Basketball · Philippines NCAA · 09/11, 08:00
Prediction: LPU Pirates vs MU Cardinals
Team pages: LPU Pirates · MU Cardinals
Prediction summary
Estimated points
152.4Total
LPU Pirates73.3
MU Cardinals79.1
1X2
LPU Pirates
MU Cardinals
Recent form · 10 last
LPU Pirates
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
MU Cardinals
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
LPU Pirates
1–5
MU Cardinals
(6 last)
- LPU Pirates88-87MU Cardinals
- LPU Pirates66-87MU Cardinals
- MU Cardinals78-73LPU Pirates
- MU Cardinals90-89LPU Pirates
- LPU Pirates63-71MU Cardinals
- MU Cardinals89-79LPU Pirates
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · LPU Pirates 1454 · MU Cardinals 1522
| LPU Pirates | MU Cardinals | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
Estimated total (ours)
152.4 points · Bet365 line 150.5 · +1.9
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points152.4LPU Pirates 73.3 · MU Cardinals 79.1
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours MU Cardinals (rating 1454 vs 1522).
- MU Cardinals is a clear favourite (66% market).
- H2H favours MU Cardinals: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| LPU Pirates | MU Cardinals | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 81.5 / 86 | 69.7 / 66.9 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 83.8 / 82.2 | 64 / 61.2 |
| Est. result | 73 | 79 |
Est. total152.4
Line O/U150.5
Diff.1.9
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · LPU Pirates 1–0–5 MU Cardinals
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09/26 Philippines NCAA | LPU Pirates | 88-87 | MU Cardinals |
| 17/05/26 Philippines Preseason Cup | LPU Pirates | 66-87 | MU Cardinals |
| 07/11/25 Philippines NCAA | MU Cardinals | 78-73 | LPU Pirates |
| 01/10/25 Philippines NCAA | MU Cardinals | 90-89 | LPU Pirates |
| 22/05/25 Philippines Preseason Cup | LPU Pirates | 63-71 | MU Cardinals |
| 23/11/24 Philippines NCAA | MU Cardinals | 89-79 | LPU Pirates |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | LPU Pirates | MU Cardinals |
|---|---|---|
| CSB Blazers | 103-107 L | 69-71 L |
| JRU Heavy Bombers | 78-81 L | 58-71 L |
| AU Chiefs | 62-57 W | 69-55 W |
| SSC-R Stags | 78-77 W | 71-43 W |
| Perpetual Altas | 98-89 W | 65-60 W |
| EAC Generals | 79-89 L | 89-84 W |
| SBC Red Lions | 74-83 L | 57-61 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 4 L | 4 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: MU Cardinals (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
LPU Pirates
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | CSB Blazers Philippines NCAA |
103-107 | L |
| 27/10 | JRU Heavy Bombers Philippines NCAA |
78-81 | L |
| 22/10 | AU Chiefs Philippines NCAA |
62-57 | W |
| 16/10 | SSC-R Stags Philippines NCAA |
78-77 | W |
| 13/10 | Perpetual Altas Philippines NCAA |
98-89 | W |
| 08/10 | CSJL Knights Philippines NCAA |
86-96 | L |
| 02/10 | EAC Generals Philippines NCAA |
79-89 | L |
| 29/09 | JRU Heavy Bombers Philippines NCAA |
69-94 | L |
| 24/09 | SBC Red Lions Philippines NCAA |
74-83 | L |
| 21/09 | MU Cardinals Philippines NCAA |
88-87 | W |
MU Cardinals
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | JRU Heavy Bombers Philippines NCAA |
58-71 | L |
| 29/10 | SBC Red Lions Philippines NCAA |
57-61 | L |
| 26/10 | CSB Blazers Philippines NCAA |
69-71 | L |
| 19/10 | SSC-R Stags Philippines NCAA |
71-43 | W |
| 16/10 | Perpetual Altas Philippines NCAA |
65-60 | W |
| 06/10 | EAC Generals Philippines NCAA |
89-84 | W |
| 01/10 | AU Chiefs Philippines NCAA |
69-55 | W |
| 28/09 | SBC Red Lions Philippines NCAA |
55-54 | W |
| 25/09 | CSB Blazers Philippines NCAA |
77-82 | L |
| 21/09 | LPU Pirates Philippines NCAA |
87-88 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in LPU Pirates vs MU Cardinals?
Our model gives 66% to MU Cardinals.
How many points are expected in LPU Pirates vs MU Cardinals?
The model estimates 152.4 total points (LPU Pirates 73.3 · MU Cardinals 79.1).