Football · Sweden Damallsvenskan · 22/08, 15:00

Prediction: Eskilstuna Utd (W) vs Vaxjo (W)

Team pages: Eskilstuna Utd (W) · Vaxjo (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.51Total

Eskilstuna Utd (W)1.32

Vaxjo (W)1.19

1X2

39% 28% 33%

Eskilstuna Utd (W) Draw Vaxjo (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Eskilstuna Utd (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLLDDWLLWW

Vaxjo (W) 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLLWDWLLWL

Head-to-head

Eskilstuna Utd (W) 3–1–2 Vaxjo (W) (6 last)

Vaxjo (W)3-0Eskilstuna Utd (W)
Eskilstuna Utd (W)2-1Vaxjo (W)
Vaxjo (W)0-2Eskilstuna Utd (W)
Vaxjo (W)2-0Eskilstuna Utd (W)
Eskilstuna Utd (W)3-0Vaxjo (W)
Vaxjo (W)1-1Eskilstuna Utd (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Eskilstuna Utd (W) 1490 · Vaxjo (W) 1465

	Eskilstuna Utd (W)	Draw	Vaxjo (W)
Our model	39%	29%	32%
Market	40%	26%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 2.51 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Eskilstuna Utd (W): 3-1-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Eskilstuna Utd (W)	Vaxjo (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 1.2	1.2 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.4	0.7 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 3.7	2.7 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.1 / 0	1.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.40

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.02

2 (+0.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.93

Under 2.751.88

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:43

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Pinn 2.25
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.63 → 2.63	Pinn 2.89 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 13% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
20:29 +14’	2.20	3.40	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
20:39 +4’	2.25	3.32	2.89

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Eskilstuna Utd (W) 3–1–2 Vaxjo (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/04/26 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Vaxjo (W)	3-0 HT 1-0	Eskilstuna Utd (W)
12/09/21 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Eskilstuna Utd (W)	2-1 HT 0-1	Vaxjo (W)
02/07/21 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Vaxjo (W)	0-2 HT 0-2	Eskilstuna Utd (W)
07/11/20 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Vaxjo (W)	2-0 HT 0-0	Eskilstuna Utd (W)
08/08/20 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Eskilstuna Utd (W)	3-0 HT 3-0	Vaxjo (W)
26/10/19 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Vaxjo (W)	1-1 HT 1-0	Eskilstuna Utd (W)

Standings · Sweden Damallsvenskan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	BK Hacken (W)	14	13	0	1	42	11	39
2	Hammarby (W)	14	12	1	1	36	6	37
3	Malmo FF (W)	14	7	4	3	28	9	25
4	AIK (W)	14	7	3	4	21	20	24
5	Eskilstuna Utd (W)	14	7	2	5	11	16	23
6	Kristianstads (W)	14	6	3	5	26	24	21
7	Vittsjö GIK (W)	14	6	3	5	15	15	21
8	Pitea IF (W)	14	4	3	7	13	23	15
9	Brommapojkarna (W)	14	5	0	9	17	30	15
10	Vaxjo (W)	14	4	2	8	20	26	14
11	Djurgardens (W)	14	4	2	8	18	24	14
12	IFK Norrkoping (W)	14	2	6	6	14	22	12
13	FC Rosengård (W)	14	2	4	8	16	21	10
14	IK Uppsala (W)	14	1	3	10	12	42	6

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Eskilstuna Utd (W)	Vaxjo (W)
FC Rosengård (W)	1-0 W	2-0 W
Kristianstads (W)	1-0 W	0-4 L
BK Hacken (W)	0-6 L	2-4 L
Malmo FF (W)	1-1 D	0-3 L
Djurgardens (W)	0-0 D	2-3 L
Hammarby (W)	0-1 L	0-5 L
IK Uppsala (W)	1-0 W	4-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Eskilstuna Utd (W) (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Eskilstuna Utd (W)

WLLDDWLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	FC Rosengård (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	1-0	0	1	W
08/08	Kristianstads (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	1-0	1	0	W
02/08	BK Hacken (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	0-6	4	0	L
24/06	AIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	0-1	5	0	L
18/06	Pitea IF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-0	2-0	5	1	W
13/06	Malmo FF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	1-1	4	4	D
30/05	Djurgardens (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	0-0	8	0	D
27/05	Hammarby (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	0-1	5	0	L
23/05	FC Rosengård (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	0-3	3	3	L
17/05	IK Uppsala (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	1-0	2	2	W

Vaxjo (W)

LLLWDWLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/08	Djurgardens (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	2-3	6	2	L
07/08	FC Rosengård (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-0	2-0	7	1	W
31/07	Hammarby (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-3	0-5	1	0	L
25/07	Kristianstads (W) Women’s Friendly	0-1	0-4	–	–	L
24/06	Brommapojkarna (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	2-1	2	1	W
18/06	IFK Norrkoping (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	0-0	9	3	D
13/06	IK Uppsala (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	4-0	4-0	5	2	W
31/05	Malmo FF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	0-3	4	1	L
24/05	Vittsjö GIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	0-2	7	2	L
20/05	BK Hacken (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-2	2-4	2	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Eskilstuna Utd (W) vs Vaxjo (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Eskilstuna Utd (W) win (39%). Probabilities: Eskilstuna Utd (W) 39%, draw 28%, Vaxjo (W) 33%.

How many goals are expected in Eskilstuna Utd (W) vs Vaxjo (W)?

The model expects 2.51 goals (Eskilstuna Utd (W) 1.32 · Vaxjo (W) 1.19), with a 56% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Eskilstuna Utd (W) vs Vaxjo (W)?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.