Basketball · Colombia Liga · 23/10, 03:30

Prediction: Caimanes del Villavicencio vs Piratas de Bogota

Team pages: Caimanes del Villavicencio · Piratas de Bogota

Prediction summary
Estimated points
161.6Total
Caimanes del Villavicencio82
Piratas de Bogota79.6
1X2 Even — no clear favourite
57% 43%
Caimanes del Villavicencio Piratas de Bogota

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Markets
Under 166.5 points 65%
Recent form · 10 last
Caimanes del Villavicencio 5-0-5 (W-D-L)
LWWLWWWLLL
Piratas de Bogota 6-0-4 (W-D-L)
LLLWWWLWWW
Head-to-head
Caimanes del Villavicencio 4–2 Piratas de Bogota (6 last)
  • Caimanes del Villavicencio89-91Piratas de Bogota
  • Piratas de Bogota63-67Caimanes del Villavicencio
  • Piratas de Bogota70-92Caimanes del Villavicencio
  • Piratas de Bogota80-78Caimanes del Villavicencio
  • Piratas de Bogota76-81Caimanes del Villavicencio
  • Caimanes del Villavicencio70-60Piratas de Bogota
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Caimanes del Villavicencio 1510 · Piratas de Bogota 1519
Caimanes del VillavicencioPiratas de Bogota
Our model61%39%
Market56%44%
Estimated total (ours) 161.6 points · Bet365 line 166.5 · -4.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Estimated points161.6Caimanes del Villavicencio 82 · Piratas de Bogota 79.6
Over / Under 166.5Under · 65%recent trend · ~160.7 pts · strength 6

Match keys

  • H2H favours Caimanes del Villavicencio: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

Caimanes del VillavicencioPiratas de Bogota
Points F|A (Last 10)86.9 / 8578.8 / 74.7
Points F|A (Last 5)87.6 / 85.281 / 71.8
Est. result8280
Est. total161.6
Line O/U166.5
Diff.4.9
Over / Under35% / 65%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Head-to-head (H2H) · Caimanes del Villavicencio 4–0–2 Piratas de Bogota

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DateHomeScoreAway
22/10/26
Colombia Liga
Caimanes del Villavicencio89-91Piratas de Bogota
06/10/26
Colombia Liga
Piratas de Bogota63-67Caimanes del Villavicencio
04/10/26
Colombia Liga
Piratas de Bogota70-92Caimanes del Villavicencio
14/04/26
Colombia Liga
Piratas de Bogota80-78Caimanes del Villavicencio
12/04/26
Colombia Liga
Piratas de Bogota76-81Caimanes del Villavicencio
05/06/25
Colombia Liga
Caimanes del Villavicencio70-60Piratas de Bogota

Standings · Colombia Liga · LBP 2026-II, Group A

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Piratas de Bogota 1174 87182718
2 Motilones Del Norte 1073 85283417
3 Caimanes del Villavicencio 954 77274514
4 Capitanes de Bogota 808 5626518

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCaimanes del VillavicencioPiratas de Bogota
Motilones Del Norte 73-77 L 66-69 L
Capitanes de Bogota 85-74 W 78-71 W
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 1 L 1 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Caimanes del Villavicencio

LWWLWWWLLL

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Date Opponent FT Res.
22/10 Piratas de Bogota
Colombia Liga
89-91 L
19/10 Motilones Del Norte
Colombia Liga
73-77 L
18/10 Motilones Del Norte
Colombia Liga
106-108 L
15/10 Capitanes de Bogota
Colombia Liga
85-74 W
14/10 Capitanes de Bogota
Colombia Liga
85-76 W
10/10 Motilones Del Norte
Colombia Liga
84-71 W
09/10 Motilones Del Norte
Colombia Liga
91-115 L
06/10 Piratas de Bogota
Colombia Liga
67-63 W
04/10 Piratas de Bogota
Colombia Liga
92-70 W
26/05 Paisas
Colombia Liga
97-105 L

Piratas de Bogota

LLLWWWLWWW

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Date Opponent FT Res.
22/10 Caimanes del Villavicencio
Colombia Liga
91-89 W
18/10 Capitanes de Bogota
Colombia Liga
78-71 W
18/10 Capitanes de Bogota
Colombia Liga
76-57 W
15/10 Motilones Del Norte
Colombia Liga
66-69 L
14/10 Motilones Del Norte
Colombia Liga
94-73 W
10/10 Capitanes de Bogota
Colombia Liga
73-59 W
09/10 Capitanes de Bogota
Colombia Liga
90-75 W
06/10 Caimanes del Villavicencio
Colombia Liga
63-67 L
04/10 Caimanes del Villavicencio
Colombia Liga
70-92 L
02/10 Motilones Del Norte
Colombia Liga
87-95 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Caimanes del Villavicencio vs Piratas de Bogota?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Caimanes del Villavicencio 57% · Piratas de Bogota 43%).

How many points are expected in Caimanes del Villavicencio vs Piratas de Bogota?

The model estimates 161.6 total points (Caimanes del Villavicencio 82 · Piratas de Bogota 79.6).

Over or under 166.5 points?

Recent history points to under 166.5 points (65%).