Football · Sweden Damallsvenskan · 23/08, 13:00

Prediction: BK Hacken (W) vs AIK (W)

Team pages: BK Hacken (W) · AIK (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.8Total

BK Hacken (W)2.87

AIK (W)0.92

1X2

76% 15% 8%

BK Hacken (W) Draw AIK (W)

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

2-0

Recent form · 10 last

BK Hacken (W) 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

WWLWWWWWWW

AIK (W) 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WDWDWLWLWL

Head-to-head

BK Hacken (W) 5–1 AIK (W) (6 last)

AIK (W)2-1BK Hacken (W)
BK Hacken (W)3-0AIK (W)
AIK (W)2-5BK Hacken (W)
BK Hacken (W)6-0AIK (W)
BK Hacken (W)4-0AIK (W)
AIK (W)1-2BK Hacken (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · BK Hacken (W) 1633 · AIK (W) 1490

	BK Hacken (W)	Draw	AIK (W)
Our model	77%	15%	9%
Market	76%	16%	8%

Estimated total (ours) 3.8 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours BK Hacken (W) (rating 1633 vs 1490).
H2H favours BK Hacken (W): 5-0-1.
High corners: 13.9 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	BK Hacken (W)	AIK (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	3.2 / 0.7	1.5 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 0.3	0.6 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	80/20/0%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 6.1	3.4 / 7.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.6 / 0	2.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.18

X5.75

211.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2)1.98

2 (+2)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.95

Under 3.51.85

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:39

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.18 → 1.18	Pinn 1.21
X	5.75 → 5.75	Pinn 6.01 ★
2	11.00 → 11.00	Bet365 11.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 9.5%

Time*	1	X	2
19:36 +3’	1.18	5.75	11.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:28 +11’	1.21	6.01	10.14

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · BK Hacken (W) 5–0–1 AIK (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/05/26 Sweden Damallsvenskan	AIK (W)	2-1 HT 0-0	BK Hacken (W)
15/03/26 Sweden Cup Women	BK Hacken (W)	3-0 HT 1-0	AIK (W)
27/09/25 Sweden Damallsvenskan	AIK (W)	2-5 HT 1-1	BK Hacken (W)
14/06/25 Sweden Damallsvenskan	BK Hacken (W)	6-0 HT 2-0	AIK (W)
07/09/24 Sweden Damallsvenskan	BK Hacken (W)	4-0 HT 2-0	AIK (W)
18/05/24 Sweden Damallsvenskan	AIK (W)	1-2 HT 0-0	BK Hacken (W)

Standings · Sweden Damallsvenskan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	BK Hacken (W)	14	13	0	1	42	11	39
2	Hammarby (W)	15	12	2	1	37	7	38
3	Malmo FF (W)	15	7	5	3	29	10	26
4	AIK (W)	14	7	3	4	21	20	24
5	Eskilstuna Utd (W)	14	7	2	5	11	16	23
6	Kristianstads (W)	14	6	3	5	26	24	21
7	Vittsjö GIK (W)	14	6	3	5	15	15	21
8	Pitea IF (W)	14	4	3	7	13	23	15
9	Brommapojkarna (W)	14	5	0	9	17	30	15
10	Vaxjo (W)	14	4	2	8	20	26	14
11	Djurgardens (W)	14	4	2	8	18	24	14
12	IFK Norrkoping (W)	14	2	6	6	14	22	12
13	FC Rosengård (W)	14	2	4	8	16	21	10
14	IK Uppsala (W)	14	1	3	10	12	42	6

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	BK Hacken (W)	AIK (W)
Brommapojkarna (W)	6-0 W	1-0 W
Pitea IF (W)	4-1 W	2-1 W
Eskilstuna Utd (W)	6-0 W	1-0 W
IK Uppsala (W)	3-2 W	2-2 D
Hammarby (W)	1-0 W	1-4 L
Kristianstads (W)	3-0 W	0-3 L
Record vs common	6 W 0 D 0 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: BK Hacken (W) (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

BK Hacken (W)

WWLWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Brommapojkarna (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-0	6-0	9	1	W
09/08	Pitea IF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-1	4-1	5	2	W
02/08	Eskilstuna Utd (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-0	6-0	8	0	W
24/06	IK Uppsala (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-1	3-2	10	3	W
18/06	FC Rosengård (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	2-0	7	0	W
13/06	Hammarby (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	1-0	8	2	W
31/05	Kristianstads (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-0	3-0	0	3	W
27/05	AIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	1-2	3	3	L
24/05	IFK Norrkoping (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	2-0	6	1	W
20/05	Vaxjo (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-1	4-2	5	1	W

AIK (W)

WDWDWLWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Vittsjö GIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	1-2	11	1	L
07/08	Brommapojkarna (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	1-0	9	2	W
01/08	Kristianstads (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-3	0-3	3	4	L
24/06	Eskilstuna Utd (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	1-0	6	0	W
17/06	Hammarby (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-3	1-4	9	1	L
13/06	Djurgardens (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	3-0	8	1	W
30/05	IK Uppsala (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-2	2-2	11	2	D
27/05	BK Hacken (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	2-1	7	3	W
23/05	Malmo FF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	2-2	8	3	D
17/05	Pitea IF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-1	2-1	6	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in BK Hacken (W) vs AIK (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a BK Hacken (W) win (76%). Probabilities: BK Hacken (W) 76%, draw 15%, AIK (W) 8%.

How many goals are expected in BK Hacken (W) vs AIK (W)?

The model expects 3.8 goals (BK Hacken (W) 2.87 · AIK (W) 0.92), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in BK Hacken (W) vs AIK (W)?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.