Basketball · Colombia Liga · 22/10, 01:30
Prediction: Caimanes del Villavicencio vs Piratas de Bogota
Team pages: Caimanes del Villavicencio · Piratas de Bogota
Prediction summary
Estimated points
159.9Total
Caimanes del Villavicencio81.7
Piratas de Bogota78.2
1X2
Caimanes del Villavicencio
Piratas de Bogota
Recent form · 10 last
Caimanes del Villavicencio
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Piratas de Bogota
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Caimanes del Villavicencio
5–1
Piratas de Bogota
(6 last)
- Piratas de Bogota63-67Caimanes del Villavicencio
- Piratas de Bogota70-92Caimanes del Villavicencio
- Piratas de Bogota80-78Caimanes del Villavicencio
- Piratas de Bogota76-81Caimanes del Villavicencio
- Caimanes del Villavicencio70-60Piratas de Bogota
- Caimanes del Villavicencio99-82Piratas de Bogota
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Caimanes del Villavicencio 1520 · Piratas de Bogota 1512
| Caimanes del Villavicencio | Piratas de Bogota | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
Estimated total (ours)
159.9 points · Bet365 line 157.5 · +2.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points159.9Caimanes del Villavicencio 81.7 · Piratas de Bogota 78.2
Match keys
- H2H favours Caimanes del Villavicencio: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Caimanes del Villavicencio | Piratas de Bogota | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 86.1 / 84.7 | 78 / 73.8 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 86.6 / 81.2 | 77.4 / 65.8 |
| Est. result | 82 | 78 |
Est. total159.9
Line O/U157.5
Diff.2.4
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Caimanes del Villavicencio 5–0–1 Piratas de Bogota
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10/26 Colombia Liga | Piratas de Bogota | 63-67 | Caimanes del Villavicencio |
| 04/10/26 Colombia Liga | Piratas de Bogota | 70-92 | Caimanes del Villavicencio |
| 14/04/26 Colombia Liga | Piratas de Bogota | 80-78 | Caimanes del Villavicencio |
| 12/04/26 Colombia Liga | Piratas de Bogota | 76-81 | Caimanes del Villavicencio |
| 05/06/25 Colombia Liga | Caimanes del Villavicencio | 70-60 | Piratas de Bogota |
| 04/06/25 Colombia Liga | Caimanes del Villavicencio | 99-82 | Piratas de Bogota |
Standings · Colombia Liga · LBP 2026-II, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Piratas de Bogota | 11 | 7 | 4 | 871 | 827 | 18 |
| 2 | Motilones Del Norte | 10 | 7 | 3 | 852 | 834 | 17 |
| 3 | Caimanes del Villavicencio | 9 | 5 | 4 | 772 | 745 | 14 |
| 4 | Capitanes de Bogota | 8 | 0 | 8 | 562 | 651 | 8 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Caimanes del Villavicencio | Piratas de Bogota |
|---|---|---|
| Motilones Del Norte | 73-77 L | 66-69 L |
| Capitanes de Bogota | 85-74 W | 78-71 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Caimanes del Villavicencio
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Motilones Del Norte Colombia Liga |
73-77 | L |
| 18/10 | Motilones Del Norte Colombia Liga |
106-108 | L |
| 15/10 | Capitanes de Bogota Colombia Liga |
85-74 | W |
| 14/10 | Capitanes de Bogota Colombia Liga |
85-76 | W |
| 10/10 | Motilones Del Norte Colombia Liga |
84-71 | W |
| 09/10 | Motilones Del Norte Colombia Liga |
91-115 | L |
| 06/10 | Piratas de Bogota Colombia Liga |
67-63 | W |
| 04/10 | Piratas de Bogota Colombia Liga |
92-70 | W |
| 26/05 | Paisas Colombia Liga |
97-105 | L |
| 23/05 | Paisas Colombia Liga |
81-88 | L |
Piratas de Bogota
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Capitanes de Bogota Colombia Liga |
78-71 | W |
| 18/10 | Capitanes de Bogota Colombia Liga |
76-57 | W |
| 15/10 | Motilones Del Norte Colombia Liga |
66-69 | L |
| 14/10 | Motilones Del Norte Colombia Liga |
94-73 | W |
| 10/10 | Capitanes de Bogota Colombia Liga |
73-59 | W |
| 09/10 | Capitanes de Bogota Colombia Liga |
90-75 | W |
| 06/10 | Caimanes del Villavicencio Colombia Liga |
63-67 | L |
| 04/10 | Caimanes del Villavicencio Colombia Liga |
70-92 | L |
| 02/10 | Motilones Del Norte Colombia Liga |
87-95 | L |
| 01/10 | Motilones Del Norte Colombia Liga |
83-80 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Caimanes del Villavicencio vs Piratas de Bogota?
Our model gives 60% to Caimanes del Villavicencio.
How many points are expected in Caimanes del Villavicencio vs Piratas de Bogota?
The model estimates 159.9 total points (Caimanes del Villavicencio 81.7 · Piratas de Bogota 78.2).