Football · Norway Division 1 · 26/07, 17:00

Prediction: Moss vs Raufoss

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.71Total
Moss2.21
Raufoss1.51
1X2
52% 23% 25%
Moss Draw Raufoss
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Moss 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
LLWDLDWLLL
Raufoss 4-0-6 (W-D-L)
LLWWLLLWLW
Head-to-head
Moss 2–2–2 Raufoss (6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Moss 1448 · Raufoss 1470
MossDrawRaufoss
Our model53%22%25%
Market52%23%25%
Estimated total (ours) 3.71 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 11 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

MossRaufoss
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 2.71.4 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 1.50.6 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/10/60%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)3.1 / 6.22.7 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.7 / 02 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Moss 222 Raufoss

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DateHomeScoreAway
27/02/26
Europe Friendlies
Raufoss3-3
HT 1-1
Moss
08/11/25
Norway Division 1
Moss1-1
HT 0-0
Raufoss
01/04/25
Norway Division 1
Raufoss3-2
HT 2-0
Moss
08/03/25
Europe Friendlies
Raufoss1-0
HT 1-0
Moss
02/11/24
Norway Division 1
Moss3-2
HT 3-1
Raufoss
16/05/24
Norway Division 1
Raufoss0-2
HT 0-1
Moss

Standings · Norway Division 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Haugesund 141013 432631
2 Kongsvinger 14932 362130
3 Stromsgodset 14842 412228
4 Stabaek 14833 321627
5 Odd BK 14734 271924
6 Hodd 14635 221921
7 Sandnes Ulf 14626 222020
8 Ranheim 14626 343420
9 Egersund 14617 242519
10 Bryne 14527 192317
11 Moss 14527 233217
12 Sogndal 14437 253615
13 Lyn 1896 14419 173013
14 Raufoss 14419 173113
15 Asane 14419 203012
16 Strommen 14329 183611

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMossRaufoss
Egersund 0-3 L 1-2 L
Strommen 2-3 L 1-0 W
Sandnes Ulf 1-4 L 0-3 L
Sogndal 4-2 W 3-1 W
Stabaek 2-2 D 2-1 W
Haugesund 1-3 L 3-4 L
Stromsgodset 1-1 D 1-6 L
Bryne 2-3 L 3-0 W
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 5 L 4 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Raufoss (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Moss

LLWDLDWLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 Egersund
Norway Division 1
0-2 0-3 02 L
27/06 Strommen
Norway Division 1
1-2 2-3 45 L
21/06 Sandnes Ulf
Norway Division 1
0-1 1-4 75 L
14/06 Sogndal
Norway Division 1
3-2 4-2 73 W
30/05 Stabaek
Norway Division 1
2-1 2-2 75 D
25/05 Haugesund
Norway Division 1
0-0 1-3 112 L
20/05 Stromsgodset
Norway Division 1
1-0 1-1 32 D
16/05 Odd BK
Norway Division 1
1-2 3-2 74 W
10/05 Bryne
Norway Division 1
0-3 2-3 116 L
01/05 Ranheim
Norway Division 1
0-2 0-4 53 L

Raufoss

LLWWLLLWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/07 Strommen
Norway Division 1
0-0 1-0 64 W
27/06 Sandnes Ulf
Norway Division 1
0-0 0-3 33 L
21/06 Sogndal
Norway Division 1
2-1 3-1 62 W
14/06 Stromsgodset
Norway Division 1
1-2 1-6 21 L
31/05 Haugesund
Norway Division 1
0-4 3-4 43 L
25/05 Asane
Norway Division 1
0-0 0-3 51 L
20/05 Bryne
Norway Division 1
1-0 3-0 73 W
16/05 Stabaek
Norway Division 1
2-0 2-1 32 W
10/05 Lyn 1896
Norway Division 1
0-0 0-1 51 L
06/05 Egersund
Norway Division 1
0-2 1-2 70 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Moss vs Raufoss?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Moss win (52%). Probabilities: Moss 52%, draw 23%, Raufoss 25%.

How many goals are expected in Moss vs Raufoss?

The model expects 3.71 goals (Moss 2.21 · Raufoss 1.51), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Moss vs Raufoss?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.