Basketball · Colombia Liga · 29/10, 00:30
Prediction: Piratas de Bogota vs Caribbean Storm Islands
Team pages: Piratas de Bogota · Caribbean Storm Islands
Prediction summary
Estimated points
157.2Total
Piratas de Bogota86.5
Caribbean Storm Islands70.7
1X2
Piratas de Bogota
Caribbean Storm Islands
Recent form · 10 last
Piratas de Bogota
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Caribbean Storm Islands
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Piratas de Bogota
5–1
Caribbean Storm Islands
(6 last)
- Piratas de Bogota83-80Caribbean Storm Islands
- Piratas de Bogota91-47Caribbean Storm Islands
- Piratas de Bogota106-71Caribbean Storm Islands
- Piratas de Bogota98-87Caribbean Storm Islands
- Piratas de Bogota84-68Caribbean Storm Islands
- Caribbean Storm Islands72-68Piratas de Bogota
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Piratas de Bogota 1545 · Caribbean Storm Islands 1408
| Piratas de Bogota | Caribbean Storm Islands | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 79% | 21% |
| Market | 89% | 11% |
Estimated total (ours)
157.2 points · Bet365 line 156.5 · +0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points157.2Piratas de Bogota 86.5 · Caribbean Storm Islands 70.7
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Piratas de Bogota (rating 1545 vs 1408).
- Piratas de Bogota is a clear favourite (87% market).
- H2H favours Piratas de Bogota: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Piratas de Bogota | Caribbean Storm Islands | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 77.7 / 73 | 71.9 / 90.3 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 78.2 / 77.4 | 70 / 92.2 |
| Est. result | 87 | 71 |
Est. total157.2
Line O/U156.5
Diff.0.7
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Piratas de Bogota 5–0–1 Caribbean Storm Islands
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10/26 Colombia Liga | Piratas de Bogota | 83-80 | Caribbean Storm Islands |
| 02/05/26 Colombia Liga | Piratas de Bogota | 91-47 | Caribbean Storm Islands |
| 01/05/26 Colombia Liga | Piratas de Bogota | 106-71 | Caribbean Storm Islands |
| 25/05/25 Colombia Liga | Piratas de Bogota | 98-87 | Caribbean Storm Islands |
| 24/05/25 Colombia Liga | Piratas de Bogota | 84-68 | Caribbean Storm Islands |
| 21/05/25 Colombia Liga | Caribbean Storm Islands | 72-68 | Piratas de Bogota |
Standings · Colombia Liga · LBP 2026-II, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toros del Valle | 12 | 11 | 1 | 1062 | 732 | 23 |
| 2 | Paisas | 12 | 9 | 3 | 1041 | 819 | 21 |
| 3 | Sabios de Manizales | 12 | 2 | 10 | 689 | 955 | 14 |
| 4 | Caribbean Storm Islands | 12 | 2 | 10 | 803 | 1089 | 14 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Piratas de Bogota
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Caribbean Storm Islands Colombia Liga |
83-80 | W |
| 23/10 | Caimanes del Villavicencio Colombia Liga |
63-90 | L |
| 22/10 | Caimanes del Villavicencio Colombia Liga |
91-89 | W |
| 18/10 | Capitanes de Bogota Colombia Liga |
78-71 | W |
| 18/10 | Capitanes de Bogota Colombia Liga |
76-57 | W |
| 15/10 | Motilones Del Norte Colombia Liga |
66-69 | L |
| 14/10 | Motilones Del Norte Colombia Liga |
94-73 | W |
| 10/10 | Capitanes de Bogota Colombia Liga |
73-59 | W |
| 09/10 | Capitanes de Bogota Colombia Liga |
90-75 | W |
| 06/10 | Caimanes del Villavicencio Colombia Liga |
63-67 | L |
Caribbean Storm Islands
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Piratas de Bogota Colombia Liga |
80-83 | L |
| 21/10 | Toros del Valle Colombia Liga |
53-106 | L |
| 20/10 | Toros del Valle Colombia Liga |
71-107 | L |
| 17/10 | Sabios de Manizales Colombia Liga |
62-83 | L |
| 16/10 | Sabios de Manizales Colombia Liga |
84-82 | W |
| 12/10 | Sabios de Manizales Colombia Liga |
76-75 | W |
| 10/10 | Sabios de Manizales Colombia Liga |
74-82 | L |
| 08/10 | Paisas Colombia Liga |
72-107 | L |
| 07/10 | Paisas Colombia Liga |
79-90 | L |
| 03/10 | Toros del Valle Colombia Liga |
68-88 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Piratas de Bogota vs Caribbean Storm Islands?
Our model gives 87% to Piratas de Bogota.
How many points are expected in Piratas de Bogota vs Caribbean Storm Islands?
The model estimates 157.2 total points (Piratas de Bogota 86.5 · Caribbean Storm Islands 70.7).