Basketball · Chile LNB · 29/10, 01:30
Prediction: ABA Ancud vs Deportivo Valdivia
Team pages: ABA Ancud · Deportivo Valdivia
Prediction summary
Estimated points
162.4Total
ABA Ancud74.8
Deportivo Valdivia87.6
1X2
ABA Ancud
Deportivo Valdivia
Recent form · 10 last
ABA Ancud
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Deportivo Valdivia
9-0-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
ABA Ancud
2–4
Deportivo Valdivia
(6 last)
- Deportivo Valdivia89-76ABA Ancud
- ABA Ancud64-86Deportivo Valdivia
- Deportivo Valdivia97-78ABA Ancud
- Deportivo Valdivia100-86ABA Ancud
- ABA Ancud90-80Deportivo Valdivia
- ABA Ancud90-72Deportivo Valdivia
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · ABA Ancud 1439 · Deportivo Valdivia 1617
| ABA Ancud | Deportivo Valdivia | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 13% | 87% |
Estimated total (ours)
162.4 points · Bet365 line 156.5 · +5.9
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points162.4ABA Ancud 74.8 · Deportivo Valdivia 87.6
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Valdivia (rating 1439 vs 1617).
- Deportivo Valdivia is a clear favourite (82% market).
- H2H favours Deportivo Valdivia: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| ABA Ancud | Deportivo Valdivia | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 77.9 / 82.3 | 88.3 / 72.3 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 78 / 80.8 | 90.8 / 68.8 |
| Est. result | 75 | 88 |
Est. total162.4
Line O/U156.5
Diff.5.9
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · ABA Ancud 2–0–4 Deportivo Valdivia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09/26 Chile LNB | Deportivo Valdivia | 89-76 | ABA Ancud |
| 03/08/26 Chile LNB | ABA Ancud | 64-86 | Deportivo Valdivia |
| 13/07/26 Chile LNB | Deportivo Valdivia | 97-78 | ABA Ancud |
| 20/04/26 Chile LNB | Deportivo Valdivia | 100-86 | ABA Ancud |
| 30/03/26 Chile LNB | ABA Ancud | 90-80 | Deportivo Valdivia |
| 18/10/25 Chile LNB | ABA Ancud | 90-72 | Deportivo Valdivia |
Standings · Chile LNB · LNB 2026, Clausura, Championship Round
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Valdivia | 12 | 11 | 1 | 1055 | 881 | 23 |
| 2 | CDU Concepcion | 12 | 8 | 4 | 1033 | 979 | 20 |
| 3 | Colegio Los Leones | 11 | 9 | 2 | 903 | 800 | 20 |
| 4 | Puente Alto | 13 | 6 | 7 | 1015 | 1065 | 19 |
| 5 | Puerto Montt Basquetbol | 12 | 6 | 6 | 936 | 957 | 18 |
| 6 | ABA Ancud | 12 | 4 | 8 | 929 | 977 | 16 |
| 7 | Puerto Varas | 12 | 2 | 10 | 912 | 1038 | 14 |
| 8 | Espanol Osorno | 12 | 2 | 10 | 856 | 942 | 14 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | ABA Ancud | Deportivo Valdivia |
|---|---|---|
| Espanol Osorno | 74-68 W | 86-58 W |
| CDU Concepcion | 78-95 L | 101-85 W |
| Puente Alto | 70-78 L | 85-77 W |
| Colegio Los Leones | 75-85 L | 65-78 L |
| Puerto Montt Basquetbol | 80-93 L | 88-72 W |
| Puerto Varas | 72-73 L | 96-83 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 5 L | 5 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportivo Valdivia (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
ABA Ancud
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Espanol Osorno Chile LNB |
74-68 | W |
| 22/10 | CDU Concepcion Chile LNB |
78-95 | L |
| 18/10 | Puente Alto Chile LNB |
70-78 | L |
| 16/10 | CDU Concepcion Chile LNB |
91-73 | W |
| 09/10 | Puente Alto Chile LNB |
77-90 | L |
| 08/10 | Colegio Los Leones Chile LNB |
75-85 | L |
| 05/10 | Puerto Montt Basquetbol Chile LNB |
80-93 | L |
| 03/10 | Puerto Varas Chile LNB |
72-73 | L |
| 29/09 | Puerto Varas Chile LNB |
79-74 | W |
| 25/09 | Puerto Montt Basquetbol Chile LNB |
83-94 | L |
Deportivo Valdivia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Puerto Montt Basquetbol Chile LNB |
88-72 | W |
| 25/10 | Puerto Varas Chile LNB |
96-83 | W |
| 21/10 | Puerto Montt Basquetbol Chile LNB |
81-70 | W |
| 19/10 | Puerto Varas Chile LNB |
103-61 | W |
| 12/10 | Espanol Osorno Chile LNB |
86-58 | W |
| 10/10 | CDU Concepcion Chile LNB |
101-85 | W |
| 02/10 | Puente Alto Chile LNB |
85-77 | W |
| 01/10 | Colegio Los Leones Chile LNB |
65-78 | L |
| 28/09 | Puente Alto Chile LNB |
86-62 | W |
| 27/09 | Colegio Los Leones Chile LNB |
92-77 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in ABA Ancud vs Deportivo Valdivia?
Our model gives 82% to Deportivo Valdivia.
How many points are expected in ABA Ancud vs Deportivo Valdivia?
The model estimates 162.4 total points (ABA Ancud 74.8 · Deportivo Valdivia 87.6).