Football · Republic of Ireland First Division · 31/07, 20:45
Prediction: Finn Harps vs Cork City
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.92Total
Finn Harps1.16
Cork City1.76
1X2
Finn Harps
Draw
Cork City
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Finn Harps
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Cork City
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Finn Harps
0–2–4
Cork City
(6 last)
- Cork City4-0Finn Harps
- Finn Harps0-0Cork City
- Finn Harps0-3Cork City
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cork City (rating 1410 vs 1555).
- H2H favours Cork City: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Finn Harps | Cork City | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 2.2 | 2.1 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 1 | 0.7 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.3 | 3.4 / 6.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 0.3 | 3.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Finn Harps 0–2–4 Cork City
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/05/26 Republic of Ireland First Division | Cork City | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Finn Harps |
| 03/04/26 Republic of Ireland First Division | Finn Harps | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Cork City |
| 12/09/25 Republic of Ireland FAI Cup | Finn Harps | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Cork City |
| 20/09/24 Republic of Ireland First Division | Cork City | 2-2 HT 0-2 | Finn Harps |
| 20/07/24 Republic of Ireland FAI Cup | Cork City | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Finn Harps |
| 12/07/24 Republic of Ireland First Division | Cork City | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Finn Harps |
Standings · Republic of Ireland First Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cork City | 24 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 48 | 20 | 54 |
| 2 | Bray Wanderers | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 48 | 31 | 40 |
| 3 | UCD | 24 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 41 | 29 | 39 |
| 4 | Longford Town | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 27 | 30 | 31 |
| 5 | Cobh Ramblers | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 26 | 34 | 31 |
| 6 | Kerry FC | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 30 | 29 |
| 7 | Wexford FC | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 27 | 32 | 28 |
| 8 | Athlone Town | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 29 | 27 |
| 9 | Treaty United FC | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 24 | 35 | 26 |
| 10 | Finn Harps | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 21 | 40 | 22 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Finn Harps | Cork City |
|---|---|---|
| Bray Wanderers | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Treaty United FC | 0-1 L | 4-0 W |
| Wexford FC | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Cobh Ramblers | 1-3 L | 1-0 W |
| UCD | 0-5 L | 2-5 L |
| Longford Town | 2-2 D | 3-4 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 4 L | 4 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Cork City (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Finn Harps
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 17/07 | Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland FAI Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 10/07 | Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 03/07 | Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 26/06 | Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 12 | D |
| 19/06 | Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 1-3 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 12/06 | UCD Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-3 | 0-5 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 29/05 | Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 0-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 22/05 | Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 15/05 | Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
Cork City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | UCD Republic of Ireland First Division |
2-2 | 2-5 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 17/07 | Shamrock Rovers Republic of Ireland FAI Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 14/07 | Cardiff Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-6 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 10/07 | Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-2 | 3-4 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 03/07 | Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 26/06 | Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 19/06 | Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 4-0 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 12/06 | Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 29/05 | Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 25/05 | Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Finn Harps vs Cork City?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Cork City win (50%). Probabilities: Finn Harps 24%, draw 26%, Cork City 50%.
How many goals are expected in Finn Harps vs Cork City?
The model expects 2.92 goals (Finn Harps 1.16 · Cork City 1.76), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Finn Harps vs Cork City?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.