien Women	1-0	1-1	8	2	D
04/10	Valerenga (W) Norway Toppserien Women	1-1	1-1	6	1	D
26/09	Fortuna Aalesund (W) Norway Toppserien Women	1-0	1-1	7	5	D
17/09	Stabaek (W) Norway Toppserien Women	1-0	4-2	10	3	W
13/09	Haugesund (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-0	1-0	18	2	W
20/08	Lyn (W) Norway Toppserien Women	2-0	3-2	9	0	W
15/08	LSK Kvinner (W) Norway Toppserien Women	1-0	2-1	5	4	W
20/06	Valerenga (W) Norway Toppserien Women	2-1	3-2	3	4	W
13/06	Lyn (W) Norway Toppserien Women	2-1	4-4	3	2	D
30/05	LSK Kvinner (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-0	0-1	6	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Honefoss (W) vs Rosenborg (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Rosenborg (W) win (66%). Probabilities: Honefoss (W) 14%, draw 20%, Rosenborg (W) 66%.

How many goals are expected in Honefoss (W) vs Rosenborg (W)?

The model expects 2.77 goals (Honefoss (W) 0.78 · Rosenborg (W) 1.99), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Honefoss (W) vs Rosenborg (W)?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.