Football · Republic of Ireland First Division · 31/07, 20:45

Prediction: Bray Wanderers vs Kerry FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.39Total

Bray Wanderers2.19

Kerry FC1.2

1X2

59% 22% 19%

Bray Wanderers Draw Kerry FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Bray Wanderers 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

DWDWLWWWWW

Kerry FC 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDLWWWLDDW

Head-to-head

Bray Wanderers 4–1–1 Kerry FC (6 last)

Kerry FC2-2Bray Wanderers
Bray Wanderers2-1Kerry FC
Bray Wanderers5-1Kerry FC

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bray Wanderers (rating 1602 vs 1508).
H2H favours Bray Wanderers: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bray Wanderers	Kerry FC
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 1	1.5 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.5	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.9	2 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.2	4.4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.89

Under 2.51.89

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 09:49

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.62▼	Pinn 1.62
X	3.76 → 3.84▲	Pinn 3.84
2	5.04 → 5.16▲	Pinn 5.16

See the full journey (3)

Pinnacle margin 7.3%

Time*	1	X	2
00:35	1.65	3.76	5.04
01:39	1.68▲	3.73▼	4.84▼
09:49	1.62▼	3.84▲	5.16▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Bray Wanderers 4–1–1 Kerry FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/05/26 Republic of Ireland First Division	Kerry FC	2-2 HT 0-1	Bray Wanderers
27/03/26 Republic of Ireland First Division	Bray Wanderers	2-1 HT 0-1	Kerry FC
17/10/25 Republic of Ireland First Division	Bray Wanderers	5-1 HT 2-0	Kerry FC
20/06/25 Republic of Ireland First Division	Kerry FC	2-1 HT 1-0	Bray Wanderers
25/04/25 Republic of Ireland First Division	Bray Wanderers	4-2 HT 2-0	Kerry FC
07/03/25 Republic of Ireland First Division	Kerry FC	0-1 HT 0-1	Bray Wanderers

Standings · Republic of Ireland First Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Cork City	24	17	3	4	48	20	54
2	Bray Wanderers	24	11	7	6	48	31	40
3	UCD	24	12	3	9	41	29	39
4	Longford Town	23	8	7	8	27	30	31
5	Cobh Ramblers	24	9	4	11	26	34	31
6	Kerry FC	24	7	8	9	26	30	29
7	Wexford FC	23	7	7	9	27	32	28
8	Athlone Town	24	7	6	11	22	29	27
9	Treaty United FC	24	6	8	10	24	35	26
10	Finn Harps	24	5	7	12	21	40	22

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bray Wanderers	Kerry FC
Cobh Ramblers	2-1 W	0-2 L
Finn Harps	1-0 W	2-1 W
UCD	6-0 W	1-0 W
Athlone Town	1-0 W	1-0 W
Longford Town	5-2 W	2-1 W
Treaty United FC	2-2 D	1-2 L
Wexford FC	4-0 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	6 W 1 D 0 L	4 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Bray Wanderers (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Bray Wanderers

DWDWLWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/07	Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division	1-1	2-1	6	4	W
17/07	Finn Harps Republic of Ireland FAI Cup	0-0	1-0	4	5	W
10/07	UCD Republic of Ireland First Division	2-0	6-0	2	3	W
03/07	Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division	1-0	1-0	4	7	W
30/06	St Patricks Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior Cup	1-1	2-1	2	3	W
26/06	Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division	0-1	0-2	7	3	L
19/06	Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division	1-0	5-2	8	6	W
12/06	Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division	2-2	2-2	6	8	D
29/05	Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division	0-0	4-0	4	6	W
22/05	Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division	1-0	2-2	6	6	D

Kerry FC

WDLWWWLDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/07	Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division	2-1	2-1	4	2	W
17/07	Shelbourne Republic of Ireland FAI Cup	0-0	2-2	2	9	D
10/07	Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division	1-1	2-2	9	5	D
03/07	Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division	1-0	1-2	2	7	L
26/06	Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division	0-0	2-1	4	0	W
19/06	UCD Republic of Ireland First Division	1-0	1-0	5	2	W
12/06	Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
29/05	Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division	0-2	0-2	3	6	L
22/05	Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland First Division	0-1	2-2	1	6	D
15/05	Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division	1-1	2-1	3	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bray Wanderers vs Kerry FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bray Wanderers win (59%). Probabilities: Bray Wanderers 59%, draw 22%, Kerry FC 19%.

How many goals are expected in Bray Wanderers vs Kerry FC?

The model expects 3.39 goals (Bray Wanderers 2.19 · Kerry FC 1.2), with a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Bray Wanderers vs Kerry FC?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.