Basketball · Chile LNB · 13/11, 00:30
Prediction: Espanol Osorno vs Deportivo Valdivia
Team pages: Espanol Osorno · Deportivo Valdivia
Prediction summary
Estimated points
159.6Total
Espanol Osorno75.5
Deportivo Valdivia84.1
1X2
Espanol Osorno
Deportivo Valdivia
Recent form · 10 last
Espanol Osorno
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Deportivo Valdivia
9-0-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Espanol Osorno
0–6
Deportivo Valdivia
(6 last)
- Deportivo Valdivia91-67Espanol Osorno
- Deportivo Valdivia85-73Espanol Osorno
- Deportivo Valdivia86-58Espanol Osorno
- Espanol Osorno82-83Deportivo Valdivia
- Espanol Osorno70-77Deportivo Valdivia
- Deportivo Valdivia108-82Espanol Osorno
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Espanol Osorno 1424 · Deportivo Valdivia 1596
| Espanol Osorno | Deportivo Valdivia | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 24% | 76% |
Estimated total (ours)
159.6 points · Bet365 line 154.5 · +5.1
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points159.6Espanol Osorno 75.5 · Deportivo Valdivia 84.1
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Valdivia (rating 1424 vs 1596).
- Deportivo Valdivia is a clear favourite (73% market).
- H2H favours Deportivo Valdivia: 6-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Espanol Osorno | Deportivo Valdivia | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 70.9 / 79.9 | 90.2 / 75.2 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 71.8 / 82.2 | 87 / 79 |
| Est. result | 76 | 84 |
Est. total159.6
Line O/U154.5
Diff.5.1
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Espanol Osorno 0–0–6 Deportivo Valdivia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/26 Chile LNB | Deportivo Valdivia | 91-67 | Espanol Osorno |
| 07/11/26 Chile LNB | Deportivo Valdivia | 85-73 | Espanol Osorno |
| 12/10/26 Chile LNB | Deportivo Valdivia | 86-58 | Espanol Osorno |
| 13/09/26 Chile LNB | Espanol Osorno | 82-83 | Deportivo Valdivia |
| 07/08/26 Chile LNB | Espanol Osorno | 70-77 | Deportivo Valdivia |
| 16/07/26 Chile LNB | Deportivo Valdivia | 108-82 | Espanol Osorno |
Standings · Chile LNB · LNB 2026, Clausura, Championship Round
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Valdivia | 14 | 12 | 2 | 1226 | 1064 | 26 |
| 2 | Colegio Los Leones | 14 | 12 | 2 | 1169 | 1010 | 26 |
| 3 | CDU Concepcion | 14 | 10 | 4 | 1222 | 1133 | 24 |
| 4 | Puerto Montt Basquetbol | 14 | 6 | 8 | 1079 | 1128 | 20 |
| 5 | Puente Alto | 14 | 6 | 8 | 1093 | 1163 | 20 |
| 6 | ABA Ancud | 14 | 4 | 10 | 1102 | 1163 | 18 |
| 7 | Puerto Varas | 14 | 3 | 11 | 1055 | 1192 | 17 |
| 8 | Espanol Osorno | 14 | 3 | 11 | 1006 | 1099 | 17 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Espanol Osorno | Deportivo Valdivia |
|---|---|---|
| Puerto Varas | 68-82 L | 96-83 W |
| ABA Ancud | 68-74 L | 95-92 W |
| Puerto Montt Basquetbol | 67-79 L | 88-72 W |
| CDU Concepcion | 89-75 W | 76-91 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 3 L | 3 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportivo Valdivia (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Espanol Osorno
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Deportivo Valdivia Chile LNB |
67-91 | L |
| 07/11 | Deportivo Valdivia Chile LNB |
73-85 | L |
| 02/11 | Puerto Varas Chile LNB |
68-82 | L |
| 01/11 | Puerto Montt Chile LNB |
82-75 | W |
| 27/10 | Puerto Varas Chile LNB |
69-78 | L |
| 25/10 | ABA Ancud Chile LNB |
68-74 | L |
| 18/10 | Puerto Montt Basquetbol Chile LNB |
67-79 | L |
| 15/10 | CDU Concepcion Chile LNB |
89-75 | W |
| 12/10 | Deportivo Valdivia Chile LNB |
58-86 | L |
| 08/10 | CDU Concepcion Chile LNB |
68-74 | L |
Deportivo Valdivia
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Espanol Osorno Chile LNB |
91-67 | W |
| 07/11 | Espanol Osorno Chile LNB |
85-73 | W |
| 02/11 | CDU Concepcion Chile LNB |
76-91 | L |
| 29/10 | ABA Ancud Chile LNB |
95-92 | W |
| 26/10 | Puerto Montt Basquetbol Chile LNB |
88-72 | W |
| 25/10 | Puerto Varas Chile LNB |
96-83 | W |
| 21/10 | Puerto Montt Basquetbol Chile LNB |
81-70 | W |
| 19/10 | Puerto Varas Chile LNB |
103-61 | W |
| 12/10 | Espanol Osorno Chile LNB |
86-58 | W |
| 10/10 | CDU Concepcion Chile LNB |
101-85 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Espanol Osorno vs Deportivo Valdivia?
Our model gives 73% to Deportivo Valdivia.
How many points are expected in Espanol Osorno vs Deportivo Valdivia?
The model estimates 159.6 total points (Espanol Osorno 75.5 · Deportivo Valdivia 84.1).