Basketball · Chile LNB · 01/11, 00:30
Prediction: Puerto Varas vs Colegio Los Leones
Team pages: Puerto Varas · Colegio Los Leones
Prediction summary
Estimated points
159.7Total
Puerto Varas74.7
Colegio Los Leones85
1X2
Puerto Varas
Colegio Los Leones
Recent form · 10 last
Puerto Varas
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Colegio Los Leones
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Puerto Varas
2–4
Colegio Los Leones
(6 last)
- Colegio Los Leones98-84Puerto Varas
- Colegio Los Leones66-76Puerto Varas
- Puerto Varas64-67Colegio Los Leones
- Colegio Los Leones73-70Puerto Varas
- Colegio Los Leones66-63Puerto Varas
- Puerto Varas78-64Colegio Los Leones
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Puerto Varas 1450 · Colegio Los Leones 1542
| Puerto Varas | Colegio Los Leones | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 16% | 84% |
Estimated total (ours)
159.7 points · Bet365 line 159.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points159.7Puerto Varas 74.7 · Colegio Los Leones 85
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Colegio Los Leones (rating 1450 vs 1542).
- Colegio Los Leones is a clear favourite (77% market).
- H2H favours Colegio Los Leones: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Puerto Varas | Colegio Los Leones | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 76.6 / 87.5 | 82.8 / 73.4 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 75.2 / 88.2 | 83.6 / 74.8 |
| Est. result | 75 | 85 |
Est. total159.7
Line O/U159.5
Diff.0.2
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Puerto Varas 2–0–4 Colegio Los Leones
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10/26 Chile LNB | Colegio Los Leones | 98-84 | Puerto Varas |
| 20/03/26 Chile Super Cup | Colegio Los Leones | 66-76 | Puerto Varas |
| 02/06/25 Chile LNB | Puerto Varas | 64-67 | Colegio Los Leones |
| 21/05/25 Chile LNB | Colegio Los Leones | 73-70 | Puerto Varas |
| 20/05/25 Chile LNB | Colegio Los Leones | 66-63 | Puerto Varas |
| 14/03/25 Chile LNB | Puerto Varas | 78-64 | Colegio Los Leones |
Standings · Chile LNB · LNB 2026, Clausura, Championship Round
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Valdivia | 13 | 12 | 1 | 1150 | 973 | 25 |
| 2 | Colegio Los Leones | 12 | 10 | 2 | 994 | 881 | 22 |
| 3 | CDU Concepcion | 12 | 8 | 4 | 1033 | 979 | 20 |
| 4 | Puente Alto | 13 | 6 | 7 | 1015 | 1065 | 19 |
| 5 | Puerto Montt Basquetbol | 12 | 6 | 6 | 936 | 957 | 18 |
| 6 | ABA Ancud | 14 | 4 | 10 | 1102 | 1163 | 18 |
| 7 | Puerto Varas | 12 | 2 | 10 | 912 | 1038 | 14 |
| 8 | Espanol Osorno | 12 | 2 | 10 | 856 | 942 | 14 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Puerto Varas | Colegio Los Leones |
|---|---|---|
| Espanol Osorno | 78-69 W | 81-61 W |
| Deportivo Valdivia | 83-96 L | 78-65 W |
| Puente Alto | 70-75 L | 90-66 W |
| CDU Concepcion | 91-98 L | 64-89 L |
| ABA Ancud | 73-72 W | 91-81 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 3 L | 4 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Colegio Los Leones (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Puerto Varas
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Espanol Osorno Chile LNB |
78-69 | W |
| 25/10 | Deportivo Valdivia Chile LNB |
83-96 | L |
| 19/10 | Deportivo Valdivia Chile LNB |
61-103 | L |
| 15/10 | Puente Alto Chile LNB |
70-75 | L |
| 09/10 | Colegio Los Leones Chile LNB |
84-98 | L |
| 08/10 | Puente Alto Chile LNB |
76-89 | L |
| 04/10 | CDU Concepcion Chile LNB |
91-98 | L |
| 03/10 | ABA Ancud Chile LNB |
73-72 | W |
| 29/09 | ABA Ancud Chile LNB |
74-79 | L |
| 24/09 | CDU Concepcion Chile LNB |
76-96 | L |
Colegio Los Leones
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | ABA Ancud Chile LNB |
91-81 | W |
| 26/10 | CDU Concepcion Chile LNB |
64-89 | L |
| 24/10 | Puente Alto Chile LNB |
90-66 | W |
| 11/10 | Puerto Montt Basquetbol Chile LNB |
75-54 | W |
| 09/10 | Puerto Varas Chile LNB |
98-84 | W |
| 08/10 | ABA Ancud Chile LNB |
85-75 | W |
| 02/10 | Espanol Osorno Chile LNB |
81-61 | W |
| 01/10 | Deportivo Valdivia Chile LNB |
78-65 | W |
| 28/09 | Espanol Osorno Chile LNB |
89-67 | W |
| 27/09 | Deportivo Valdivia Chile LNB |
77-92 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Puerto Varas vs Colegio Los Leones?
Our model gives 77% to Colegio Los Leones.
How many points are expected in Puerto Varas vs Colegio Los Leones?
The model estimates 159.7 total points (Puerto Varas 74.7 · Colegio Los Leones 85).