Football · Republic of Ireland First Division · 07/08, 20:45

Prediction: Bray Wanderers vs Finn Harps

Team pages: Bray Wanderers · Finn Harps

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.64Total

Bray Wanderers2.4

Finn Harps1.24

1X2

62% 20% 18%

Bray Wanderers Draw Finn Harps

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Bray Wanderers 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WDWLWWWWWL

Finn Harps 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

DLLLDWLLLL

Head-to-head

Bray Wanderers 2–2–2 Finn Harps (6 last)

Finn Harps0-1Bray Wanderers
Finn Harps2-1Bray Wanderers
Bray Wanderers2-2Finn Harps
Bray Wanderers3-2Finn Harps
Finn Harps3-1Bray Wanderers
Finn Harps2-2Bray Wanderers

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bray Wanderers (rating 1545 vs 1426).
Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bray Wanderers	Finn Harps
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1.2	0.6 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.6	0.2 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.5	1.4 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.2	5.2 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.88

Under 3.251.88

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 20:26

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.23 → 1.26▲	Pinn 1.26
X	5.89 → 5.71▼	Pinn 5.71
2	9.22 → 8.93▼	Pinn 8.93

See the full journey (3)

Pinnacle margin 8.3%

Time*	1	X	2
18:19 +1’	1.23	5.89	9.22
19:22 +1’	1.23▲	6.01▲	9.55▲
20:26	1.26▲	5.71▼	8.93▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Bray Wanderers 2–2–2 Finn Harps

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/07/26 Republic of Ireland FAI Cup	Finn Harps	0-1 HT 0-0	Bray Wanderers
04/05/26 Republic of Ireland First Division	Finn Harps	2-1 HT 2-0	Bray Wanderers
06/04/26 Republic of Ireland First Division	Bray Wanderers	2-2 HT 0-1	Finn Harps
19/09/25 Republic of Ireland First Division	Bray Wanderers	3-2 HT 1-2	Finn Harps
15/08/25 Republic of Ireland FAI Cup	Finn Harps	3-1 HT 3-1	Bray Wanderers
04/08/25 Republic of Ireland First Division	Finn Harps	2-2 HT 1-0	Bray Wanderers

Standings · Republic of Ireland First Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Cork City	25	18	3	4	51	20	57
2	Bray Wanderers	25	11	7	7	48	35	40
3	UCD	25	12	4	9	41	29	40
4	Longford Town	25	9	7	9	29	32	34
5	Cobh Ramblers	25	10	4	11	27	34	34
6	Kerry FC	25	8	8	9	30	30	32
7	Wexford FC	25	8	7	10	29	34	31
8	Athlone Town	25	7	7	11	22	29	28
9	Treaty United FC	25	6	8	11	24	36	26
10	Finn Harps	25	5	7	13	21	43	22

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bray Wanderers	Finn Harps
Kerry FC	0-4 L	1-2 L
Cobh Ramblers	2-1 W	1-3 L
UCD	6-0 W	0-5 L
Athlone Town	1-0 W	1-1 D
Cork City	0-2 L	0-3 L
Longford Town	5-2 W	2-2 D
Treaty United FC	2-2 D	0-1 L
Wexford FC	4-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Bray Wanderers (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Bray Wanderers

WDWLWWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/07	Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division	0-1	0-4	2	6	L
24/07	Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division	1-1	2-1	6	4	W
17/07	Finn Harps Republic of Ireland FAI Cup	0-0	1-0	4	5	W
10/07	UCD Republic of Ireland First Division	2-0	6-0	2	3	W
03/07	Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division	1-0	1-0	4	7	W
30/06	St Patricks Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior Cup	1-1	2-1	2	3	W
26/06	Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division	0-1	0-2	7	3	L
19/06	Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division	1-0	5-2	8	6	W
12/06	Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division	2-2	2-2	6	8	D
29/05	Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division	0-0	4-0	4	6	W

Finn Harps

DLLLDWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/07	Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division	0-0	0-3	2	5	L
24/07	Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division	1-2	1-2	4	2	L
17/07	Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland FAI Cup	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
10/07	Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division	0-1	0-1	4	5	L
03/07	Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division	0-0	1-0	2	9	W
26/06	Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division	0-1	1-1	3	12	D
19/06	Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division	1-0	1-3	0	5	L
12/06	UCD Republic of Ireland First Division	0-3	0-5	5	4	L
29/05	Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division	0-1	0-4	2	4	L
22/05	Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division	0-0	2-2	3	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bray Wanderers vs Finn Harps?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bray Wanderers win (62%). Probabilities: Bray Wanderers 62%, draw 20%, Finn Harps 18%.

How many goals are expected in Bray Wanderers vs Finn Harps?

The model expects 3.64 goals (Bray Wanderers 2.4 · Finn Harps 1.24), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Bray Wanderers vs Finn Harps?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.