Prediction: Fortuna Aalesund (W) vs Roa (W)
Team pages: Fortuna Aalesund (W) · Roa (W)
- Roa (W)2-3Fortuna Aalesund (W)
| Fortuna Aalesund (W) | Draw | Roa (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 77% | 14% | 9% |
| Market | 82% | 12% | 6% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fortuna Aalesund (W) (rating 1598 vs 1434).
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Fortuna Aalesund (W) | Roa (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.9 / 0.8 | 1.2 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.5 / 0.2 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/20/10% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.5 / 8.4 | 1.1 / 2.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.5 / 0 | 1.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fortuna Aalesund (W) 1–0–0 Roa (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/05/26 Norway Toppserien Women | Roa (W) | 2-3 HT 0-0 | Fortuna Aalesund (W) |
Standings · Norway Toppserien Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SK Brann (W) | 18 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 54 | 6 | 47 |
| 2 | Fortuna Aalesund (W) | 18 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 44 | 17 | 44 |
| 3 | Rosenborg (W) | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | 20 | 38 |
| 4 | Valerenga (W) | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 46 | 25 | 35 |
| 5 | Stabaek (W) | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 36 | 20 | 27 |
| 6 | Lyn (W) | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 34 | 26 | 26 |
| 7 | Molde FK (W) | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 36 | 18 |
| 8 | Haugesund (W) | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 25 | 44 | 18 |
| 9 | Honefoss (W) | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 30 | 16 |
| 10 | LSK Kvinner (W) | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 35 | 15 |
| 11 | Roa (W) | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 37 | 14 |
| 12 | Bodo/Glimt (W) | 18 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 68 | 6 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Fortuna Aalesund (W) | Roa (W) |
|---|---|---|
| SK Brann (W) | 2-1 W | 1-5 L |
| Molde FK (W) | 4-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Bodo/Glimt (W) | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Honefoss (W) | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Haugesund (W) | 5-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Lyn (W) | 2-1 W | 1-3 L |
| LSK Kvinner (W) | 3-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 7 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Fortuna Aalesund (W) (7 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fortuna Aalesund (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | SK Brann (W) Norway Toppserien Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 26/09 | Rosenborg (W) Norway Toppserien Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 20/09 | Molde FK (W) Norway Toppserien Women |
1-0 | 4-1 | 11 | 1 | W |
| 11/09 | Bodo/Glimt (W) Norway Toppserien Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 31/08 | Honefoss (W) Norway Toppserien Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | Haugesund (W) Norway Toppserien Women |
3-0 | 5-1 | 15 | 1 | W |
| 15/08 | Lyn (W) Norway Toppserien Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 20/06 | Bodo/Glimt (W) Norway Toppserien Women |
5-1 | 8-1 | 14 | 1 | W |
| 13/06 | LSK Kvinner (W) Norway Toppserien Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 30/05 | SK Brann (W) Norway Toppserien Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
Roa (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | LSK Kvinner (W) Norway Toppserien Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 25/09 | Bodo/Glimt (W) Norway Toppserien Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 19/09 | Honefoss (W) Norway Toppserien Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 11/09 | Valerenga (W) Norway Toppserien Women |
2-3 | 3-6 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 31/08 | Lyn (W) Norway Toppserien Women |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 21/08 | SK Brann (W) Norway Toppserien Women |
1-1 | 1-5 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 15/08 | Molde FK (W) Norway Toppserien Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 20/06 | Stabaek (W) Norway Toppserien Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 13/06 | Honefoss (W) Norway Toppserien Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 30/05 | Haugesund (W) Norway Toppserien Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fortuna Aalesund (W) vs Roa (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Fortuna Aalesund (W) win (80%). Probabilities: Fortuna Aalesund (W) 80%, draw 13%, Roa (W) 7%.
How many goals are expected in Fortuna Aalesund (W) vs Roa (W)?
The model expects 3.92 goals (Fortuna Aalesund (W) 2.96 · Roa (W) 0.96), with a 53% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Fortuna Aalesund (W) vs Roa (W)?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.