Basketball · Uruguay Liga · 01/11, 01:30
Prediction: Hebraica Macabi vs Malvin
Team pages: Malvin
Prediction summary
Estimated points
160.5Total
Hebraica Macabi83.3
Malvin77.2
1X2
Hebraica Macabi
Malvin
Recent form · 10 last
Hebraica Macabi
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Malvin
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Hebraica Macabi
3–3
Malvin
(6 last)
- Hebraica Macabi84-73Malvin
- Malvin90-76Hebraica Macabi
- Hebraica Macabi87-83Malvin
- Malvin52-61Hebraica Macabi
- Hebraica Macabi84-90Malvin
- Malvin92-83Hebraica Macabi
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hebraica Macabi 1491 · Malvin 1413
| Hebraica Macabi | Malvin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 72% | 28% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
160.5 points · Bet365 line 163.5 · -3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points160.5Hebraica Macabi 83.3 · Malvin 77.2
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hebraica Macabi (rating 1491 vs 1413).
- Hebraica Macabi is a clear favourite (67% market).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Hebraica Macabi | Malvin | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 79.9 / 83 | 76.5 / 86.4 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 78.8 / 83.2 | 77 / 84.6 |
| Est. result | 83 | 77 |
Est. total160.5
Line O/U163.5
Diff.3
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hebraica Macabi 3–0–3 Malvin
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Uruguay Liga | Hebraica Macabi | 84-73 | Malvin |
| 13/03/26 Uruguay Liga | Malvin | 90-76 | Hebraica Macabi |
| 12/02/26 Uruguay Liga | Hebraica Macabi | 87-83 | Malvin |
| 19/11/25 Uruguay Liga | Malvin | 52-61 | Hebraica Macabi |
| 18/01/25 Uruguay Liga | Hebraica Macabi | 84-90 | Malvin |
| 15/11/24 Uruguay Liga | Malvin | 92-83 | Hebraica Macabi |
Standings · Uruguay Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bigua | 4 | 4 | 0 | 374 | 333 | 8 |
| 2 | Goes | 4 | 3 | 1 | 375 | 347 | 7 |
| 3 | Union Atletica | 4 | 1 | 3 | 313 | 323 | 5 |
| 4 | Malvin | 3 | 1 | 2 | 224 | 257 | 4 |
| 5 | Penarol Montevideo | 2 | 2 | 0 | 192 | 155 | 4 |
| 6 | Nacional | 3 | 1 | 2 | 281 | 284 | 4 |
| 7 | CA Atenas Montevideo | 3 | 1 | 2 | 225 | 240 | 4 |
| 8 | Hebraica Macabi | 2 | 1 | 1 | 166 | 169 | 3 |
| 9 | Urunday Universitario | 3 | 0 | 3 | 247 | 270 | 3 |
| 10 | Aguada | 3 | 2 | 1 | 224 | 235 | 3 |
| 11 | Defensor Sporting | 2 | 1 | 1 | 165 | 153 | 3 |
| 12 | Larranaga | 3 | 1 | 2 | 243 | 263 | 1 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hebraica Macabi | Malvin |
|---|---|---|
| Aguada | 81-85 L | 84-94 L |
| Penarol Montevideo | 62-74 L | 76-101 L |
| Defensor Sporting | 80-84 L | 78-85 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 3 L | 0 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Hebraica Macabi (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hebraica Macabi
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Urunday Universitario Uruguay Liga |
80-77 | W |
| 20/10 | Bigua Uruguay Liga |
86-92 | L |
| 13/05 | Aguada Uruguay Liga |
81-85 | L |
| 10/05 | Aguada Uruguay Liga |
74-84 | L |
| 07/05 | Aguada Uruguay Liga |
73-78 | L |
| 03/05 | Penarol Montevideo Uruguay Liga |
62-74 | L |
| 29/04 | Nacional Uruguay Liga |
79-81 | L |
| 15/04 | Aguada Uruguay Liga |
100-102 | L |
| 11/04 | Malvin Uruguay Liga |
84-73 | W |
| 31/03 | Defensor Sporting Uruguay Liga |
80-84 | L |
Malvin
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Penarol Montevideo Uruguay Liga |
76-101 | L |
| 23/10 | Goes Uruguay Liga |
71-90 | L |
| 21/10 | CA Atenas Montevideo Uruguay Liga |
77-66 | W |
| 16/05 | Defensor Sporting Uruguay Liga |
78-85 | L |
| 13/05 | Defensor Sporting Uruguay Liga |
83-81 | W |
| 10/05 | Defensor Sporting Uruguay Liga |
58-80 | L |
| 07/05 | Defensor Sporting Uruguay Liga |
90-92 | L |
| 03/05 | Aguada Uruguay Liga |
84-94 | L |
| 29/04 | Penarol Montevideo Uruguay Liga |
68-96 | L |
| 15/04 | Defensor Sporting Uruguay Liga |
80-79 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hebraica Macabi vs Malvin?
Our model gives 67% to Hebraica Macabi.
How many points are expected in Hebraica Macabi vs Malvin?
The model estimates 160.5 total points (Hebraica Macabi 83.3 · Malvin 77.2).