Basketball · Chile LNB · 06/11, 00:30
Prediction: CDU Concepcion vs ABA Ancud
Team pages: CDU Concepcion · ABA Ancud
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Prediction summary
Estimated points
167.8Total
CDU Concepcion91.2
ABA Ancud76.7
1X2
CDU Concepcion
ABA Ancud
Recent form · 10 last
CDU Concepcion
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
ABA Ancud
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CDU Concepcion
4–2
ABA Ancud
(6 last)
- CDU Concepcion89-80ABA Ancud
- CDU Concepcion95-78ABA Ancud
- ABA Ancud91-73CDU Concepcion
- ABA Ancud67-79CDU Concepcion
- CDU Concepcion79-70ABA Ancud
- CDU Concepcion63-77ABA Ancud
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CDU Concepcion 1542 · ABA Ancud 1441
| CDU Concepcion | ABA Ancud | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 75% | 25% |
| Market | 87% | 13% |
Estimated total (ours)
167.8 points · Bet365 line 169.5 · -1.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points167.8CDU Concepcion 91.2 · ABA Ancud 76.7
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CDU Concepcion (rating 1542 vs 1441).
- CDU Concepcion is a clear favourite (85% market).
- H2H favours CDU Concepcion: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| CDU Concepcion | ABA Ancud | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 86.7 / 81.6 | 79.8 / 85.7 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 92.4 / 75.2 | 81 / 87.6 |
| Est. result | 91 | 77 |
Est. total167.8
Line O/U169.5
Diff.1.7
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · CDU Concepcion 4–0–2 ABA Ancud
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11/26 Chile LNB | CDU Concepcion | 89-80 | ABA Ancud |
| 22/10/26 Chile LNB | CDU Concepcion | 95-78 | ABA Ancud |
| 16/10/26 Chile LNB | ABA Ancud | 91-73 | CDU Concepcion |
| 01/11/25 Chile LNB | ABA Ancud | 67-79 | CDU Concepcion |
| 30/10/25 Chile LNB | CDU Concepcion | 79-70 | ABA Ancud |
| 20/10/25 Chile LNB | CDU Concepcion | 63-77 | ABA Ancud |
Standings · Chile LNB · LNB 2026, Clausura, Championship Round
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Valdivia | 14 | 12 | 2 | 1226 | 1064 | 26 |
| 2 | Colegio Los Leones | 14 | 12 | 2 | 1169 | 1010 | 26 |
| 3 | CDU Concepcion | 14 | 10 | 4 | 1222 | 1133 | 24 |
| 4 | Puerto Montt Basquetbol | 14 | 6 | 8 | 1079 | 1128 | 20 |
| 5 | Puente Alto | 14 | 6 | 8 | 1093 | 1163 | 20 |
| 6 | ABA Ancud | 14 | 4 | 10 | 1102 | 1163 | 18 |
| 7 | Puerto Varas | 14 | 3 | 11 | 1055 | 1192 | 17 |
| 8 | Espanol Osorno | 14 | 3 | 11 | 1006 | 1099 | 17 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CDU Concepcion | ABA Ancud |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Valdivia | 91-76 W | 92-95 L |
| Puente Alto | 98-78 W | 70-78 L |
| Colegio Los Leones | 89-64 W | 81-91 L |
| Espanol Osorno | 75-89 L | 74-68 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: CDU Concepcion (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CDU Concepcion
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | ABA Ancud Chile LNB |
89-80 | W |
| 02/11 | Deportivo Valdivia Chile LNB |
91-76 | W |
| 31/10 | Puente Alto Chile LNB |
98-78 | W |
| 26/10 | Colegio Los Leones Chile LNB |
89-64 | W |
| 22/10 | ABA Ancud Chile LNB |
95-78 | W |
| 16/10 | ABA Ancud Chile LNB |
73-91 | L |
| 15/10 | Espanol Osorno Chile LNB |
75-89 | L |
| 10/10 | Deportivo Valdivia Chile LNB |
85-101 | L |
| 08/10 | Espanol Osorno Chile LNB |
74-68 | W |
| 04/10 | Puerto Varas Chile LNB |
98-91 | W |
ABA Ancud
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | CDU Concepcion Chile LNB |
80-89 | L |
| 30/10 | Colegio Los Leones Chile LNB |
81-91 | L |
| 29/10 | Deportivo Valdivia Chile LNB |
92-95 | L |
| 25/10 | Espanol Osorno Chile LNB |
74-68 | W |
| 22/10 | CDU Concepcion Chile LNB |
78-95 | L |
| 18/10 | Puente Alto Chile LNB |
70-78 | L |
| 16/10 | CDU Concepcion Chile LNB |
91-73 | W |
| 09/10 | Puente Alto Chile LNB |
77-90 | L |
| 08/10 | Colegio Los Leones Chile LNB |
75-85 | L |
| 05/10 | Puerto Montt Basquetbol Chile LNB |
80-93 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CDU Concepcion vs ABA Ancud?
Our model gives 85% to CDU Concepcion.
How many points are expected in CDU Concepcion vs ABA Ancud?
The model estimates 167.8 total points (CDU Concepcion 91.2 · ABA Ancud 76.7).