Football · Republic of Ireland Premier Division · 07/08, 20:45

Prediction: Galway United vs Drogheda United

Team pages: Galway United · Drogheda United

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.82Total

Galway United1.53

Drogheda United1.29

1X2

42% 28% 31%

Galway United Draw Drogheda United

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Galway United 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Drogheda United 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Galway United 2–2–2 Drogheda United (6 last)

Drogheda United2-3Galway United
Galway United0-1Drogheda United
Galway United1-1Drogheda United
Drogheda United1-0Galway United
Galway United2-1Drogheda United
Drogheda United1-1Galway United

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Galway United 1498 · Drogheda United 1483

	Galway United	Draw	Drogheda United
Our model	42%	27%	31%
Market	42%	28%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.82 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Galway United	Drogheda United
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.6	1.4 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.8	0.6 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	20/10/70%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 4.8	2.1 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.1	4.1 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.30

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:43

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
14:09 +34’	2.20	3.30	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Galway United 2–2–2 Drogheda United

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/04/26 Republic of Ireland Premier Division	Drogheda United	2-3 HT 2-1	Galway United
06/02/26 Republic of Ireland Premier Division	Galway United	0-1 HT 0-0	Drogheda United
24/10/25 Republic of Ireland Premier Division	Galway United	1-1 HT 0-0	Drogheda United
04/07/25 Republic of Ireland Premier Division	Drogheda United	1-0 HT 0-0	Galway United
25/04/25 Republic of Ireland Premier Division	Galway United	2-1 HT 0-1	Drogheda United
28/02/25 Republic of Ireland Premier Division	Drogheda United	1-1 HT 1-0	Galway United

Standings · Republic of Ireland Premier Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Shamrock Rovers	26	15	6	5	40	22	51
2	St Patricks	25	12	7	6	40	21	43
3	Bohemians Dublin	25	12	7	6	40	27	43
4	Dundalk	26	9	10	7	40	38	37
5	Shelbourne	24	8	10	6	35	35	34
6	Derry City	25	6	11	8	32	31	29
7	Galway United	24	7	7	10	32	39	28
8	Drogheda United	26	6	9	11	31	43	27
9	Waterford FC	25	4	10	11	33	47	22
10	Sligo Rovers	26	5	7	14	23	43	22

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Galway United	Drogheda United
Waterford FC	0-0 D	3-3 D
Sligo Rovers	3-2 W	2-2 D
St Patricks	0-3 L	0-2 L
Shamrock Rovers	1-3 L	0-0 D
Derry City	2-1 W	0-2 L
Dundalk	0-1 L	2-1 W
Shelbourne	1-1 D	2-2 D
Bohemians Dublin	2-4 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 4 L	1 W 4 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Drogheda United (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Galway United

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Waterford FC Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-0	0-0	5	8	D
17/07	Crumlin United Republic of Ireland FAI Cup	3-0	4-0	5	4	W
11/07	Sligo Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division	1-0	3-2	6	5	W
03/07	St Patricks Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-3	0-3	3	3	L
26/06	Shamrock Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-2	1-3	5	1	L
19/06	Derry City Republic of Ireland Premier Division	1-0	2-1	1	3	W
12/06	Dundalk Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
29/05	Shelbourne Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-0	1-1	6	4	D
22/05	Bohemians Dublin Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-2	2-4	5	2	L
16/05	Sligo Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division	2-1	4-1	6	5	W

Drogheda United

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/07	Shamrock Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-0	0-0	2	7	D
25/07	Sligo Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division	1-2	2-2	9	3	D
17/07	Lucan United Republic of Ireland FAI Cup	2-0	4-0	8	4	W
10/07	Dundalk Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-1	2-1	5	2	W
03/07	Bohemians Dublin Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-1	0-2	8	2	L
26/06	Derry City Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-1	0-2	5	4	L
19/06	Shelbourne Republic of Ireland Premier Division	2-1	2-2	2	4	D
12/06	St Patricks Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-1	0-2	5	3	L
29/05	Waterford FC Republic of Ireland Premier Division	1-2	3-3	2	9	D
22/05	Dundalk Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-1	1-1	4	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Galway United vs Drogheda United?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Galway United win (42%). Probabilities: Galway United 42%, draw 28%, Drogheda United 31%.

How many goals are expected in Galway United vs Drogheda United?

The model expects 2.82 goals (Galway United 1.53 · Drogheda United 1.29), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Galway United vs Drogheda United?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.