Football · Republic of Ireland First Division · 07/08, 20:45
Prediction: UCD vs Wexford FC
Team pages: UCD · Wexford FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.68Total
UCD1.82
Wexford FC0.86
1X2
UCD
Draw
Wexford FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
UCD
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Wexford FC
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
UCD
3–1–2
Wexford FC
(6 last)
- Wexford FC2-1UCD
- UCD0-0Wexford FC
- Wexford FC0-3UCD
- UCD1-0Wexford FC
- Wexford FC0-1UCD
- UCD0-3Wexford FC
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours UCD (rating 1539 vs 1449).
- H2H favours UCD: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| UCD | Wexford FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.4 | 0.9 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.8 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.5 | 2.2 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.2 | 5.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · UCD 3–1–2 Wexford FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/05/26 Republic of Ireland First Division | Wexford FC | 2-1 HT 2-0 | UCD |
| 06/04/26 Republic of Ireland First Division | UCD | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Wexford FC |
| 05/10/25 Republic of Ireland First Division | Wexford FC | 0-3 HT 0-1 | UCD |
| 08/08/25 Republic of Ireland First Division | UCD | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Wexford FC |
| 25/04/25 Republic of Ireland First Division | Wexford FC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | UCD |
| 14/02/25 Republic of Ireland First Division | UCD | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Wexford FC |
Standings · Republic of Ireland First Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cork City | 25 | 18 | 3 | 4 | 51 | 20 | 57 |
| 2 | Bray Wanderers | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 48 | 35 | 40 |
| 3 | UCD | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 41 | 29 | 40 |
| 4 | Longford Town | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 29 | 32 | 34 |
| 5 | Cobh Ramblers | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 27 | 34 | 34 |
| 6 | Kerry FC | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 30 | 30 | 32 |
| 7 | Wexford FC | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 29 | 34 | 31 |
| 8 | Athlone Town | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 22 | 29 | 28 |
| 9 | Treaty United FC | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 36 | 26 |
| 10 | Finn Harps | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 21 | 43 | 22 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | UCD | Wexford FC |
|---|---|---|
| Athlone Town | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| Cork City | 5-2 W | 0-2 L |
| Treaty United FC | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Bray Wanderers | 0-6 L | 0-4 L |
| Longford Town | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Cobh Ramblers | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Kerry FC | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| Finn Harps | 5-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 3 L | 1 W 3 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: UCD (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
UCD
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 24/07 | Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division |
2-2 | 5-2 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 17/07 | Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland FAI Cup |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 10/07 | Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-2 | 0-6 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 04/07 | Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 26/06 | Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 19/06 | Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 12/06 | Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division |
3-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 29/05 | Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 22/05 | Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
Wexford FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 25/07 | Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 17/07 | St Patricks Republic of Ireland FAI Cup |
0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 10/07 | Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 03/07 | Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 26/06 | Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 19/06 | Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 12/06 | Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 29/05 | Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 0-4 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 22/05 | UCD Republic of Ireland First Division |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in UCD vs Wexford FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a UCD win (59%). Probabilities: UCD 59%, draw 25%, Wexford FC 16%.
How many goals are expected in UCD vs Wexford FC?
The model expects 2.68 goals (UCD 1.82 · Wexford FC 0.86), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in UCD vs Wexford FC?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.