Prediction: Stromsgodset vs Lyn 1896
| Stromsgodset | Draw | Lyn 1896 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 17% | 16% |
| Market | 66% | 18% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stromsgodset (rating 1565 vs 1447).
- High corners: 12.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Stromsgodset | Lyn 1896 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.3 / 1.6 | 1.1 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 7.4 | 2.8 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.1 | 2.5 / 0 |
Standings · Norway Division 1
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haugesund | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 43 | 26 | 31 |
| 2 | Kongsvinger | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 36 | 21 | 30 |
| 3 | Stromsgodset | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 22 | 28 |
| 4 | Stabaek | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 16 | 27 |
| 5 | Odd BK | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 19 | 24 |
| 6 | Hodd | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 19 | 21 |
| 7 | Sandnes Ulf | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 20 | 20 |
| 8 | Ranheim | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 34 | 34 | 20 |
| 9 | Egersund | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 25 | 19 |
| 10 | Bryne | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 23 | 17 |
| 11 | Moss | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 32 | 17 |
| 12 | Sogndal | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 15 |
| 13 | Lyn 1896 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 30 | 13 |
| 14 | Raufoss | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 31 | 13 |
| 15 | Asane | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 20 | 30 | 12 |
| 16 | Strommen | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 18 | 36 | 11 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Stromsgodset | Lyn 1896 |
|---|---|---|
| Hodd | 3-4 L | 1-4 L |
| Odd BK | 2-2 D | 0-3 L |
| Kongsvinger | 4-4 D | 0-3 L |
| Raufoss | 6-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Egersund | 5-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Bryne | 1-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Ranheim | 5-4 W | 2-3 L |
| Asane | 3-0 W | 6-2 W |
| Strommen | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 6 W 2 D 1 L | 3 W 1 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Stromsgodset (8 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stromsgodset
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Hodd Norway Division 1 |
2-3 | 3-4 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 27/06 | Odd BK Norway Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 11 | 5 | D |
| 21/06 | Kongsvinger Norway Division 1 |
2-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 14/06 | Raufoss Norway Division 1 |
2-1 | 6-1 | 11 | 1 | W |
| 31/05 | Egersund Norway Division 1 |
2-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 25/05 | Bryne Norway Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 20/05 | Moss Norway Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 14 | 2 | D |
| 16/05 | Ranheim Norway Division 1 |
0-1 | 5-4 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Asane Norway Division 1 |
0-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 01/05 | Strommen Norway Division 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
Lyn 1896
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Asane Norway Division 1 |
5-0 | 6-2 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 27/06 | Hodd Norway Division 1 |
1-2 | 1-4 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 19/06 | Ranheim Norway Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 14/06 | Bryne Norway Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 30/05 | Odd BK Norway Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 25/05 | Strommen Norway Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 20/05 | Egersund Norway Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 16/05 | Kongsvinger Norway Division 1 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Raufoss Norway Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 01/05 | Stabaek Norway Division 1 |
0-3 | 0-4 | 10 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stromsgodset vs Lyn 1896?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Stromsgodset win (66%). Probabilities: Stromsgodset 66%, draw 18%, Lyn 1896 16%.
How many goals are expected in Stromsgodset vs Lyn 1896?
The model expects 4.21 goals (Stromsgodset 2.82 · Lyn 1896 1.4), with a 51% chance of under 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Stromsgodset vs Lyn 1896?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.