Basketball · Chile LNB · 12/11, 01:30
Prediction: Puerto Varas vs Colegio Los Leones
Team pages: Puerto Varas · Colegio Los Leones
Prediction summary
Estimated points
156.5Total
Puerto Varas73.7
Colegio Los Leones82.7
1X2
Puerto Varas
Colegio Los Leones
Recent form · 10 last
Puerto Varas
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Colegio Los Leones
9-0-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Puerto Varas
1–5
Colegio Los Leones
(6 last)
- Colegio Los Leones74-62Puerto Varas
- Colegio Los Leones97-69Puerto Varas
- Puerto Varas61-86Colegio Los Leones
- Colegio Los Leones98-84Puerto Varas
- Colegio Los Leones66-76Puerto Varas
- Puerto Varas64-67Colegio Los Leones
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Puerto Varas 1449 · Colegio Los Leones 1575
| Puerto Varas | Colegio Los Leones | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
Estimated total (ours)
156.5 points · Bet365 line 150.5 · +6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points156.5Puerto Varas 73.7 · Colegio Los Leones 82.7
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Colegio Los Leones (rating 1449 vs 1575).
- Colegio Los Leones is a clear favourite (74% market).
- H2H favours Colegio Los Leones: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Puerto Varas | Colegio Los Leones | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 72.6 / 85.5 | 84.9 / 70.9 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 70.4 / 78.8 | 87.4 / 68.2 |
| Est. result | 74 | 83 |
Est. total156.5
Line O/U150.5
Diff.6
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Puerto Varas 1–0–5 Colegio Los Leones
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11/26 Chile LNB | Colegio Los Leones | 74-62 | Puerto Varas |
| 08/11/26 Chile LNB | Colegio Los Leones | 97-69 | Puerto Varas |
| 01/11/26 Chile LNB | Puerto Varas | 61-86 | Colegio Los Leones |
| 09/10/26 Chile LNB | Colegio Los Leones | 98-84 | Puerto Varas |
| 20/03/26 Chile Super Cup | Colegio Los Leones | 66-76 | Puerto Varas |
| 02/06/25 Chile LNB | Puerto Varas | 64-67 | Colegio Los Leones |
Standings · Chile LNB · LNB 2026, Clausura, Championship Round
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Valdivia | 14 | 12 | 2 | 1226 | 1064 | 26 |
| 2 | Colegio Los Leones | 14 | 12 | 2 | 1169 | 1010 | 26 |
| 3 | CDU Concepcion | 14 | 10 | 4 | 1222 | 1133 | 24 |
| 4 | Puerto Montt Basquetbol | 14 | 6 | 8 | 1079 | 1128 | 20 |
| 5 | Puente Alto | 14 | 6 | 8 | 1093 | 1163 | 20 |
| 6 | ABA Ancud | 14 | 4 | 10 | 1102 | 1163 | 18 |
| 7 | Puerto Varas | 14 | 3 | 11 | 1055 | 1192 | 17 |
| 8 | Espanol Osorno | 14 | 3 | 11 | 1006 | 1099 | 17 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Puerto Varas
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Colegio Los Leones Chile LNB |
62-74 | L |
| 08/11 | Colegio Los Leones Chile LNB |
69-97 | L |
| 02/11 | Espanol Osorno Chile LNB |
82-68 | W |
| 01/11 | Colegio Los Leones Chile LNB |
61-86 | L |
| 27/10 | Espanol Osorno Chile LNB |
78-69 | W |
| 25/10 | Deportivo Valdivia Chile LNB |
83-96 | L |
| 19/10 | Deportivo Valdivia Chile LNB |
61-103 | L |
| 15/10 | Puente Alto Chile LNB |
70-75 | L |
| 09/10 | Colegio Los Leones Chile LNB |
84-98 | L |
| 08/10 | Puente Alto Chile LNB |
76-89 | L |
Colegio Los Leones
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Puerto Varas Chile LNB |
74-62 | W |
| 08/11 | Puerto Varas Chile LNB |
97-69 | W |
| 01/11 | Puerto Montt Basquetbol Chile LNB |
89-68 | W |
| 01/11 | Puerto Varas Chile LNB |
86-61 | W |
| 30/10 | ABA Ancud Chile LNB |
91-81 | W |
| 26/10 | CDU Concepcion Chile LNB |
64-89 | L |
| 24/10 | Puente Alto Chile LNB |
90-66 | W |
| 11/10 | Puerto Montt Basquetbol Chile LNB |
75-54 | W |
| 09/10 | Puerto Varas Chile LNB |
98-84 | W |
| 08/10 | ABA Ancud Chile LNB |
85-75 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Puerto Varas vs Colegio Los Leones?
Our model gives 74% to Colegio Los Leones.
How many points are expected in Puerto Varas vs Colegio Los Leones?
The model estimates 156.5 total points (Puerto Varas 73.7 · Colegio Los Leones 82.7).