Basketball · Mexico Liga ABE · 17/10, 20:00
Prediction: UPAEP vs UANE
Team pages: UPAEP
Prediction summary
Estimated points
147.1Total
UPAEP81.4
UANE65.7
1X2
UPAEP
UANE
Markets
Under 152.5 points 68%
Recent form · 10 last
UPAEP
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
UANE
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
UPAEP
3–1
UANE
(4 last)
- UPAEP107-61UANE
- UANE72-90UPAEP
- UPAEP87-62UANE
- UANE82-76UPAEP
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · UPAEP 1557 · UANE 1447
| UPAEP | UANE | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 76% | 24% |
| Market | 89% | 11% |
Estimated total (ours)
147.1 points · Bet365 line 152.5 · -5.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points147.1UPAEP 81.4 · UANE 65.7
Over / Under 152.5Under · 68%recent trend · ~142.5 pts · strength 10
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours UPAEP (rating 1557 vs 1447).
- UPAEP is a clear favourite (87% market).
- H2H favours UPAEP: 3-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| UPAEP | UANE | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 74.1 / 68 | 67.5 / 76 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 67.8 / 66.6 | 71 / 73.4 |
| Est. result | 81 | 66 |
Est. total147.1
Line O/U152.5
Diff.5.4
Over / Under32% / 68%
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · UPAEP 3–0–1 UANE
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 Mexico Liga ABE | UPAEP | 107-61 | UANE |
| 15/11/25 Mexico Liga ABE | UANE | 72-90 | UPAEP |
| 01/03/25 Mexico Liga ABE | UPAEP | 87-62 | UANE |
| 18/10/24 Mexico Liga ABE | UANE | 82-76 | UPAEP |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | UPAEP | UANE |
|---|---|---|
| UANL | 69-70 L | 60-85 L |
| Tec Mty Toluca | 60-68 L | 60-68 L |
| UMAD | 58-52 W | 78-74 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: UPAEP (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
UPAEP
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | CEU Mexico Liga ABE |
41-33 | W |
| 02/10 | UACJ Mexico Liga ABE |
83-80 | W |
| 27/09 | UANL Mexico Liga ABE |
69-70 | L |
| 26/09 | Tec Mty Monterrey Mexico Liga ABE |
60-76 | L |
| 19/09 | Tec Mty Guadalajara Mexico Liga ABE |
86-74 | W |
| 19/09 | CETYS Mexicali Mexico Liga ABE |
95-74 | W |
| 03/05 | Tec Mty Toluca Mexico Liga ABE |
60-68 | L |
| 01/05 | Anahuac Queretaro Mexico Liga ABE |
95-77 | W |
| 28/04 | UMAD Mexico Liga ABE |
58-52 | W |
| 18/04 | CEU Mexico Liga ABE |
94-76 | W |
UANE
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Universidad Interamericana Mexico Liga ABE |
64-88 | L |
| 04/10 | UDLAP Mexico Liga ABE |
71-80 | L |
| 27/09 | Anahuac Xalapa Mexico Liga ABE |
77-69 | W |
| 26/09 | Universidad Veracruzana Mexico Liga ABE |
65-56 | W |
| 19/09 | UMAD Mexico Liga ABE |
78-74 | W |
| 19/09 | Tec Mty Puebla Mexico Liga ABE |
60-86 | L |
| 23/04 | Tec Mty Santa Fe Mexico Liga ABE |
50-84 | L |
| 18/04 | UANL Mexico Liga ABE |
60-85 | L |
| 11/04 | Tec Mty Toluca Mexico Liga ABE |
60-68 | L |
| 11/04 | Tec Mty Hidalgo Mexico Liga ABE |
90-70 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in UPAEP vs UANE?
Our model gives 87% to UPAEP.
How many points are expected in UPAEP vs UANE?
The model estimates 147.1 total points (UPAEP 81.4 · UANE 65.7).
Over or under 152.5 points?
Recent history points to under 152.5 points (68%).