Basketball · Colombia Liga · 15/10, 03:30
Prediction: Piratas de Bogota vs Motilones Del Norte
Team pages: Piratas de Bogota · Motilones Del Norte
Prediction summary
Estimated points
167.6Total
Piratas de Bogota86.1
Motilones Del Norte81.5
1X2
Piratas de Bogota
Motilones Del Norte
Recent form · 10 last
Piratas de Bogota
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Motilones Del Norte
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Piratas de Bogota
4–2
Motilones Del Norte
(6 last)
- Piratas de Bogota94-73Motilones Del Norte
- Motilones Del Norte95-87Piratas de Bogota
- Motilones Del Norte80-83Piratas de Bogota
- Motilones Del Norte67-82Piratas de Bogota
- Motilones Del Norte72-77Piratas de Bogota
- Motilones Del Norte74-61Piratas de Bogota
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Piratas de Bogota 1517 · Motilones Del Norte 1503
| Piratas de Bogota | Motilones Del Norte | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
167.6 points · Bet365 line 164.5 · +3.1
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points167.6Piratas de Bogota 86.1 · Motilones Del Norte 81.5
Match keys
- H2H favours Piratas de Bogota: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Piratas de Bogota | Motilones Del Norte | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 79.9 / 82.4 | 89.4 / 87 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 78 / 73.2 | 87 / 85.4 |
| Est. result | 86 | 82 |
Est. total167.6
Line O/U164.5
Diff.3.1
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Piratas de Bogota 4–0–2 Motilones Del Norte
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10/26 Colombia Liga | Piratas de Bogota | 94-73 | Motilones Del Norte |
| 02/10/26 Colombia Liga | Motilones Del Norte | 95-87 | Piratas de Bogota |
| 01/10/26 Colombia Liga | Motilones Del Norte | 80-83 | Piratas de Bogota |
| 18/04/26 Colombia Liga | Motilones Del Norte | 67-82 | Piratas de Bogota |
| 17/04/26 Colombia Liga | Motilones Del Norte | 72-77 | Piratas de Bogota |
| 30/05/25 Colombia Liga | Motilones Del Norte | 74-61 | Piratas de Bogota |
Standings · Colombia Liga · LBP 2026-II, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Caimanes del Villavicencio | 5 | 4 | 1 | 419 | 395 | 9 |
| 2 | Motilones Del Norte | 6 | 3 | 3 | 515 | 510 | 9 |
| 3 | Piratas de Bogota | 6 | 3 | 3 | 470 | 466 | 9 |
| 4 | Capitanes de Bogota | 3 | 0 | 3 | 206 | 239 | 3 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Piratas de Bogota | Motilones Del Norte |
|---|---|---|
| Capitanes de Bogota | 73-59 W | 81-71 W |
| Caimanes del Villavicencio | 63-67 L | 71-84 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Piratas de Bogota (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Piratas de Bogota
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Motilones Del Norte Colombia Liga |
94-73 | W |
| 10/10 | Capitanes de Bogota Colombia Liga |
73-59 | W |
| 09/10 | Capitanes de Bogota Colombia Liga |
90-75 | W |
| 06/10 | Caimanes del Villavicencio Colombia Liga |
63-67 | L |
| 04/10 | Caimanes del Villavicencio Colombia Liga |
70-92 | L |
| 02/10 | Motilones Del Norte Colombia Liga |
87-95 | L |
| 01/10 | Motilones Del Norte Colombia Liga |
83-80 | W |
| 27/05 | Toros del Valle Colombia Liga |
86-91 | L |
| 24/05 | Toros del Valle Colombia Liga |
81-90 | L |
| 24/05 | Toros del Valle Colombia Liga |
72-102 | L |
Motilones Del Norte
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Piratas de Bogota Colombia Liga |
73-94 | L |
| 10/10 | Caimanes del Villavicencio Colombia Liga |
71-84 | L |
| 09/10 | Caimanes del Villavicencio Colombia Liga |
115-91 | W |
| 06/10 | Capitanes de Bogota Colombia Liga |
81-71 | W |
| 02/10 | Piratas de Bogota Colombia Liga |
95-87 | W |
| 01/10 | Piratas de Bogota Colombia Liga |
80-83 | L |
| 12/05 | Sabios de Manizales Colombia Liga |
107-99 | W |
| 10/05 | Sabios de Manizales Colombia Liga |
89-94 | L |
| 08/05 | Caribbean Storm Islands Colombia Liga |
103-96 | W |
| 07/05 | Caribbean Storm Islands Colombia Liga |
80-71 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Piratas de Bogota vs Motilones Del Norte?
Our model gives 63% to Piratas de Bogota.
How many points are expected in Piratas de Bogota vs Motilones Del Norte?
The model estimates 167.6 total points (Piratas de Bogota 86.1 · Motilones Del Norte 81.5).