Basketball · Mexico LNBP · 30/10, 04:00

Prediction: Soles Mexicali vs Panteras Aguascalientes

Team pages: Soles Mexicali · Panteras Aguascalientes

Prediction summary

Estimated points

167.1Total

Soles Mexicali89.5

Panteras Aguascalientes77.7

1X2

80% 20%

Soles Mexicali Panteras Aguascalientes

Recent form · 10 last

Soles Mexicali 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

LWWLWWLWWW

Panteras Aguascalientes 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWWLWWLWWW

Head-to-head

Soles Mexicali 3–3 Panteras Aguascalientes (6 last)

Soles Mexicali76-77Panteras Aguascalientes
Soles Mexicali77-67Panteras Aguascalientes
Soles Mexicali75-82Panteras Aguascalientes
Panteras Aguascalientes83-88Soles Mexicali
Panteras Aguascalientes104-99Soles Mexicali
Soles Mexicali94-89Panteras Aguascalientes

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Soles Mexicali 1555 · Panteras Aguascalientes 1560

	Soles Mexicali	Panteras Aguascalientes
Our model	62%	38%
Market	84%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 167.1 points · Bet365 line 165.5 · +1.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points167.1Soles Mexicali 89.5 · Panteras Aguascalientes 77.7

Match keys

Soles Mexicali is a clear favourite (80% market).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Soles Mexicali	Panteras Aguascalientes
Points F\|A (Last 10)	89.8 / 72.4	92.1 / 87.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	91.4 / 73.2	96.2 / 91
Est. result	90	78

Est. total167.1

Line O/U165.5

Diff.1.6

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.11

26.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-12.5)1.83

2 (+12.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 165.51.83

Under 165.51.83

Diff.: 5.45 · Est. total: 170.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:58

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.11 → 1.11	Bet365 1.11
2	6.00 → 6.00	Bet365 6.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.7%

Time*	1	2
18:37 +21’	1.11	6.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Soles Mexicali 3–0–3 Panteras Aguascalientes

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
22/09/26 Mexico LNBP	Soles Mexicali	76-77	Panteras Aguascalientes
21/09/26 Mexico LNBP	Soles Mexicali	77-67	Panteras Aguascalientes
18/10/25 Mexico LNBP	Soles Mexicali	75-82	Panteras Aguascalientes
15/10/25 Mexico LNBP	Panteras Aguascalientes	83-88	Soles Mexicali
14/10/25 Mexico LNBP	Panteras Aguascalientes	104-99	Soles Mexicali
11/10/25 Mexico LNBP	Soles Mexicali	94-89	Panteras Aguascalientes

Standings · Mexico LNBP · LNBP 2026, West

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Soles Mexicali	28	21	7	2382	2090	49
2	Astros de Jalisco	28	20	8	2473	2246	48
3	Lobos Puebla	28	18	10	2366	2251	46
4	Mineros de Zacatecas	28	15	13	2411	2371	43
5	Diablos Rojos	28	11	17	2294	2370	39
6	Gambusinos de Fresnillo	28	11	17	2233	2327	39
7	El Calor de Cancun	28	9	19	2276	2384	37

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Soles Mexicali	Panteras Aguascalientes
Diablos Rojos	86-43 W	93-92 W
Dorados de Chihuahua	97-64 W	81-85 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 0 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Soles Mexicali (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Soles Mexicali

LWWLWWLWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
23/10	Abejas Mexico LNBP	92-70	W
20/10	Abejas Mexico LNBP	100-60	W
19/10	Abejas Mexico LNBP	102-58	W
08/10	Fuerza Regia Mexico LNBP	75-92	L
07/10	Fuerza Regia Mexico LNBP	88-86	W
03/10	Diablos Rojos Mexico LNBP	86-43	W
02/10	Diablos Rojos Mexico LNBP	84-93	L
27/09	Dorados de Chihuahua Mexico LNBP	97-64	W
26/09	Dorados de Chihuahua Mexico LNBP	98-81	W
22/09	Panteras Aguascalientes Mexico LNBP	76-77	L

Panteras Aguascalientes

WWWLWWLWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
24/10	Lobos Puebla Mexico LNBP	107-88	W
23/10	Lobos Puebla Mexico LNBP	93-84	W
20/10	Lobos Puebla Mexico LNBP	88-80	W
19/10	Lobos Puebla Mexico LNBP	100-111	L
08/10	Diablos Rojos Mexico LNBP	93-92	W
07/10	Diablos Rojos Mexico LNBP	77-76	W
03/10	Dorados de Chihuahua Mexico LNBP	81-85	L
02/10	Dorados de Chihuahua Mexico LNBP	91-85	W
27/09	Freseros Irapuato Mexico LNBP	97-88	W
26/09	Freseros Irapuato Mexico LNBP	94-87	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Soles Mexicali vs Panteras Aguascalientes?

Our model gives 80% to Soles Mexicali.

How many points are expected in Soles Mexicali vs Panteras Aguascalientes?

The model estimates 167.1 total points (Soles Mexicali 89.5 · Panteras Aguascalientes 77.7).