Football · Sweden Damallsvenskan · 15/08, 13:00

Prediction: IK Uppsala (W) vs Malmo FF (W)

Team pages: IK Uppsala (W) · Malmo FF (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.31Total
IK Uppsala (W)0.65
Malmo FF (W)2.65
1X2
6% 12% 82%
IK Uppsala (W) Draw Malmo FF (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
0-2
Recent form · 10 last
IK Uppsala (W) 1-1-8 (W-D-L)
WLLDLLLLLL
Malmo FF (W) 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
DWDWWDLDWL
Head-to-head
IK Uppsala (W) 0–3 Malmo FF (W) (3 last)
  • Malmo FF (W)3-0IK Uppsala (W)
  • Malmo FF (W)3-2IK Uppsala (W)
  • IK Uppsala (W)1-3Malmo FF (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · IK Uppsala (W) 1394 · Malmo FF (W) 1534
IK Uppsala (W)DrawMalmo FF (W)
Our model6%15%79%
Market5%10%84%
Estimated total (ours) 3.31 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Malmo FF (W) (rating 1394 vs 1534).
  • H2H favours Malmo FF (W): 3-0-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

IK Uppsala (W)Malmo FF (W)
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 3.21.5 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 20.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/10/80%40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.3 / 3.72.2 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.3 / 02.1 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · IK Uppsala (W) 003 Malmo FF (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
29/03/26
Sweden Damallsvenskan
Malmo FF (W)3-0
HT 1-0
IK Uppsala (W)
19/10/24
Sweden Elitettan
Malmo FF (W)3-2
HT 1-0
IK Uppsala (W)
06/07/24
Sweden Elitettan
IK Uppsala (W)1-3
HT 1-0
Malmo FF (W)

Standings · Sweden Damallsvenskan

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 BK Hacken (W) 131201 361136
2 Hammarby (W) 131111 31634
3 AIK (W) 13733 201824
4 Malmo FF (W) 13643 22922
5 Eskilstuna Utd (W) 13625 101620
6 Vittsjö GIK (W) 13535 131418
7 Kristianstads (W) 13535 212418
8 Pitea IF (W) 13436 131815
9 Brommapojkarna (W) 13508 172415
10 Vaxjo (W) 13427 182314
11 IFK Norrkoping (W) 13265 141712
12 Djurgardens (W) 13328 152211
13 FC Rosengård (W) 13247 162010
14 IK Uppsala (W) 13139 12366

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentIK Uppsala (W)Malmo FF (W)
Djurgardens (W) 0-8 L 1-0 W
Kristianstads (W) 2-3 L 6-0 W
Vaxjo (W) 0-4 L 3-0 W
AIK (W) 2-2 D 2-2 D
Eskilstuna Utd (W) 0-1 L 1-1 D
Vittsjö GIK (W) 3-0 W 0-1 L
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 4 L 3 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Malmo FF (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

IK Uppsala (W)

WLLDLLLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 Djurgardens (W)
Sweden Damallsvenskan
0-3 0-8 00 L
01/08 IFK Norrkoping (W)
Sweden Damallsvenskan
0-2 0-4 41 L
25/07 Brommapojkarna (W)
Women’s Friendly
0-3 0-3 51 L
24/06 BK Hacken (W)
Sweden Damallsvenskan
1-2 2-3 33 L
18/06 Kristianstads (W)
Sweden Damallsvenskan
1-2 2-3 30 L
13/06 Vaxjo (W)
Sweden Damallsvenskan
0-4 0-4 32 L
30/05 AIK (W)
Sweden Damallsvenskan
2-2 2-2 12 D
23/05 Brommapojkarna (W)
Sweden Damallsvenskan
0-1 2-4 62 L
17/05 Eskilstuna Utd (W)
Sweden Damallsvenskan
0-1 0-1 42 L
10/05 Vittsjö GIK (W)
Sweden Damallsvenskan
1-0 3-0 80 W

Malmo FF (W)

DWDWWDLDWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 Eintracht Frankfurt (W)
UEFA Women's Champions League Qualifying
0-1 0-2 30 L
05/08 Valerenga (W)
UEFA Women's Champions League Qualifying
1-0 1-0 42 W
31/07 Pitea IF (W)
Sweden Damallsvenskan
0-0 0-0 62 D
27/07 Vittsjö GIK (W)
Sweden Damallsvenskan
0-1 0-1 93 L
18/07 Brondby (W)
Women’s Friendly
0-0 1-1 D
27/06 Kristianstads (W)
Sweden Damallsvenskan
3-0 6-0 21 W
17/06 Djurgardens (W)
Sweden Damallsvenskan
1-0 1-0 53 W
13/06 Eskilstuna Utd (W)
Sweden Damallsvenskan
0-0 1-1 104 D
31/05 Vaxjo (W)
Sweden Damallsvenskan
2-0 3-0 41 W
23/05 AIK (W)
Sweden Damallsvenskan
0-1 2-2 73 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in IK Uppsala (W) vs Malmo FF (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Malmo FF (W) win (82%). Probabilities: IK Uppsala (W) 6%, draw 12%, Malmo FF (W) 82%.

How many goals are expected in IK Uppsala (W) vs Malmo FF (W)?

The model expects 3.31 goals (IK Uppsala (W) 0.65 · Malmo FF (W) 2.65), with a 54% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in IK Uppsala (W) vs Malmo FF (W)?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.