Football · Republic of Ireland First Division · 31/07, 20:45
Prediction: Treaty United FC vs Longford Town
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.78Total
Treaty United FC1.36
Longford Town1.42
1X2
Treaty United FC
Draw
Longford Town
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Treaty United FC
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Longford Town
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Treaty United FC
1–1–4
Longford Town
(6 last)
- Longford Town3-1Treaty United FC
- Treaty United FC0-0Longford Town
- Treaty United FC1-2Longford Town
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Longford Town (rating 1470 vs 1534).
- H2H favours Longford Town: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Treaty United FC | Longford Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.6 | 2.5 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.6 | 2.5 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.3 | 3.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Treaty United FC 1–1–4 Longford Town
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/05/26 Republic of Ireland First Division | Longford Town | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Treaty United FC |
| 03/04/26 Republic of Ireland First Division | Treaty United FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Longford Town |
| 05/10/25 Republic of Ireland First Division | Treaty United FC | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Longford Town |
| 09/08/25 Republic of Ireland First Division | Longford Town | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Treaty United FC |
| 23/05/25 Republic of Ireland First Division | Treaty United FC | 5-1 HT 1-0 | Longford Town |
| 29/03/25 Republic of Ireland First Division | Longford Town | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Treaty United FC |
Standings · Republic of Ireland First Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cork City | 24 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 48 | 20 | 54 |
| 2 | Bray Wanderers | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 48 | 31 | 40 |
| 3 | UCD | 24 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 41 | 29 | 39 |
| 4 | Longford Town | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 27 | 30 | 31 |
| 5 | Cobh Ramblers | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 26 | 34 | 31 |
| 6 | Kerry FC | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 30 | 29 |
| 7 | Wexford FC | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 27 | 32 | 28 |
| 8 | Athlone Town | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 29 | 27 |
| 9 | Treaty United FC | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 24 | 35 | 26 |
| 10 | Finn Harps | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 21 | 40 | 22 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Treaty United FC | Longford Town |
|---|---|---|
| UCD | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Finn Harps | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Kerry FC | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Wexford FC | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Cork City | 0-4 L | 4-3 W |
| Bray Wanderers | 2-2 D | 2-5 L |
| Cobh Ramblers | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 3 L | 3 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Treaty United FC (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Treaty United FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 17/07 | UCD Republic of Ireland FAI Cup |
1-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 10/07 | Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 03/07 | Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 26/06 | Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 19/06 | Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 0-4 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 12/06 | Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland First Division |
2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 29/05 | Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 25/05 | Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 22/05 | Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
Longford Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 18/07 | Baldoyle United Republic of Ireland FAI Cup |
3-0 | 8-0 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 10/07 | Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division |
2-1 | 4-3 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 04/07 | UCD Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 26/06 | Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 19/06 | Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 2-5 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 13/06 | Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 29/05 | Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 22/05 | Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 16/05 | Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Treaty United FC vs Longford Town?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Longford Town win (37%). Probabilities: Treaty United FC 35%, draw 28%, Longford Town 37%.
How many goals are expected in Treaty United FC vs Longford Town?
The model expects 2.78 goals (Treaty United FC 1.36 · Longford Town 1.42), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Treaty United FC vs Longford Town?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.