Basketball · Philippines NCAA · 12/11, 10:00

Prediction: Perpetual Altas vs SSC-R Stags

Team pages: Perpetual Altas · SSC-R Stags

Prediction summary

Estimated points

152.2Total

Perpetual Altas80.8

SSC-R Stags71.4

1X2

75% 25%

Perpetual Altas SSC-R Stags

Recent form · 10 last

Perpetual Altas 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

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SSC-R Stags 0-0-10 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Perpetual Altas 5–1 SSC-R Stags (6 last)

Perpetual Altas82-75SSC-R Stags
Perpetual Altas86-74SSC-R Stags
SSC-R Stags58-77Perpetual Altas
Perpetual Altas61-62SSC-R Stags
Perpetual Altas67-54SSC-R Stags
SSC-R Stags61-75Perpetual Altas

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Perpetual Altas 1464 · SSC-R Stags 1359

	Perpetual Altas	SSC-R Stags
Our model	75%	25%
Market	75%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 152.2 points · Bet365 line 151.5 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points152.2Perpetual Altas 80.8 · SSC-R Stags 71.4

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Perpetual Altas (rating 1464 vs 1359).
Perpetual Altas is a clear favourite (75% market).
H2H favours Perpetual Altas: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Perpetual Altas	SSC-R Stags
Points F\|A (Last 10)	74.5 / 78.5	69.5 / 84.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	77.8 / 76.4	66.4 / 81.8
Est. result	81	71

Est. total152.2

Line O/U151.5

Diff.0.7

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.25

23.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-8.5)1.83

2 (+8.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 151.51.83

Under 151.51.83

Diff.: 1.8 · Est. total: 153.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:45

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.25 → 1.25	Bet365 1.25
2	3.70 → 3.70	Pinn 3.90 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7% Pinnacle margin 12.1%

Time*	1	2
08:41 +4’	1.25	3.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
08:31 +14’	1.16	3.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Perpetual Altas 5–0–1 SSC-R Stags

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
06/11/26 Philippines NCAA	Perpetual Altas	82-75	SSC-R Stags
21/09/26 Philippines NCAA	Perpetual Altas	86-74	SSC-R Stags
18/06/26 Philippines Preseason Cup	SSC-R Stags	58-77	Perpetual Altas
08/11/25 Philippines NCAA	Perpetual Altas	61-62	SSC-R Stags
03/10/25 Philippines NCAA	Perpetual Altas	67-54	SSC-R Stags
18/06/25 Philippines Preseason Cup	SSC-R Stags	61-75	Perpetual Altas

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Perpetual Altas	SSC-R Stags
CSJL Knights	83-85 L	89-91 L
EAC Generals	89-92 L	64-96 L
AU Chiefs	65-58 W	61-69 L
JRU Heavy Bombers	70-72 L	78-102 L
MU Cardinals	60-65 L	43-71 L
LPU Pirates	89-98 L	77-78 L
SBC Red Lions	63-71 L	55-85 L
CSB Blazers	79-81 L	66-73 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 7 L	0 W 0 D 8 L

Better against common opponents: Perpetual Altas (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Perpetual Altas

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Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
10/11	CSJL Knights Philippines NCAA	83-85	L
06/11	SSC-R Stags Philippines NCAA	82-75	W
30/10	EAC Generals Philippines NCAA	89-92	L
26/10	AU Chiefs Philippines NCAA	65-58	W
20/10	JRU Heavy Bombers Philippines NCAA	70-72	L
16/10	MU Cardinals Philippines NCAA	60-65	L
13/10	LPU Pirates Philippines NCAA	89-98	L
08/10	SBC Red Lions Philippines NCAA	63-71	L
01/10	CSB Blazers Philippines NCAA	79-81	L
25/09	AU Chiefs Philippines NCAA	65-88	L

SSC-R Stags

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Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
06/11	Perpetual Altas Philippines NCAA	75-82	L
03/11	AU Chiefs Philippines NCAA	61-69	L
27/10	EAC Generals Philippines NCAA	64-96	L
23/10	CSJL Knights Philippines NCAA	89-91	L
19/10	MU Cardinals Philippines NCAA	43-71	L
16/10	LPU Pirates Philippines NCAA	77-78	L
09/10	JRU Heavy Bombers Philippines NCAA	78-102	L
05/10	CSB Blazers Philippines NCAA	66-73	L
02/10	SBC Red Lions Philippines NCAA	55-85	L
29/09	EAC Generals Philippines NCAA	87-94	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Perpetual Altas vs SSC-R Stags?

Our model gives 75% to Perpetual Altas.

How many points are expected in Perpetual Altas vs SSC-R Stags?

The model estimates 152.2 total points (Perpetual Altas 80.8 · SSC-R Stags 71.4).