Basketball · Chile LNB · 07/11, 00:30
Prediction: Deportivo Valdivia vs Espanol Osorno
Team pages: Deportivo Valdivia · Espanol Osorno
Prediction summary
Estimated points
157.1Total
Deportivo Valdivia86.1
Espanol Osorno71
1X2
Deportivo Valdivia
Espanol Osorno
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo Valdivia
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Espanol Osorno
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportivo Valdivia
4–2
Espanol Osorno
(6 last)
- Deportivo Valdivia86-58Espanol Osorno
- Espanol Osorno82-83Deportivo Valdivia
- Espanol Osorno70-77Deportivo Valdivia
- Deportivo Valdivia108-82Espanol Osorno
- Deportivo Valdivia87-90Espanol Osorno
- Deportivo Valdivia57-69Espanol Osorno
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportivo Valdivia 1581 · Espanol Osorno 1430
| Deportivo Valdivia | Espanol Osorno | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 80% | 20% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
Estimated total (ours)
157.1 points · Bet365 line 150.5 · +6.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points157.1Deportivo Valdivia 86.1 · Espanol Osorno 71
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Valdivia (rating 1581 vs 1430).
- Deportivo Valdivia is a clear favourite (86% market).
- H2H favours Deportivo Valdivia: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Deportivo Valdivia | Espanol Osorno | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 87.6 / 76.7 | 70.3 / 78.4 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 87.2 / 81.6 | 70.8 / 77.6 |
| Est. result | 86 | 71 |
Est. total157.1
Line O/U150.5
Diff.6.6
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Valdivia 4–0–2 Espanol Osorno
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10/26 Chile LNB | Deportivo Valdivia | 86-58 | Espanol Osorno |
| 13/09/26 Chile LNB | Espanol Osorno | 82-83 | Deportivo Valdivia |
| 07/08/26 Chile LNB | Espanol Osorno | 70-77 | Deportivo Valdivia |
| 16/07/26 Chile LNB | Deportivo Valdivia | 108-82 | Espanol Osorno |
| 22/05/26 Chile LNB | Deportivo Valdivia | 87-90 | Espanol Osorno |
| 21/05/26 Chile LNB | Deportivo Valdivia | 57-69 | Espanol Osorno |
Standings · Chile LNB · LNB 2026, Clausura, Championship Round
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Valdivia | 14 | 12 | 2 | 1226 | 1064 | 26 |
| 2 | Colegio Los Leones | 14 | 12 | 2 | 1169 | 1010 | 26 |
| 3 | CDU Concepcion | 14 | 10 | 4 | 1222 | 1133 | 24 |
| 4 | Puerto Montt Basquetbol | 14 | 6 | 8 | 1079 | 1128 | 20 |
| 5 | Puente Alto | 14 | 6 | 8 | 1093 | 1163 | 20 |
| 6 | ABA Ancud | 14 | 4 | 10 | 1102 | 1163 | 18 |
| 7 | Puerto Varas | 14 | 3 | 11 | 1055 | 1192 | 17 |
| 8 | Espanol Osorno | 14 | 3 | 11 | 1006 | 1099 | 17 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportivo Valdivia | Espanol Osorno |
|---|---|---|
| CDU Concepcion | 76-91 L | 89-75 W |
| ABA Ancud | 95-92 W | 68-74 L |
| Puerto Montt Basquetbol | 88-72 W | 67-79 L |
| Puerto Varas | 96-83 W | 68-82 L |
| Puente Alto | 85-77 W | 73-80 L |
| Colegio Los Leones | 65-78 L | 61-81 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportivo Valdivia (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo Valdivia
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | CDU Concepcion Chile LNB |
76-91 | L |
| 29/10 | ABA Ancud Chile LNB |
95-92 | W |
| 26/10 | Puerto Montt Basquetbol Chile LNB |
88-72 | W |
| 25/10 | Puerto Varas Chile LNB |
96-83 | W |
| 21/10 | Puerto Montt Basquetbol Chile LNB |
81-70 | W |
| 19/10 | Puerto Varas Chile LNB |
103-61 | W |
| 12/10 | Espanol Osorno Chile LNB |
86-58 | W |
| 10/10 | CDU Concepcion Chile LNB |
101-85 | W |
| 02/10 | Puente Alto Chile LNB |
85-77 | W |
| 01/10 | Colegio Los Leones Chile LNB |
65-78 | L |
Espanol Osorno
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Puerto Varas Chile LNB |
68-82 | L |
| 01/11 | Puerto Montt Chile LNB |
82-75 | W |
| 27/10 | Puerto Varas Chile LNB |
69-78 | L |
| 25/10 | ABA Ancud Chile LNB |
68-74 | L |
| 18/10 | Puerto Montt Basquetbol Chile LNB |
67-79 | L |
| 15/10 | CDU Concepcion Chile LNB |
89-75 | W |
| 12/10 | Deportivo Valdivia Chile LNB |
58-86 | L |
| 08/10 | CDU Concepcion Chile LNB |
68-74 | L |
| 02/10 | Colegio Los Leones Chile LNB |
61-81 | L |
| 01/10 | Puente Alto Chile LNB |
73-80 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo Valdivia vs Espanol Osorno?
Our model gives 86% to Deportivo Valdivia.
How many points are expected in Deportivo Valdivia vs Espanol Osorno?
The model estimates 157.1 total points (Deportivo Valdivia 86.1 · Espanol Osorno 71).