Basketball · Philippines NCAA · 03/11, 08:00
Prediction: SSC-R Stags vs AU Chiefs
Team pages: SSC-R Stags · AU Chiefs
Prediction summary
Estimated points
153.1Total
SSC-R Stags69.8
AU Chiefs83.2
1X2
SSC-R Stags
AU Chiefs
Recent form · 10 last
SSC-R Stags
0-0-10 (W-D-L)
AU Chiefs
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
SSC-R Stags
0–6
AU Chiefs
(6 last)
- SSC-R Stags72-98AU Chiefs
- SSC-R Stags78-103AU Chiefs
- SSC-R Stags71-78AU Chiefs
- SSC-R Stags66-82AU Chiefs
- SSC-R Stags73-87AU Chiefs
- AU Chiefs105-95SSC-R Stags
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · SSC-R Stags 1338 · AU Chiefs 1505
| SSC-R Stags | AU Chiefs | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
Estimated total (ours)
153.1 points · Bet365 line 152.5 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points153.1SSC-R Stags 69.8 · AU Chiefs 83.2
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AU Chiefs (rating 1338 vs 1505).
- AU Chiefs is a clear favourite (83% market).
- H2H favours AU Chiefs: 6-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| SSC-R Stags | AU Chiefs | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 69.5 / 87.5 | 70.8 / 73.3 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 70.2 / 87.6 | 66 / 73.4 |
| Est. result | 70 | 83 |
Est. total153.1
Line O/U152.5
Diff.0.6
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · SSC-R Stags 0–0–6 AU Chiefs
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09/26 Philippines NCAA | SSC-R Stags | 72-98 | AU Chiefs |
| 07/07/26 Philippines Preseason Cup | SSC-R Stags | 78-103 | AU Chiefs |
| 12/11/25 Philippines NCAA | SSC-R Stags | 71-78 | AU Chiefs |
| 07/10/25 Philippines NCAA | SSC-R Stags | 66-82 | AU Chiefs |
| 22/09/24 Philippines NCAA | SSC-R Stags | 73-87 | AU Chiefs |
| 20/05/24 Philippines Preseason Cup | AU Chiefs | 105-95 | SSC-R Stags |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | SSC-R Stags | AU Chiefs |
|---|---|---|
| EAC Generals | 64-96 L | 91-87 W |
| CSJL Knights | 89-91 L | 77-91 L |
| MU Cardinals | 43-71 L | 55-69 L |
| LPU Pirates | 77-78 L | 57-62 L |
| JRU Heavy Bombers | 78-102 L | 62-64 L |
| CSB Blazers | 66-73 L | 82-94 L |
| SBC Red Lions | 55-85 L | 56-55 W |
| Perpetual Altas | 74-86 L | 58-65 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 8 L | 2 W 0 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: AU Chiefs (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
SSC-R Stags
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | EAC Generals Philippines NCAA |
64-96 | L |
| 23/10 | CSJL Knights Philippines NCAA |
89-91 | L |
| 19/10 | MU Cardinals Philippines NCAA |
43-71 | L |
| 16/10 | LPU Pirates Philippines NCAA |
77-78 | L |
| 09/10 | JRU Heavy Bombers Philippines NCAA |
78-102 | L |
| 05/10 | CSB Blazers Philippines NCAA |
66-73 | L |
| 02/10 | SBC Red Lions Philippines NCAA |
55-85 | L |
| 29/09 | EAC Generals Philippines NCAA |
87-94 | L |
| 21/09 | Perpetual Altas Philippines NCAA |
74-86 | L |
| 18/09 | CSJL Knights Philippines NCAA |
62-99 | L |
AU Chiefs
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | CSJL Knights Philippines NCAA |
77-91 | L |
| 26/10 | Perpetual Altas Philippines NCAA |
58-65 | L |
| 22/10 | LPU Pirates Philippines NCAA |
57-62 | L |
| 13/10 | SBC Red Lions Philippines NCAA |
56-55 | W |
| 09/10 | CSB Blazers Philippines NCAA |
82-94 | L |
| 06/10 | JRU Heavy Bombers Philippines NCAA |
62-64 | L |
| 01/10 | MU Cardinals Philippines NCAA |
55-69 | L |
| 28/09 | CSJL Knights Philippines NCAA |
82-81 | W |
| 25/09 | Perpetual Altas Philippines NCAA |
88-65 | W |
| 22/09 | EAC Generals Philippines NCAA |
91-87 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in SSC-R Stags vs AU Chiefs?
Our model gives 83% to AU Chiefs.
How many points are expected in SSC-R Stags vs AU Chiefs?
The model estimates 153.1 total points (SSC-R Stags 69.8 · AU Chiefs 83.2).