Basketball · Mexico Liga ABE · 16/10, 23:00
Prediction: Anahuac Queretaro vs UMAD
Team pages: Anahuac Queretaro · UMAD
Prediction summary
Estimated points
153.7Total
Anahuac Queretaro80.3
UMAD73.4
1X2
Anahuac Queretaro
UMAD
Recent form · 10 last
Anahuac Queretaro
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
UMAD
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Anahuac Queretaro
1–5
UMAD
(6 last)
- Anahuac Queretaro55-61UMAD
- UMAD63-85Anahuac Queretaro
- UMAD67-64Anahuac Queretaro
- Anahuac Queretaro95-96UMAD
- UMAD70-30Anahuac Queretaro
- Anahuac Queretaro64-69UMAD
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Anahuac Queretaro 1536 · UMAD 1440
| Anahuac Queretaro | UMAD | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 74% | 26% |
| Market | 68% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
153.7 points · Bet365 line 150.5 · +3.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points153.7Anahuac Queretaro 80.3 · UMAD 73.4
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Anahuac Queretaro (rating 1536 vs 1440).
- Anahuac Queretaro is a clear favourite (69% market).
- H2H favours UMAD: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Anahuac Queretaro | UMAD | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 88.2 / 84.7 | 70.3 / 70.7 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 89.6 / 85.6 | 75.4 / 81.8 |
| Est. result | 80 | 73 |
Est. total153.7
Line O/U150.5
Diff.3.2
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Anahuac Queretaro 1–0–5 UMAD
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/26 Mexico Liga ABE | Anahuac Queretaro | 55-61 | UMAD |
| 25/10/25 Mexico Liga ABE | UMAD | 63-85 | Anahuac Queretaro |
| 23/04/25 Mexico Liga ABE | UMAD | 67-64 | Anahuac Queretaro |
| 09/03/25 Mexico Liga ABE | Anahuac Queretaro | 95-96 | UMAD |
| 01/02/25 Mexico Liga ABE | UMAD | 70-30 | Anahuac Queretaro |
| 03/03/24 Mexico Liga ABE | Anahuac Queretaro | 64-69 | UMAD |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Anahuac Queretaro | UMAD |
|---|---|---|
| CEU | 77-82 L | 69-75 L |
| Tec Mty Santa Fe | 96-90 W | 88-98 L |
| Tec Mty Toluca | 115-93 W | 77-88 L |
| UPAEP | 77-95 L | 52-58 L |
| Tec Mty Puebla | 84-73 W | 63-71 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 2 L | 0 W 0 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Anahuac Queretaro (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Anahuac Queretaro
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | CEU Mexico Liga ABE |
77-82 | L |
| 04/10 | Tec Mty Guadalajara Mexico Liga ABE |
77-89 | L |
| 02/10 | CETYS Mexicali Mexico Liga ABE |
83-74 | W |
| 27/09 | Tec Mty Santa Fe Mexico Liga ABE |
96-90 | W |
| 26/09 | Tec Mty Toluca Mexico Liga ABE |
115-93 | W |
| 02/05 | Tec Mty Santa Fe Mexico Liga ABE |
82-78 | W |
| 01/05 | UPAEP Mexico Liga ABE |
77-95 | L |
| 29/04 | Tec Mty Puebla Mexico Liga ABE |
84-73 | W |
| 19/04 | Tec Mty Toluca Mexico Liga ABE |
89-93 | L |
| 16/04 | UACH Mexico Liga ABE |
102-80 | W |
UMAD
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Tec Mty Santa Fe Mexico Liga ABE |
88-98 | L |
| 03/10 | Tec Mty Toluca Mexico Liga ABE |
77-88 | L |
| 26/09 | UDLAP Mexico Liga ABE |
69-70 | L |
| 19/09 | UANE Mexico Liga ABE |
74-78 | L |
| 19/09 | CEU Mexico Liga ABE |
69-75 | L |
| 28/04 | UPAEP Mexico Liga ABE |
52-58 | L |
| 18/04 | Tec Mty Puebla Mexico Liga ABE |
63-71 | L |
| 02/04 | UDLAP Mexico Liga ABE |
60-45 | W |
| 28/03 | Tec Mty Monterrey Mexico Liga ABE |
61-57 | W |
| 21/03 | UANE Mexico Liga ABE |
90-67 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Anahuac Queretaro vs UMAD?
Our model gives 69% to Anahuac Queretaro.
How many points are expected in Anahuac Queretaro vs UMAD?
The model estimates 153.7 total points (Anahuac Queretaro 80.3 · UMAD 73.4).