Football · Sweden Damallsvenskan · 14/08, 19:00

Prediction: Vaxjo (W) vs Djurgardens (W)

Team pages: Vaxjo (W) · Djurgardens (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.05Total

Vaxjo (W)1.41

Djurgardens (W)1.64

1X2

32% 25% 42%

Vaxjo (W) Draw Djurgardens (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Vaxjo (W) 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DLLLWDWLLW

Djurgardens (W) 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLWDLLLWLW

Head-to-head

Vaxjo (W) 1–2–3 Djurgardens (W) (6 last)

Djurgardens (W)2-1Vaxjo (W)
Vaxjo (W)0-3Djurgardens (W)
Djurgardens (W)2-1Vaxjo (W)
Djurgardens (W)1-1Vaxjo (W)
Vaxjo (W)1-1Djurgardens (W)
Vaxjo (W)2-0Djurgardens (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Vaxjo (W) 1452 · Djurgardens (W) 1501

	Vaxjo (W)	Draw	Djurgardens (W)
Our model	32%	26%	42%
Market	33%	25%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 3.05 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Djurgardens (W) (rating 1452 vs 1501).
H2H favours Djurgardens (W): 3-2-1.
High corners: 11 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Vaxjo (W)	Djurgardens (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2.2	1.9 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1.1	0.9 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 4.4	2.3 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.4 / 0	2.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.75

X3.60

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.85

2 (-0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 19:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.75 → 2.35▼	Pinn 2.44
X	3.60 → 3.50▼	Pinn 3.68 ★
2	2.10 → 2.45▲	Bet365 2.45

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.9% Pinnacle margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
15:56 +9’	2.75	3.60	2.10
19:01 +1’	2.35▼	3.50▼	2.45▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:05	3.30	3.43	2.01
19:02	2.44▼	3.68▲	2.29▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Vaxjo (W) 1–2–3 Djurgardens (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
29/03/26 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Djurgardens (W)	2-1 HT 1-1	Vaxjo (W)
16/11/25 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Vaxjo (W)	0-3 HT 0-1	Djurgardens (W)
22/06/25 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Djurgardens (W)	2-1 HT 1-0	Vaxjo (W)
24/08/24 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Djurgardens (W)	1-1 HT 1-0	Vaxjo (W)
26/05/24 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Vaxjo (W)	1-1 HT 0-0	Djurgardens (W)
05/11/23 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Vaxjo (W)	2-0 HT 0-0	Djurgardens (W)

Standings · Sweden Damallsvenskan

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	BK Hacken (W)	13	12	0	1	36	11	36
2	Hammarby (W)	13	11	1	1	31	6	34
3	AIK (W)	13	7	3	3	20	18	24
4	Malmo FF (W)	13	6	4	3	22	9	22
5	Eskilstuna Utd (W)	13	6	2	5	10	16	20
6	Vittsjö GIK (W)	13	5	3	5	13	14	18
7	Kristianstads (W)	13	5	3	5	21	24	18
8	Pitea IF (W)	13	4	3	6	13	18	15
9	Brommapojkarna (W)	13	5	0	8	17	24	15
10	Vaxjo (W)	13	4	2	7	18	23	14
11	IFK Norrkoping (W)	13	2	6	5	14	17	12
12	Djurgardens (W)	13	3	2	8	15	22	11
13	FC Rosengård (W)	13	2	4	7	16	20	10
14	IK Uppsala (W)	13	1	3	9	12	36	6

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Vaxjo (W)	Djurgardens (W)
FC Rosengård (W)	2-0 W	1-4 L
Hammarby (W)	0-5 L	0-2 L
Brommapojkarna (W)	2-1 W	1-2 L
IK Uppsala (W)	4-0 W	8-0 W
Malmo FF (W)	0-3 L	0-1 L
Vittsjö GIK (W)	0-2 L	0-1 L
AIK (W)	3-3 D	0-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 3 L	1 W 0 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Djurgardens (W) (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Vaxjo (W)

DLLLWDWLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/08	FC Rosengård (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-0	2-0	7	1	W
31/07	Hammarby (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-3	0-5	1	0	L
25/07	Kristianstads (W) Women’s Friendly	0-1	0-4	–	–	L
24/06	Brommapojkarna (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	2-1	2	1	W
18/06	IFK Norrkoping (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	0-0	9	3	D
13/06	IK Uppsala (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	4-0	4-0	5	2	W
31/05	Malmo FF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	0-3	4	1	L
24/05	Vittsjö GIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	0-2	7	2	L
20/05	BK Hacken (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-2	2-4	2	1	L
09/05	AIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-2	3-3	3	2	D

Djurgardens (W)

LLWDLLLWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	IK Uppsala (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	3-0	8-0	18	0	W
01/08	Brommapojkarna (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	1-2	5	2	L
21/07	IFK Lidingo Women Women’s Friendly	6-0	8-1	–	–	W
24/06	FC Rosengård (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	1-4	7	2	L
17/06	Malmo FF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	0-1	2	3	L
13/06	AIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	0-3	5	1	L
30/05	Eskilstuna Utd (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	0-0	9	0	D
22/05	Pitea IF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	1-0	2	3	W
17/05	Vittsjö GIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	0-1	6	1	L
12/05	Hammarby (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	0-2	5	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vaxjo (W) vs Djurgardens (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Djurgardens (W) win (42%). Probabilities: Vaxjo (W) 32%, draw 25%, Djurgardens (W) 42%.

How many goals are expected in Vaxjo (W) vs Djurgardens (W)?

The model expects 3.05 goals (Vaxjo (W) 1.41 · Djurgardens (W) 1.64), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Vaxjo (W) vs Djurgardens (W)?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.