Basketball · Mexico LNBP · 23/10, 04:00

Prediction: Abejas vs Soles Mexicali

Team pages: Abejas · Soles Mexicali

Prediction summary

Estimated points

162.8Total

Abejas82.6

Soles Mexicali80.1

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

57% 43%

Abejas Soles Mexicali

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Abejas 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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Soles Mexicali 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Abejas 0–6 Soles Mexicali (6 last)

Soles Mexicali100-60Abejas
Soles Mexicali102-58Abejas
Soles Mexicali87-80Abejas
Soles Mexicali71-68Abejas
Abejas86-118Soles Mexicali
Abejas83-90Soles Mexicali

Model analysis

Estimated points162.8Abejas 82.6 · Soles Mexicali 80.1

Match keys

H2H favours Soles Mexicali: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Abejas	Soles Mexicali
Points F\|A (Last 10)	82.2 / 87.3	88.3 / 72.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	75.6 / 93.2	90.2 / 67.8
Est. result	83	80

Est. total162.8

Line O/U162

Diff.0.8

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 1621.81

Under 1621.85

Diff.: 2.95 · Est. total: 164.95

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 05:46

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	5.82 → 5.66▼	Pinn 5.66
2	1.05 → 1.06▲	Pinn 1.06

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 12.3%

Time*	1	2
04:09 +38’	5.82	1.05
05:06 +40’	5.66▼	1.06▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Abejas 0–0–6 Soles Mexicali

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/10/26 Mexico LNBP	Soles Mexicali	100-60	Abejas
19/10/26 Mexico LNBP	Soles Mexicali	102-58	Abejas
13/08/26 Mexico LNBP	Soles Mexicali	87-80	Abejas
12/08/26 Mexico LNBP	Soles Mexicali	71-68	Abejas
19/09/25 Mexico LNBP	Abejas	86-118	Soles Mexicali
18/09/25 Mexico LNBP	Abejas	83-90	Soles Mexicali

Standings · Mexico LNBP · LNBP 2026, West

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Soles Mexicali	28	21	7	2382	2090	49
2	Astros de Jalisco	28	20	8	2473	2246	48
3	Lobos Puebla	28	18	10	2366	2251	46
4	Mineros de Zacatecas	28	15	13	2411	2371	43
5	Diablos Rojos	28	11	17	2294	2370	39
6	Gambusinos de Fresnillo	28	11	17	2233	2327	39
7	El Calor de Cancun	28	9	19	2276	2384	37

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Abejas

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
20/10	Soles Mexicali Mexico LNBP	60-100	L
19/10	Soles Mexicali Mexico LNBP	58-102	L
16/10	Santos San Luis Mexico LNBP	94-84	W
13/10	Santos San Luis Mexico LNBP	84-74	W
12/10	Santos San Luis Mexico LNBP	82-106	L
08/10	Correcaminos Mexico LNBP	95-89	W
07/10	Correcaminos Mexico LNBP	98-76	W
03/10	Mineros de Zacatecas Mexico LNBP	81-74	W
02/10	Mineros de Zacatecas Mexico LNBP	78-90	L
27/09	Santos San Luis Mexico LNBP	92-78	W

Soles Mexicali

WLWWLWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
20/10	Abejas Mexico LNBP	100-60	W
19/10	Abejas Mexico LNBP	102-58	W
08/10	Fuerza Regia Mexico LNBP	75-92	L
07/10	Fuerza Regia Mexico LNBP	88-86	W
03/10	Diablos Rojos Mexico LNBP	86-43	W
02/10	Diablos Rojos Mexico LNBP	84-93	L
27/09	Dorados de Chihuahua Mexico LNBP	97-64	W
26/09	Dorados de Chihuahua Mexico LNBP	98-81	W
22/09	Panteras Aguascalientes Mexico LNBP	76-77	L
21/09	Panteras Aguascalientes Mexico LNBP	77-67	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Abejas vs Soles Mexicali?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Abejas 57% · Soles Mexicali 43%).

How many points are expected in Abejas vs Soles Mexicali?

The model estimates 162.8 total points (Abejas 82.6 · Soles Mexicali 80.1).